Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-14 19:51 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and southern United States on Tuesday, July 14. An enhanced risk of severe storms is primary for areas spanning from central Mississippi through parts of Alabama and Tennessee, while slight and marginal risks extend across the Southeast and parts of the Great Plains and Rockies.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 141951 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0249 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026 VALID TIME 142000Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 43076952 43207082 43417312 43797469 44497640 0.05 46997030 45966856 45426812 44656876 44156981 43977103 44167289 44407393 44727495 45017564 0.10 46207100 45887016 45486968 45126962 44827013 44707111 44837193 45407280 CIG1 43607154 43647244 43777361 44147497 44537577 44667580 44777574 44907566 45067542 45237490 45277380 45317238 45477135 45787076 46257064 46587009 46456939 45946860 45616829 44406854 44166896 43627104 43607154 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45010894 45111026 45491279 45821326 46331316 47951091 48350939 48390841 48270784 47960714 47540686 46720729 46000770 45330828 45010894 0.05 42956959 43067059 43217185 43487375 43667496 44317666 0.15 47257074 46096902 44956852 44566928 44147065 44017170 44137317 44327397 44577482 44757527 44937560 CIG1 46767027 46747007 46576975 46306927 45906898 45346868 44916864 44576890 44147011 43997071 43887166 43927244 44027326 44277431 44457491 44637534 44797553 44977552 45077539 45257499 45277386 45337238 45577120 45797091 46647038 46767027 && ... WIND ... 0.05 45520774 45050820 44600862 44440886 44370921 44450958 44580974 44801005 44861048 44871094 44851131 44791170 44831232 44981272 45431321 45841347 46341350 46711333 47301285 48191162 48481084 48900892 49000752 48920658 48800564 48520500 47910502 46700654 45970730 45520774 0.05 42966959 43067061 43227193 43477371 43667495 44317667 0.05 27047974 26588067 26958164 27398208 27988223 28638185 29088138 29438052 0.15 45940867 45750973 45821106 46091177 46651226 47541147 48230965 48340827 48140764 47620733 46830734 46360779 45940867 0.15 43346930 43437032 43587174 43897370 44217491 44717608 0.30 47047084 45796869 45246838 44806890 44426990 44347070 44267168 44447294 44737396 45247527 CIG1 46516990 45756879 45076810 44136817 43706994 43867143 44347301 44727421 45047497 45087470 45097353 45117169 45357138 45477092 45857051 46097043 46327034 46527016 46516990 CIG1 46360775 45790889 45171053 45041114 45151169 45411196 45891206 46681185 47411104 48061005 48270928 48360851 48240789 48080744 47450698 47020704 46360775 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 45317238 45477135 45787076 46087068 45997046 46327034 46527016 46516993 45756879 45246838 44806890 44426990 44267168 44447294 45067482 45107235 45307265 SLGT 43346930 43587174 43897370 44217491 44717608 SLGT 47541147 48230965 48340827 48140764 47620733 46830734 46360779 45940867 45750973 45821106 46091177 46651226 47541147 MRGL 27047974 26588067 26958164 27398208 27988223 28638185 29088138 29438052 MRGL 42966969 43667496 44317667 MRGL 46711333 47301285 48191162 48481084 48900892 49000752 48800564 48520500 47910502 46700654 44600862 44440886 44370921 44450958 44801005 