Day 2 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-15 05:12 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing hail, wind, and an isolated tornado are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States on Saturday. These storms pose a slight to marginal risk for much of the affected area.

Product Text

000 WUUS02 KWNS 150512 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1210 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 40758485 41218306 41158046 40007797 38617593 37477603 36697662 37167826 38747936 39128150 39058412 39288499 39758535 40308532 40758485 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39810591 42590502 45190457 45840366 45670273 44950195 42900159 39220217 36890313 36160407 36110454 36380511 36700531 38350569 39810591 0.15 37760511 39920525 41950470 42060390 41830315 39340285 38440306 37730346 37600455 37760511 && ... WIND ... 0.05 45130464 45770377 45650268 45030205 42830130 38310131 36250198 35660280 35560398 35730472 36070519 38860568 40470574 45130464 0.05 35867448 35307679 35357805 35437866 36008021 36418163 36708254 36728368 36598763 36559046 36609219 37009337 37479372 38089364 39579190 40279019 40888609 41728032 41537910 40897744 39657525 37727284 0.15 36417461 36757829 37648102 38038273 38088341 38008424 37798572 37838636 38148672 38608657 39458566 40108380 40288099 40017966 39307828 38587683 37017460 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36467515 36757829 37648102 38038273 38088341 37798572 37838636 38148672 38608657 39458566 40108380 40418157 40017966 38587683 37327504 SLGT 41950470 42060390 41830315 39340285 38440306 37730346 37600455 37760511 39920525 41950470 MRGL 35777485 35307679 35357805 35437866 36008021 36708254 36559046 36609219 37009337 37479372 38089364 39579190 40279019 41728032 41537910 40897744 39657525 38777415 MRGL 45130464 45840366 45650268 44950195 44510187 42830130 38310131 36250198 35660280 35560398 35730472 36070519 38350569 39810591 45130464 TSTM 27037947 27208099 27318337 99999999 28559061 29409110 30299114 31289012 32388641 33598465 34868373 35728456 35808620 35628861 35179089 34759494 34510123 33410409 32720447 31820427 28640263 99999999 46117143 45417121 43767176 43187293 42347318 41567275 40077140 99999999 49719814 46699906 44189943 41979860 41219662 41479291 43038950 44448794 48058415 99999999 30851139 32371049 33471024 34440998 35530859 36800691 38490700 40390660 41860607 42450627 42730714 42130883 41620924 40930951 40461019 40431111 41011150 41741232 42731485 43891692 44121761 44341906 44871967 45451933 46511730 46861669 47791642 48341798 48672097 49622183 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE ECG 15 WNW AVC 10 SSE BKW 25 SSW HTS 35 N JKL 25 S SDF 40 SW SDF 40 NE OWB 40 S BMG 40 ESE IND 25 ENE DAY 35 SSW CAK 25 SW LBE 20 SSE DCA 50 SSE WAL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW TOR 15 E TOR 25 SW AIA 30 WNW ITR 35 NW LAA 20 S LHX 25 NNW TAD 50 SW PUB 20 WNW DEN 30 WSW TOR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE HSE 20 NE EWN 10 SSW GSB 30 SSE RDU 15 WSW GSO 20 NNW TRI 15 S POF 20 WSW UNO 15 S SGF 25 NW SGF 45 S SZL 45 SW UIN 40 SW PIA 25 SSW ERI 25 NNW DUJ 20 E UNV 15 S PHL 50 SSE ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE 4BQ 20 NNW 2WX 30 SW Y22 65 NNW PHP 35 NNW PHP 40 W VTN 40 NW GCK 35 ENE DHT 30 SSW DHT 35 NW TCC 25 ENE LVS 30 N LVS 65 N ALS 55 ENE EGE 40 ESE 4BQ GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE PBI 35 SE AGR 50 W SRQ ...CONT... 70 S HUM 30 WSW HUM 15 S BTR 20 ENE MCB 0 - MGM 15 WSW ATL 65 NNW AHN 35 ESE CSV 35 SE BNA 15 E MKL 50 SSW JBR 25 SW RKR 35 NE PVW 25 ENE ROW 30 NNW CNM 35 S CNM 100 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 90 NNE EFK 55 N BML 20 NW LCI 25 S RUT 10 SE PSF 25 SSW BDL 75 S BID ...CONT... 85 NW HCO 25 SW JMS 30 N 9V9 35 S ONL 25 NNE LNK 15 NE OXV 10 SW MSN 10 ESE GRB 110 N ANJ ...CONT... 80 SW FHU 30 NE TUS 55 SSW SOW 10 N SOW 10 E GUP 55 N 4SL 0 - GUC 55 NNE EGE 45 NNW LAR 35 SSE CPR 35 WSW CPR 40 NNE RKS 10 W RKS 35 N VEL 35 W VEL 60 S EVW 30 ENE SLC 30 S MLD 25 NW TWF 40 WNW BOI 50 SSE BKE 50 N BNO 70 SW PDT 30 SW PDT 20 SSW PUW 20 ENE PUW 50 WNW 3TH 55 NNW GEG 70 WNW OMK 65 NNE BLI