Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-17 20:05 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across much of the central and eastern United States on Wednesday, June 17. The most significant threats are centered in parts of the Midwest and South, with varying levels of severity ranging from marginal to enhanced risks.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 172005 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0304 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2026 VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38268260 37268438 37128851 37679192 37039560 37159682 37579679 37939607 40059345 41809263 42479293 43109358 43989409 44509403 45039382 45229330 44829195 43808975 43328899 42888688 43158421 43458238 42368206 41298168 40428176 39478217 38268260 0.02 28009502 30179449 32209029 32228865 31648786 29658817 0.05 39209390 39919272 40649204 41028814 41058582 40998480 41068422 41088379 41068345 40978329 40838316 40458316 40098343 38328578 37888822 38009232 37919385 37879398 37749443 37749466 37949476 38239477 38579445 39209390 0.05 28609274 30419164 31489046 31458932 30738890 28548939 0.10 38669156 39219212 40359077 40648991 40488776 40458576 40318531 39938516 39498517 38948541 38578596 38538663 38708895 38749043 38669156 0.15 39669071 40389011 40318880 40198780 40158695 40038596 39828564 39478558 39238572 38988600 38798649 38858745 39299020 39669071 CIG1 39559364 40219242 40929185 41368544 41768466 42168427 42348366 42318328 42268309 41958296 41598284 41128262 40268275 39418337 38138534 37618788 37889208 37789327 37549421 37489492 37569562 37819576 38259510 38969441 39559364 CIG2 39629097 40439022 40398889 40298765 40208599 39988549 39748532 39268556 38878581 38628672 38728797 39039049 39629097 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 43268247 42228233 41098371 39538366 38708415 38058670 37778842 37429183 36019613 36209823 36149895 36289926 36469944 36929933 37729819 38329677 40519395 42349349 43829480 44409455 45069378 44679137 43188741 43688550 43268247 0.15 37869680 39999388 40999203 42099181 42789226 42909293 43359363 43589391 43779398 44599384 44739299 44589180 44339121 44169090 43228943 41858762 40998520 40088457 39638469 38598753 37939217 37389421 37079614 37249672 37869680 0.30 38818964 38009368 38169403 38649411 39679171 40649030 40788905 40698748 40258579 39508610 38818964 CIG1 37829796 38169679 39539409 40719184 41118922 41058741 40268569 39458604 39338657 37229556 36879710 37099780 37829796 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36029627 36889766 37499780 39719397 41219290 41729275 42329361 43769461 44429472 45069379 45059279 44579130 43198743 43708544 44158197 43288124 41818028 41037991 40187978 39468011 38918055 38298186 36958339 36768498 36688876 36639142 36209398 36029627 0.05 28029502 30179449 30779329 32189025 32168908 31268862 29658823 0.05 30921085 32391149 33481137 33461064 33050827 32730795 31180730 0.15 37259680 37889664 39629361 41839195 42369216 42849250 43039277 43379231 42938822 42818639 43138430 43468235 42288164 40878124 40098143 38218285 37448481 37268616 37128837 36849296 36809554 37259680 0.30 39079414 40909059 40778724 40678534 40598440 39288385 38798424 37878484 37558613 37538747 37618918 37769101 37809169 37789315 37759404 38059439 38419435 39079414 CIG1 37869651 39599354 41049060 41288737 41248699 41508485 41728400 41628321 41278310 40688326 39578404 39278420 37868490 37918634 37898832 37919008 37509377 37279515 37179625 37219667 37869651 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 40389011 40038596 39828564 39478558 38988600 38798649 38858745 39299020 39669071 40389011 ENH 39079414 40909059 40598440 39638400 37868490 37919008 37789128 37759404 38059439 39079414 SLGT 28929254 30419164 31489046 31458932 30738890 28548939 SLGT 42288164 40878124 40098143 38218285 37448481 37268616 36849296 36809554 37259680 37469675 37869680 39999388 40499296 41839195 42369216 42829249 