44871094 44791170 44831232 44981272 45431321 45841347 46341350 46711333 TSTM 47708514 45908608 45228768 45158937 45309079 45559229 46249535 47199944 47440072 47430220 47210432 46910520 46480586 45830624 44820656 44190683 43580738 42560907 41920929 41310923 40760880 40670839 40790784 40970734 41140699 41150645 40870612 40410579 39870549 39210518 38400474 37830393 37640347 37310204 37420067 37569795 37759226 37638698 37298548 36648404 36168330 35748279 35418216 35128114 35067902 35307760 35017611 34497488 99999999 31661666 33941753 34131766 34241784 34281804 34401810 34531807 34591787 34781733 34921711 35041699 35201684 35511690 35721726 35781775 35861845 36581899 37571976 39162079 39882170 40152191 40232204 40122235 39932243 39482249 39052236 38722260 39002332 40372382 41472420 41852401 42112363 42072333 42412255 43012230 43652216 44152208 44672183 45302171 45492142 45642110 45981917 46401800 46581731 46511681 46381655 46241625 46281567 46491531 47051479 47941389 48811299 49891232 99999999 27009639 27349705 27699809 27799911 27290013 99999999 42046921 42317141 42647325 43007504 43517650 44127811 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW EFK 55 N BML 80 NNE BML 100 NNE BML 100 NNE BML 120 NNE BML 140 NNE BML 95 WSW CAR 65 N BGR 35 NE BGR 0 - BGR 10 NW AUG 20 W MWN 10 E BTV 10 N MSS 15 NNW EFK 35 NW EFK THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE PWM 15 W LCI 40 N GFL 50 S MSS 50 N ART THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - GTF 25 SSE HVR 70 ESE HVR 45 W GGW 55 SW GGW 75 WNW MLS 50 NE BIL 10 NW BIL 45 S 3HT 0 - BZN 35 SSE HLN 15 WNW HLN 0 - GTF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE PBI 35 W PBI 30 NNE FMY 30 E SRQ 30 E PIE 30 W ORL 20 WSW DAB 35 ENE DAB THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE PWM 40 NNE UCA 40 NW ART THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW 3DU 45 NNE 3DU 50 NNW GTF 50 W HVR 45 ENE HVR 70 NW GGW 50 N OLF 40 NE OLF 30 ESE OLF 35 WNW MLS 20 ENE COD 10 SE COD 15 SW COD 30 W COD 65 SSE LVM 15 NE WEY 30 WNW WEY 20 N MQM 20 SSW DLN 35 WNW DLN 55 NNE SMN 30 SW 3DU 10 WNW 3DU GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 NNW ANJ 50 ENE ESC 45 SSE IMT 20 NE AUW 45 NE EAU 60 NW EAU 25 N AXN 40 WNW JMS 45 N BIS 40 WSW N60 25 ENE GDV 25 SW GDV 0 - MLS 45 SSW MLS 20 E SHR 40 S SHR 40 SE WRL 25 SW LND 25 NNW RKS 20 SSW RKS 45 ENE VEL 45 WNW CAG 25 NW CAG 35 NNE CAG 45 SSE RWL 40 WSW LAR 40 SW LAR 40 W FCL 35 WNW DEN 35 NW COS 15 WNW PUB 25 WSW LHX 30 S LHX 25 NNW EHA 30 NNE LBL 35 S HUT 0 - TBN 10 ESE OWB 65 SSE SDF 30 S LOZ 30 NW HSS 10 S HSS 20 E AVL 15 WSW CLT 10 NW FAY 25 ESE GSB 30 WSW HSE 65 SE HSE ...CONT... 65 S CZZ 0 - RAL 15 NW RAL 30 SSE PMD 25 S PMD 15 S PMD 0 - PMD 10 ESE PMD 30 W DAG 20 WNW DAG 20 NW DAG 25 N DAG 45 N DAG 25 E NID 10 NNW NID 45 NE BFL 45 ESE FAT 55 N FAT 45 WNW TVL 35 ESE RBL 20 E RBL 10 ENE RBL 0 - RBL 20 SSW RBL 50 SSW RBL 45 E UKI 45 SE UKI 10 SW UKI 35 SSE EKA 20 S CEC 10 ENE CEC 35 E 4BK 30 SW MFR 15 E MFR 55 NNE MFR 60 ESE EUG 45 W RDM 45 NW RDM 35 SW DLS 15 SW DLS 0 - DLS 25 NW PDT 25 NNE ALW 15 SW PUW 15 NE LWS 20 E LWS 30 WNW P69 10 NNW P69 25 NNE P69 35 WNW MSO 30 SSE GPI 30 WNW CTB 90 N CTB ...CONT... 85 SE CRP 40 SE CRP 0 - ALI 30 NE LRD 45 WSW LRD ...CONT... 60 ENE HYA 20 W BOS 15 N PSF 20 ESE UCA 35 NW SYR 70 NNW ROC