Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-04 19:49 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with the potential for tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the eastern and central United States during the day on July 4. The risk of these severe weather phenomena varies from marginal to enhanced across several large regions.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 041949 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0248 PM CDT SAT JUL 04 2026 VALID TIME 042000Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36919961 37279957 37699907 38169798 38509672 38609583 38349545 38059525 37449527 37039578 36769655 36649807 36659883 36919961 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45519904 47519599 47569466 47129393 46219318 45049444 44229569 44269755 44319810 44859894 45519904 0.05 38287919 39297808 39097719 38767681 37797723 37377841 37167946 37437984 37907964 38287919 0.05 37780444 38390512 39250544 39780545 41180470 42630367 43460414 44070453 44580445 44890396 44670305 44240232 43560134 43150077 42650017 42099962 41729940 41439939 41039934 40270008 39140132 38640115 38570050 39259892 39459726 39299608 38839478 38359389 37949369 37289387 36529496 35929601 35139861 33870158 33610213 33420279 33400360 33870383 34810343 35850252 36320226 36800218 37160218 37780444 0.05 41787821 42267719 42747605 43037521 43077400 42967319 42707253 42267231 41787271 41457345 41167440 41097568 41237715 41787821 0.15 39940477 41440395 41910364 42260318 42580243 42670196 42590140 42390074 42120033 41810019 41490016 41220030 40740083 40220184 39790261 39390293 38930338 38600359 38460382 38400414 38430447 38680473 39410490 39940477 0.15 38339541 37809522 37339549 36879641 36409776 36129912 36159994 36390013 36580008 36979947 37729866 38339721 38559664 38559595 38339541 CIG1 35890010 36220019 36709991 37069941 37729866 38509678 38589620 38319542 37899526 37359514 37029543 36709586 36349662 36049761 35839870 35789931 35769982 35890010 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37127492 36267656 36107700 35847854 35558070 35558133 35738188 36038232 36698309 37688404 38168482 38198536 37958662 37518754 36998811 33049116 32569160 32149237 32009273 32039326 32139360 32259397 32749471 33169555 33589651 33839716 34099798 34179920 34079985 33920072 33430159 33150240 32890330 32870375 32950408 33100420 33440432 33790431 34150423 34860374 35450305 36130255 36570257 36820260 37090277 37350298 37520332 37770397 38100459 38390486 38790508 39350522 39950518 40310506 42530274 44829972 45739901 46109847 46719766 47319660 47589601 47709565 47849501 47809376 47699310 47289280 46379277 45419284 44799324 44469350 44139409 43769482 43479533 42809660 42319653 41119597 40359523 40019442 39919383 39919324 40049248 40319185 40919136 41559069 42008983 42258821 42178731 41958593 41868440 41918238 42108078 42377957 42967693 43217616 43367491 43297308 43187110 42966930 0.15 38630127 38140291 38100341 38240411 38380435 38560456 38740470 38940474 39360455 40580355 41740283 42330228 42660172 42710141 42730097 42720058 42620017 42339932 41679925 40749931 40279963 39820008 39360049 38630127 99999999 37537447 36877634 36397810 36367872 36478012 36808118 37138184 37908235 