42909293 43589391 43779398 44599384 44739299 44589180 44169090 43038918 42818639 43468235 42748192 MRGL 28379493 30179449 32209029 32228865 31648786 29658817 MRGL 30921085 32391149 33481137 33461064 33050827 32730795 31310735 MRGL 42798092 41818028 41037991 40187978 39468011 38918055 38298186 36958339 36768498 36639142 36209398 36019613 36209823 36149895 36289926 36469944 36929933 37729819 38329677 40519395 42259351 43829480 44129467 44429472 45069379 45229330 44679137 43198743 43708544 44158197 43738162 TSTM 45176594 44676895 44267000 43177205 41657362 40867440 40367541 39707670 38907808 38427901 37918068 37198258 36428407 35968452 35518485 35008498 34758484 34448438 34088336 33948215 33988122 34267906 34457808 34937645 35417536 35667484 99999999 31651292 33131359 33771386 34481388 35051342 35541254 35781118 35620994 35190889 34650808 33960718 33160642 31260546 30910530 30230515 99999999 36221828 36271877 36581944 37342018 38042064 38652075 39192041 39421974 39251889 38511813 37591779 36701775 36421782 36221828 99999999 48759143 48439276 47719479 47239481 46429412 46079301 45998999 45988855 46138650 46348315 99999999 27859639 28499697 28709700 29459676 32599422 33129339 34389147 35079088 35379077 35559088 35639118 35629145 35629186 35469327 35489364 35249555 35159700 35099814 35189895 35709969 36300000 36929997 37739917 38789776 39699655 40239594 40889536 41379545 41909586 42499680 43429947 43840085 44340364 44840592 45450935 46261203 47571443 49451599 && THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW PIA 25 NE IND 30 SSW MIE 40 ESE IND 35 ESE BMG 25 SSE BMG 40 S HUF 30 NNW ALN 35 SE UIN 30 SW PIA THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E MKC 30 ENE BRL 50 N DAY 20 SSE DAY 20 SW LEX 20 ENE FAM 35 SE VIH 50 NNE JLN 60 SSE OJC 25 E MKC THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW 7R4 25 NE LFT 20 N MCB 0 - PIB 25 NNE GPT 55 S BVE THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N CLE 10 ESE CAK 25 ENE ZZV 20 WSW HTS 40 SSW LEX 25 NE BWG 35 SE SGF 25 E BVO 40 NNE PNC 40 ESE ICT 35 ENE ICT 20 NW CDJ 35 NW IRK 10 WSW CID 20 SE ALO 20 NNW ALO 25 SE MCW 25 E FRM 30 S MKT 25 N MKT 15 SE MSP 25 SW EAU 25 NE LSE 10 SE MSN 25 SSW MKG 40 SE BAX 45 ENE MTC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE LBX 30 WNW BPT 15 SW JAN 10 SE MEI 50 WNW GZH 70 S MOB THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW FHU 35 WNW TUS 40 E PHX 65 SSW SOW 30 NNW SVC 15 ENE SVC 70 SSE DMN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW ERI 20 SSW ERI 25 S FKL 20 WSW LBE 15 SW MGW 40 W EKN 15 WSW CRW 40 S JKL 55 N CSV 25 ESE UNO 15 NE FYV 20 SW TUL 20 WSW END 45 SSW AVK 30 E GAG 20 ENE GAG 40 WNW AVK 30 SW HUT 30 W EMP 0 - LWD 50 N DSM 20 WNW FRM 35 NNW FRM 20 ESE RWF 35 SSE STC 25 N MSP 15 SSE EAU 30 NE MKE 55 N GRR 55 ENE BAX 70 E BAX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE EPM 10 SSW BGR 10 WSW AUG 20 NNE EEN 15 E POU 15 NW EWR 20 S ABE 35 N BWI 35 S MRB 10 NNW SHD 20 WNW SSU 50 NNW TRI 40 N TYS 30 WNW TYS 35 SSE CSV 15 E CHA 30 SE CHA 45 E RMG 10 N AHN 40 NNW AGS 0 - CAE 40 N CRE 15 NW ILM 35 ESE EWN 20 NE HSE 55 NE HSE ...CONT... 90 S GBN 55 WNW GBN 50 ENE BLH 55 S IGM 30 ESE IGM 35 SW GCN 55 NNE FLG 60 NE INW 25 SSW GUP 35 SSW GNT 15 WSW ONM 30 NW ALM 55 SW GDP 70 SSW GDP 70 W MRF ...CONT... 50 NW NID 60 NNE BFL 20 SE FAT 20 ENE MER 35 ENE SCK 40 ENE SAC 30 NW TVL 0 - RNO 20 SSW NFL 65 WNW TPH 35 ENE BIH 55 SE BIH 50 N NID 50 NW NID ...CONT... 60 NNE ELO 30 ESE INL 15 NNE BJI 20 SSE BJI 0 - BRD 65 SW DLH 40 S IWD 25 WNW IMT 40 NE ESC 60 E ANJ ...CONT... 60 S PSX 25 S VCT 10 SSW VCT 45 NNE VCT 25 WNW SHV 35 WSW ELD 30 ENE PBF 55 SSW JBR 30 SSW JBR 25 SW JBR 25 ESE BVX 15 SE BVX 15 WSW BVX 20 NW RUE 35 WNW RUE 30 NNE MLC 40 SSW CQB 10 W CHK 15 SE CSM 40 S GAG 15 W GAG 45 NNW GAG 45 NW P28 0 - SLN 40 N MHK 20 WNW FNB 10 NNE SDA 25 ENE OMA 20 ENE TQE 20 WNW SUX 25 SSW 9V9 40 ESE PHP 35 NW RAP 40 NNW GCC 45 WSW BIL 25 S HLN 50 NNW MSO 130 NNW 3TH