Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-04 06:02 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected throughout much of the central and eastern United States on Saturday. An enhanced risk of severe weather is forecast for parts of the Mid-Atlantic, while slight to marginal risks extend across the Plains and Midwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 040602 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT SAT JUL 04 2026 VALID TIME 041200Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38489931 38479746 38159630 37809609 37249624 37059649 36829875 36879900 37259934 37569965 37779973 38269965 38489931 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37810444 38340500 38560511 38880528 39240542 39770552 40560549 40970542 41130529 42040472 42770502 43300504 44070482 44580445 44780416 44800361 44560320 44130272 43900252 43740234 43630224 43210179 41340035 39709955 39359880 39319770 39389704 39269608 38999550 38839478 38569429 38329387 37949369 37289387 36529496 35559892 35499902 34809986 34110107 33670158 33620200 33640246 33770283 34080304 34500322 34860320 35320293 35800248 36320226 36800218 37160218 37810444 0.15 40570127 39690104 39190088 38370175 38110222 38070311 38250400 38680477 39200497 39680509 39930514 40140510 40370511 41410457 41910450 42520433 42890407 43020398 43020361 42880275 42730241 40570127 0.15 36990098 37870002 38509895 38899693 38639584 38319546 37809522 37339549 36879641 36409776 36129912 36069990 36320030 36670070 36990098 CIG1 38389919 38869722 38669606 38319542 37899526 37279521 36619555 36129717 35809955 36020021 36480097 36820089 37300076 37769994 38089968 38389919 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37567479 36157698 35977987 36168204 37408412 38328741 36829074 36239401 35369521 35109646 35249787 35509872 35189935 34889986 34590034 34300075 33960141 33870157 33700194 33690211 33670243 33820287 34180318 34630331 34940318 35620263 36260229 36740214 37240230 37840441 38390511 39260546 40820546 41910478 43150509 43460519 44000514 44250506 44730473 45020420 45030340 44240232 43680143 43580093 43560004 43739936 44089848 44509787 44809767 45139734 45729683 45969657 46209644 46629591 47759515 49019472 49359370 99999999 49049199 48389141 46809102 45579146 44379224 43009320 42189366 41169428 40579477 40049420 41299091 41608980 41758539 41658416 41698158 42167973 42717744 42417523 41647308 40437109 0.15 38227444 36777648 36367813 36868235 37518300 38638328 39508311 40328230 40778132 41158006 41757876 42137726 41687499 40847363 39917346 39547347 0.15 37559375 37259391 36779453 36039587 35879741 35829897 35310006 34990044 34520104 34230137 34070182 34000230 34210246 34370254 34760242 35250214 35750165 36160135 36890111 37430108 37650118 37980171 38240317 38290358 38300430 38420454 39000493 39430497 39760511 40230504 40790492 41240485 41790460 42220436 42620415 43000357 42880279 42700209 42460158 41880105 41680095 40559994 39819863 39159682 38559498 38419416 37559375 0.30 40217447 39727421 38487491 37237615 37037813 37307924 37627937 38507923 39437831 40147692 40477510 40217447 0.45 38187801 38747787 39067773 39347741 39537713 39817672 39897636 39927603 39917580 39867542 39427509 38197595 37547656 37617732 38187801 CIG1 38519862 38759754 38719588 38519530 38109482 37619452 37119448 36779453 36159505 35739595 35499788 35669862 36009942 36379989 36680032 37230058 37749991 38519862 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 39067773 39817672 39927603 39867542 39427509 38197595 37547656 37617732 38187801 39067773 SLGT 40370511 40700494 41240485 42030447 42520433 43020398 42880275 