38638294 39078389 39338496 39208636 38638719 37648859 36888961 36439100 36039238 35159388 34539505 34309555 34259601 34319664 34539740 34809810 35069870 35179951 35049997 34990044 34520104 34230137 34070182 33950226 34010260 34290277 35010232 35480156 36090059 37179931 37759866 38219743 38449682 38569478 39229284 39559196 39959104 40329057 41129013 41398982 41628920 41698875 41678809 41448736 41068589 40968541 40968416 40998286 41178197 41568030 42197766 42557623 42747535 42857477 42747381 42447268 40836927 0.30 40217447 39727421 38487491 37277620 36917719 36837784 36917920 36947993 37248012 37758001 39447843 40147692 40477510 40217447 0.30 37229844 37579770 37869558 37629470 37249440 36889435 36249443 35709473 35419525 35269602 35359656 35639710 35939778 36199864 36519900 36799894 37229844 0.30 38749251 39299097 39409013 39228954 38598947 38048994 37909057 37829189 37799229 38089258 38749251 0.45 38187801 38747787 39067773 39347741 39537713 39817672 39897636 39927603 39917580 39867542 39427509 38197595 37547656 37617732 38187801 CIG1 40227541 40217530 40177516 40097498 40027488 39857480 39707478 39557486 39007542 38737596 38627635 38607657 38667686 38757708 38847720 38937725 39107727 39347718 39527704 39637685 39847634 40227541 CIG1 33850350 34540287 36040061 37619882 38449702 38429480 37749356 37199314 36689301 36299294 35709340 35069389 34799450 34469522 34309552 34269611 34319654 34429713 34669779 34939850 35059884 35179945 35150015 34910050 34350115 33550219 33390253 33360317 33850350 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 36799894 37229844 37579770 37869558 37629470 37249440 36889435 36249443 35709473 35419525 35269602 35359656 35939778 36199864 36519900 36799894 ENH 39067773 39817672 39917618 40227541 40027488 39707478 39557486 39117530 38197595 37547656 37617732 38187801 39067773 SLGT 37337503 36877634 36397810 36367872 36478012 36808118 37138184 38638294 39078389 39338496 39208636 36888961 36039238 35159388 34309555 34259601 34319664 34539740 35069870 35179951 34990044 34230137 33950226 34010260 34290277 35010232 36090059 37759866 38559664 38509582 38569478 39559196 39959104 40329057 41129013 41398982 41628920 41678809 40968541 40998286 42857477 42747381 42447268 40886938 SLGT 39940477 41440395 41910364 42260318 42580243 42730097 42720058 42339932 41679925 40749931 40279963 38630127 38140291 38100341 38240411 38430447 38680473 39410490 39940477 MRGL 36957525 36107700 35558070 35558133 35738188 36038232 36698309 37688404 38168482 38198536 37958662 37518754 36998811 32569160 32009273 32039326 32259397 32749471 33169555 33839716 34099798 34179920 33920072 33430159 32890330 32870375 32950408 33100420 33440432 34150423 34860374 35450305 36130255 36820260 37350298 37780444 38390512 39250544 39780545 41180470 42630367 44070453 44580445 44890396 44670305 43580136 44829972 45739901 46719766 47589601 47849501 47809376 47699310 47289280 45419284 44469350 42809660 42319653 41119597 40359523 40019442 39919324 40049248 40319185 40919136 41559069 42008983 42258821 41958593 41868440 41918238 42108078 42967693 43217616 43367491 43187110 43006964 TSTM 28229493 29609580 30819642 31559687 32199744 32619821 32989914 33110005 33080069 32790143 32440223 32140261 31460281 30550264 