Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-03 16:02 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are forecast for Friday, July 3, 2026. An enhanced risk of severe weather is centered near the central United States, with slight and marginal risks extending across large portions of the eastern and central country.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 031602 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2026 VALID TIME 031630Z - 041200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 43540122 42549997 42669804 42539494 41669450 40569571 40779772 41870014 41840142 42200267 42500317 43890426 44410415 44550374 44490302 44100177 43540122 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49660245 48170215 47850092 46499978 45799806 43919739 42489299 41938999 42518778 42268682 41778662 40928701 40478959 40119187 39669341 39629556 39549655 38939909 37239927 35950050 35640164 36550218 36950202 37580173 38510124 39560127 40670314 41470421 43590473 44370709 45900923 47030932 47780798 48530746 49350703 0.05 47779610 47959424 47769276 47449224 47039230 45959351 45869542 46309686 47109709 47779610 0.05 36398687 36808424 36388320 35698304 35158336 34848496 35418634 36398687 0.15 41720224 42650308 42900335 43640396 45510407 46020295 45910186 45170113 44230025 43709843 42659413 42079376 41329365 40619548 41720224 CIG1 43780389 44350433 45190465 45880461 46150401 45900198 45370128 44630066 44300014 43629773 43299607 42639494 41259535 40989688 41099784 41299907 41570094 41750228 43780389 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37637389 37557789 36747878 36297980 35748083 34588272 33158390 33048513 33378760 33828853 34948870 36558834 37918697 38608701 38408946 38679410 39179652 39099784 37869885 35920054 35620157 36550215 37040196 37750182 38530144 39560180 41110372 43940451 44360644 45230739 46340845 48020764 49210604 99999999 49410349 47060314 46370127 45199936 44859717 43399398 43019189 43438681 44058199 99999999 45227558 44217361 43247125 42296928 0.05 47739619 47979428 47769281 47429226 46949232 45959352 45929554 46299687 47109709 47739619 0.15 39999323 39959502 39659803 40179924 41020036 41800241 43050362 43970403 45450400 46080282 45910101 43599777 42709189 42538532 42608144 43557883 43317434 42817307 41467264 39657389 39317483 39147579 39457705 39727899 39818075 40408502 40549182 39999323 0.30 41840011 43029844 42849501 41949442 41209462 41209466 40469511 40149644 40119752 40539873 41379958 41840011 CIG1 41380120 41750228 42280294 43000353 43530386 44340408 45060404 45400358 45500223 43819871 43599765 42589236 41649184 40389297 39999454 39809629 39599811 41380120 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 43029844 42849501 41949442 41209462 40469511 40149644 40119752 40539873 41840011 43029844 SLGT 43267962 43557883 43317434 42817307 41467264 39657389 39317483 39147579 39457705 39727899 39818075 40408502 40549182 39999323 39959502 39659803 40179924 41020036 41800241 43050362 43640396 43970403 45510407 46080282 45910101 43599777 42709189 42538532 42598197 MRGL 45227557 44217361 43247125 42346937 99999999 49490242 48170215 47850092 46499978 45799806 44949776 44859717 43399398 43019189 43438681 44098166 99999999 37617477 37557789 36747878 35748083 34588272 33158390 33048513 33378760 33828853 34948870 36558834 37918697 38608701 38408946 38679410 39179652 39099784 37409925 37239927 35950050 35640164 36550218 37110195 37750182 38530144 39560180 41470421 43590473 