42700209 42460158 40559994 39819863 38559498 38419416 37559375 37259391 36779453 36039587 35879741 35829897 35310006 34230137 34000230 34370254 34760242 35250214 36160135 36890111 37430108 37650118 37980171 38100240 38070311 38300430 38420454 39000493 39930514 40370511 SLGT 38217446 36777648 36367813 36868235 37518300 38638328 39508311 40328230 40778132 41158006 41757876 42137726 41687499 40847363 39917346 MRGL 48389141 46809102 45579146 43009320 41169428 40579477 40049420 41299091 41608980 41758539 41658416 41698158 42717744 42417523 41647308 40547128 99999999 37557481 36157698 35977987 36168204 37408412 38328741 36829074 36239401 35369521 35109646 35249787 35509872 34110107 33670158 33640246 33770283 34180318 34630331 34940318 35670261 36260229 36800218 37190228 37810444 38390511 39260546 39770552 40820546 41930479 43460519 44250506 44730473 45020420 45030340 43680143 43580093 43560004 43739936 44089848 44509787 44809767 45969657 46209644 46629591 47759515 49019472 49229410 TSTM 31040717 32490790 33480750 35010690 36010591 37060580 38090618 39020652 40430653 42560610 44500633 46320566 47140446 48300437 49590572 99999999 44397792 44107609 43747209 42736887 99999999 28589448 29039582 29739610 30949605 31579631 32949735 33919759 34459885 34380007 33460153 32930251 32120314 31600329 30550264 29940233 29390212 99999999 48869180 45688435 44878232 44668076 99999999 36017500 35307700 35147909 34498048 33498127 32728153 31938146 31108112 30588066 99999999 45786677 46446891 47297065 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE MRB 30 SSE CXY 30 NW ILG 10 W PHL 30 SSE PHL 25 WSW SBY 50 NNW ORF 10 N RIC 25 E CHO 25 SSE MRB THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - FCL 20 NNE FCL 0 - CYS 15 W TOR 35 NNW TOR 45 WNW CDR 20 E CDR 60 NE AIA 40 NW MHN 40 NE MCK 55 S HSI 25 SSW OJC 40 WSW SZL 30 NW SGF 25 N UMN 15 NE GMJ 10 S TUL 35 NNE OKC 35 NNE CSM 50 W CSM 20 ENE PVW 35 NW LBB 45 E CVS 50 SW AMA 25 W AMA 30 N BGD 15 SW LBL 30 NNW LBL 30 SW GCK 55 E LAA 15 E LAA 20 E LHX 10 E PUB 10 NNW PUB 15 NW COS 20 NW DEN 0 - FCL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E SBY 20 WSW ORF 25 S AVC 25 N TRI 20 E JKL 45 WNW HTS 35 SSW CMH 35 NW ZZV 10 SSE CAK 20 SSW FKL 10 WSW BFD 20 W ELM 10 W MSV 15 NNE JFK 50 SSE JFK THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE ELO 20 NNW ASX 50 N EAU 10 SSE MCW 40 NNW LWD 35 ESE SDA 40 SSW LWD 25 WSW MLI 40 ENE MLI 35 SSE AZO 20 WNW TOL 25 NE CLE 30 SSE ROC 50 S UCA 35 N BDR 45 SSE BID ...CONT... 45 SE WAL 45 ESE RZZ 10 SSE GSO 30 SE TRI 20 N LOZ 20 NNE EVV 15 WNW POF 20 NNE FYV 25 SSE MKO 40 WNW MLC 10 NNE CHK 30 ENE CSM 35 E PVW 15 E LBB 35 W LBB 50 SE CVS 15 SSE CVS 15 N CVS 30 SE TCC 25 S DHT 20 NE DHT 20 SW EHA 20 ESE SPD 35 S PUB 35 SW COS 45 SW DEN 35 W DEN 35 SSE LAR 35 WSW TOR 50 N DGW 25 ESE GCC 45 NE GCC 50 SW 2WX 40 S 2WX 25 SSE PHP 45 SE PHP 40 WSW 9V9 0 - 9V9 25 SSW HON 20 ENE HON 25 WSW ATY 45 N VVV 55 SSE FAR 15 S DTL 20 NNW BJI 30 E RRT 55 NW INL GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SW ELP 15 ESE SVC 20 NW TCS 15 W ABQ 30 NNE SAF 25 S ALS 50 NNW ALS 25 SE ASE 60 NNE EGE 30 SE CPR 35 ESE SHR 15 SE MLS 15 E GDV 40 N SDY 105 N OLF ...CONT... 90 N ROC 10 NNW ART 15 NE LEB 95 SE PWM ...CONT... 55 SSE GLS 20 WSW LBX 50 W HOU 30 NE CLL 30 S CRS 10 N FTW 40 SW ADM 30 ESE LTS 10 ESE CDS 20 SE LBB 45 ENE HOB 25 N INK 15 SSW INK 30 SSE FST 10 SW 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 65 N ELO 25 ENE PLN 60 ENE OSC 125 ENE BAX ...CONT... 65 NNE HSE 15 N EWN 15 NW FAY 50 WNW FLO 25 W OGB 45 NNW SAV 20 SW SAV 20 E SSI 60 NE SGJ ...CONT... 60 NNE EPM 50 SW CAR 125 WNW CAR