29940233 29390212 99999999 31370677 32120695 32640696 33150684 33650658 34420597 35200545 35900516 36320520 36680548 37140581 38100629 39140655 44460633 45820575 46620523 47360494 48310479 49780483 99999999 44687662 44447176 44017000 43306875 99999999 48909147 48049146 47419114 46859043 46358925 45858761 45268539 45118444 44598315 44438223 44498160 44668076 99999999 36017500 35307700 35147909 34498048 33498127 32728153 31938146 31108112 30588066 99999999 45736709 46446891 47297065 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W AVK 10 ESE P28 15 WSW ICT 15 NNW CNU 35 NNW JLN 10 NE JLN 20 SSE JLN 20 NW FYV 35 NW FSM 20 SSE MKO 30 NNW MLC 30 SSE CQB 30 SSE END 40 S AVK 25 SW AVK 15 W AVK THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE MRB 30 SSE CXY 35 WNW ILG 25 NNW PHL 20 SSW TTN 20 NNW ACY 15 WNW ACY 10 E DOV 25 WSW SBY 50 NNW ORF 10 N RIC 25 E CHO 25 SSE MRB THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE WAL 10 WSW ORF 20 S AVC 35 N RDU 30 NNW GSO 35 S BLF 35 WSW BLF 30 NW HTS 30 E LUK 35 WNW LUK 15 ENE BMG 25 S CGI 15 SSE FLP 30 ESE FSM 40 SSE MLC 30 NE DUA 20 E ADM 25 NW ADM 35 NNW FSI 20 WSW CSM 40 NNW CDS 20 ENE PVW 30 NW LBB 50 ESE CVS 30 E CVS 35 WSW AMA 50 WSW GAG 30 N P28 30 WNW EMP 25 ENE EMP 20 S OJC 50 NNE COU 10 E UIN 45 SE BRL 30 SE MLI 35 E MLI 30 WNW MMO 35 NE MMO 10 W FWA 20 WNW MFD 35 ESE UCA 0 - ALB 20 N BAF 45 SE ACK THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE DEN 35 SSW BFF 0 - BFF 25 NW AIA 40 NNE AIA 25 WSW VTN 10 S VTN 40 NNW BUB 10 SW BUB 15 W EAR 45 SW EAR 55 SSE GLD 15 WNW LAA 0 - LHX 20 E PUB 10 N PUB 10 S COS 25 S DEN 15 NNE DEN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E ORF 45 ESE RZZ 25 NNE CLT 10 SSE HKY 30 W HKY 30 S TRI 40 WNW TRI 40 N LOZ 15 NW LEX 20 E SDF 35 ENE OWB 25 SW OWB 35 E PAH 25 E MLU 30 NE IER 20 NNW IER 15 SSW SHV 25 N GGG 35 S PRX 35 SSW ADM 30 ENE SPS 35 S LTS 45 SW CDS 20 SE LBB 15 NNW HOB 35 WNW HOB 35 SE ROW 25 SE ROW 15 NE ROW 60 NNE ROW 25 SSW TCC 35 ENE TCC 10 N DHT 30 S SPD 20 WNW SPD 35 S PUB 35 SW COS 45 SW DEN 30 W DEN 0 - CYS 30 WSW CDR 55 ESE GCC 55 ENE GCC 50 SSW 2WX 45 N RAP 35 SSE PHP 40 NE PIR 35 NW ABR 40 WSW FAR 35 SSE TVF 20 N BJI 55 SSW INL 25 NNW HIB 0 - HIB 40 NNE MSP 25 NE MKT 30 NNW SUX 10 SW SUX 15 SSW OMA 30 SSE SDA 30 ENE STJ 20 ENE CDJ 0 - IRK 40 ENE IRK 15 NW BRL 10 NW MLI 40 WSW RFD 40 SSW RAC 25 NE SBN 30 S JXN 45 NW CLE 30 W ERI 40 NW ITH 0 - SYR 30 ENE UCA 15 WNW PSM 55 SE PWM GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE LBX 30 W HOU 15 N CLL 20 ESE ACT 40 NNW ACT 15 SW MWL 50 NE ABI 50 NNW ABI 75 NE BGS 40 N BGS 35 N MAF 25 WNW MAF 30 SE INK 30 SSE FST 10 SW 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 40 SW ELP 40 WNW ELP 45 SSE TCS 25 E TCS 30 SE ONM 30 NW 4CR 35 SSW LVS 15 N LVS 45 N LVS 55 SSE ALS 20 S ALS 45 SE GUC 20 ESE ASE 40 ESE SHR 30 NNW 4BQ 40 SSW GDV 15 NNW GDV 40 ENE OLF 120 NNE OLF ...CONT... 55 NNW ART 25 WNW MWN 25 SSW AUG 80 SSW BHB ...CONT... 70 NNE ELO 20 ENE ELO 20 NE BFW 25 NNW IWD 50 NNE RHI 25 E IMT 40 NNE TVC 35 SSE PLN 15 NE OSC 60 NE BAX 85 NE BAX 125 ENE BAX ...CONT... 65 NNE HSE 15 N EWN 15 NW FAY 50 WNW FLO 25 W OGB 45 NNW SAV 20 SW SAV 20 E SSI 60 NE SGJ ...CONT... 45 SE HUL 50 SW CAR 125 WNW CAR