44370709 45900923 47030932 47780798 48530746 49350703 MRGL 47779610 47979428 47769276 47449224 46949232 45959351 45869542 46299687 47109709 47779610 TSTM 36587437 36947606 36727683 35987760 35667845 35178010 34558119 33698225 32868291 31948432 32118508 32348626 32128679 31798692 31228672 30918447 30998187 31358063 31538007 99999999 27459663 28579773 30319809 31449768 32809767 34359779 35519652 35809604 36349520 36629519 36719543 36779585 36869609 37209623 37639682 37609739 37119812 36159898 35359996 34760116 33780231 32900286 31840304 30720275 29760234 28800197 99999999 30980741 32780748 34270648 34640555 35180416 35920335 37010301 37690299 38780310 39560366 40090502 40450612 40430783 40210961 40121028 40191119 40491207 41161244 41211349 41491385 41821427 42111431 42461400 42941307 43451235 43781209 43951215 44001221 44271270 44771356 45211427 45441437 46061425 46841258 47361108 47681004 48340919 49480861 99999999 37771922 37941981 38282026 38682052 39142070 39592056 39732015 39591963 39241917 38841872 38541841 38241830 37871843 37731897 37771922 99999999 48899003 47448767 46388496 45958320 45898060 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE ONL 20 NE SLB 45 SSW FOD 55 NW LWD 25 SE SDA 20 ESE BIE 40 N CNK 15 WSW HSI 40 NW BBW 40 NNE ONL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW BUF 45 N BUF 35 W GFL 30 NNE PSF 30 S BDL 35 SE NEL 15 SW ACY 15 W DOV 30 NW BWI 45 SSE LBE 25 SSW HLG 25 ENE MIE 40 WSW BRL 20 ENE CDJ 15 NNW STJ 20 WNW CNK 40 SSW EAR 20 ESE LBF 25 SE AIA 30 WNW CDR 55 WSW RAP 50 W RAP 25 W 2WX 35 WNW Y22 40 NW MBG 20 SE MHE 30 ENE ALO 25 NNE AZO 45 E MTC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW MSS 30 SW BTV 15 ENE CON 65 NE HYA ...CONT... 100 NNW MOT 40 W MOT 25 ENE N60 50 ESE BIS 30 NE ABR 30 W ATY 0 - ATY 30 SE FRM 40 NE ALO 35 WNW MKG 70 ENE BAX ...CONT... 45 ESE WAL 30 W RIC 35 ENE DAN 35 N CLT 0 - AND 35 NNW MCN 0 - LGC 10 N TCL 15 NNW CBM 45 N TUP 45 SSE PAH 15 NE OWB 45 SSW BMG 25 ESE BLV 30 W SZL 10 ENE MHK 25 NNW SLN 40 WNW P28 40 W P28 45 WSW GAG 15 WSW BGD 35 SSW EHA 10 NNW EHA 50 N EHA 60 SSE GLD 15 NNW GLD 40 S TOR 65 NNE DGW 30 S SHR 35 WNW BIL 0 - LWT 70 WSW GGW 45 WNW GGW 80 NNW GGW THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S TVF 45 NE BJI 25 N HIB 35 SSW ELO 10 NW DLH 40 NE STC 0 - AXN 45 S FAR 20 NW FAR 20 S TVF GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 SSE WAL 10 ENE ORF 35 WSW ORF 20 ENE RWI 25 SE RDU 40 W SOP 45 N CAE 30 NW AGS 45 ENE MCN 30 NNW ABY 30 SSW CSG 10 ENE MGM 20 SE SEM 25 NNE GZH 25 SE GZH 35 NNW TLH 25 WSW SSI 50 ENE SSI 80 ESE SAV ...CONT... 60 ESE CRP 15 NNW NIR 25 W AUS 25 NW TPL 15 W FTW 40 ESE FSI 20 SE CQB 30 SSW TUL 30 SW GMJ 25 W GMJ 35 E BVO 10 E BVO 0 - BVO 30 NNW BVO 35 E ICT 0 - ICT 30 ESE P28 45 SSW AVK 45 W CSM 45 SE AMA 30 WNW LBB 25 NE HOB 10 ENE INK 15 SE FST 20 SSW 6R6 75 WSW DRT ...CONT... 90 SSE DMN 35 SSW TCS 30 NE ONM 40 N 4CR 30 W TCC 40 SSW CAO 30 SW SPD 30 SSW LAA 45 SE LIC 20 N LIC 25 NNW DEN 65 SSW LAR 15 WSW CAG 15 SSW VEL 45 NE PUC 45 NNW PUC 20 SSW SLC 20 W OGD 45 NE ENV 55 N ENV 45 SSE TWF 25 SSE TWF 15 WSW BYI 25 W PIH 15 WSW IDA 20 N IDA 30 N IDA 35 NNW IDA 30 SW MQM 30 SSE SMN 20 WNW SMN 30 NW SMN 60 S MSO 30 ENE 3DU 15 ESE GTF 50 NNW LWT 30 ESE HVR 85 NE HVR ...CONT... 55 WNW BIH 60 NE MER 45 SSW TVL 30 WSW TVL 40 WNW TVL 45 W RNO 25 NW RNO 10 NE RNO 30 SW NFL 45 S NFL 70 SSE NFL 60 N BIH 35 N BIH 40 NW BIH 55 WNW BIH ...CONT... 80 N GNA 40 ENE CMX 30 WSW ANJ 65 NNE APN 155 ENE APN