Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across portions of the central and southern United States through Tuesday evening. An enhanced risk of severe weather is focused on parts of the central Plains, while a slight risk extends through the Southern Plains and parts of the Midwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 240059 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0757 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026 VALID TIME 240100Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 40950557 42120612 42550569 42240440 41530354 40010238 38060129 36579976 36499957 35819892 34479893 33699935 33200012 32890093 32890186 33090261 33540280 34210276 34770268 35840291 36460350 36590374 37570483 38470508 39850509 40950557 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 50009241 45559398 42449534 40599590 39239638 38169632 36189505 34339291 33809224 33099180 32339172 32029191 31869259 32319340 33159433 33729521 33929563 34129657 34049759 33959842 33540021 33290118 33080198 32740284 32690337 32980351 33550316 34420305 35380341 36440394 37010470 37290505 38180542 40140625 41520689 42090703 42700693 43060665 43180636 42970538 42600435 42480377 42500242 42810162 43299937 44389811 45899723 47429800 49750023 0.15 40050558 41410616 42320616 42480584 42490540 42470504 42190435 41700333 40810202 40070150 39330086 38800049 37939969 37709948 36329885 35149881 34399927 34000007 34130130 34280190 34730249 35100293 36510374 36920425 37480495 38470534 40050558 0.30 37160363 37460455 38070492 39030506 40030537 40450525 40780485 40900444 40860389 40750361 40250303 39660248 39250221 38480227 37960242 37630250 37200305 37160363 CIG1 40990185 38669921 37379668 36769634 36379638 35999669 35639737 35129817 34659876 34319920 33590026 33380135 33670246 34700301 36400388 36620406 37270504 38220544 40110624 41560691 42100701 42700693 43030666 43180635 42940536 42580432 40990185 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49099270 47099314 44869378 43499439 42139522 40939514 39029430 35369228 33809123 33159034 32548988 31828970 31448991 31309031 31329142 31599258 31739292 31939336 32529464 33039553 33489621 33779722 33849827 33769897 32600046 31670318 31920387 32430414 33250371 33640317 34460309 35430344 36450393 37280505 40120628 41000790 41370952 41741011 42091018 42390999 42630942 42970797 43180640 43130319 43170295 43349995 43489875 43939780 44549730 45239733 45809770 46509839 47209926 49490013 0.15 38840049 37909967 37169920 36019889 34999889 34489893 33819926 33010033 32870109 32920167 33000227 33240265 33720276 34670269 35810328 37090403 37470458 38340507 39470541 40680620 41340673 41670689 41980696 42270679 42500636 42550545 42180371 41100197 38840049 CIG1 37699960 36069905 34369913 33190006 32590124 32340189 32010261 31700315 31950381 32410407 33680305 35190306 36810373 37920428 38930485 40550584 41220663 41850694 42070693 42420673 42730617 42260456 41470291 40850229 40150160 38790098 37869976 37699960 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 40450525 40780485 40900444 40860389 40750361 40250303 39660248 39250221 38480227 37630250 37200305 37160363 37460455 38070492 39030506 40030537 40450525 SLGT 42270679 42500636 42550545 42180371 41100197 38840049 37709948 36329885 35149881 35019889 34489893 33819926 33010033 32870109 33000227 33240265 33720276 34670269 36510374 37480495 38470534 39630552 41340673 41980696 42270679 MRGL 49049271 47099314 44869378 43499439 42139522 40939514 39029430 35369228 33809123 33159034 32548988 31828970 31448991 31309031 31329142 31599258 32529464 33489621 33779722 33849827 33769897 32600046 31670318 31920387 32430414 33250371 33640317 34460309 35430344 36440394 37280505 40120628 41000790 41370952 41741011 42091018 42390999 42630942 42970797 43180640 43130319 43439921 44389811 45469748 45809770 46509839 47209926 49490013 TSTM 48628873 47148775 45908708 45258669 44728657 44398665 43928690 43598718 43308746 42978794 42348955 41809145 41469268 40899331 40159344 39429223 38119106 34898921 33578851 32158806 31298706 30988612 30608415 30388321 30438254 30688193 31018144 31738098 32368073 32988052 33498043 34018040 34408017 34677993 34757922 34607865 34517801 34687701 34927624 35217564 35737480 99999999 31010632 32260621 32760615 33110602 33620569 34350505 34880457 35750441 36500474 37060526 37770575 38170597 38650629 39200670 39630718 39910766 40510908 40770962 41060999 41431042 41791061 42391077 43031053 43441029 43750951 43870871 43820695 44070226 44340126 44850051 45540019 46290021 46690064 47050147 47310263 49700766 99999999 28428865 29549130 30239323 30739452 31319597 31559681 31719810 31660014 31530127 31300215 30920292 30400393 29620500 99999999 35301721 36421669 37551594 38041486 38031381 37731284 37021111 36591022 36070965 35410954 34810958 34680971 34481044 34871159 35341268 35221355 34471502 34151569 34011637 34381708 34741721 35301721 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W FCL 25 S CYS 25 SE CYS 50 WSW SNY 45 NNW AKO 10 ENE AKO 30 NNW ITR 0 - ITR 35 NE LAA 25 NNE SPD 25 WSW SPD 40 E TAD 20 NW TAD 25 WSW PUB 25 NW COS 35 SSW FCL 10 W FCL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE RWL 30 SSE CPR 15 SSW DGW 20 NNW BFF 45 NNW IML 50 SW HLC 25 E DDC 35 SSW AVK 25 ESE CSM 30 SE CSM 25 ESE LTS 45 WSW SPS 55 NW ABI 50 NNE BGS 55 SSW LBB 50 NE HOB 55 SE CVS 40 ENE CVS 35 W CAO 35 WNW TAD 40 SW COS 35 WSW DEN 40 SE RWL 20 NE RWL 40 NNE RWL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE INL 25 SW HIB 25 W MSP 10 S FRM 15 NE DNS 20 NE SDA 15 ESE MKC 45 N LIT 25 NNW GLH 30 SSW GWO 20 NE JAN 35 NW PIB 35 W PIB 15 NE MCB 20 SSW HEZ 20 NW ESF 10 NNE GGG 35 SSE DUA 30 W GYI 15 SE SPS 30 WSW SPS 45 WNW ABI 10 S INK 35 SE CNM 10 NE CNM 50 NW HOB 50 S CVS 15 ENE CVS 20 NNE TCC 35 ESE RTN 40 W TAD 45 NE EGE 40 NNW CAG 30 SW RKS 55 S BPI 35 S BPI 15 SSE BPI 35 E BPI 25 ESE RIW 20 N CPR 20 NNW CDR 25 SSE 9V9 0 - HON 40 NNW ATY 40 NE ABR 35 SSE JMS 35 NW JMS 100 NNE MOT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 N CMX 45 NNW MQT 10 N ESC 40 SSE ESC 35 NNW MBL 20 WNW MBL 40 SW MBL 45 SE MTW 35 NE MKE 0 - MKE 25 WNW RFD 15 ESE CID 30 NNW OTM 30 SSW OXV 25 NNE CDJ 40 N COU 40 E VIH 40 NNE UOX 0 - CBM 40 ESE MEI 10 S GZH 25 ENE CEW 20 NE TLH 30 S VLD 55 NNW GNV 20 NW JAX 10 S SSI 30 SSE SAV 30 ENE SAV 30 W CHS 25 E OGB 40 WSW FLO 30 WNW FLO 35 NNW FLO 25 SW FAY 30 SSE FAY 20 NNW ILM 25 S EWN 40 WSW HSE 0 - HSE 60 NE HSE ...CONT... 55 S ELP 35 NNE ELP 0 - ALM 20 NNE ALM 15 NW SRR 40 ENE 4CR 60 SSE LVS 40 E LVS 20 SW RTN 40 SE ALS 25 NNE ALS 50 N ALS 35 ENE GUC 10 E ASE 15 W EGE 40 S CAG 25 ENE VEL 25 NNW VEL 50 NNW VEL 35 ENE EVW 40 NNE EVW 35 WSW BPI 40 SSE JAC 25 ESE JAC 60 SSW COD 45 SSE COD 65 S SHR 35 W PHP 25 NE PHP 35 NNW PIR 10 E MBG 40 SE BIS 10 SE BIS 40 S N60 35 NNE DIK 115 NNW GGW ...CONT... 75 SE BVE 40 W HUM 0 - LCH 35 SSE LFK 50 NW UTS 25 E ACT 35 S SEP 30 NE SJT 50 SSE BGS 45 S MAF 0 - FST 0 - MRF 80 SW MRF ...CONT... 35 SE NID 40 WSW DRA 60 N DRA 35 NNW P38 45 WNW CDC 15 E CDC 20 ENE PGA 70 SSE U17 60 NW GUP 45 W GUP 45 NNE SOW 35 NNE SOW 30 WNW SOW 20 SSE FLG 50 NNW PRC 20 E IGM 30 SW EED 45 NE TRM 30 NNW TRM 35 SSW DAG 25 WSW DAG 35 SE NID