Day 1 Areal Outline
Issued:
Summary
Severe thunderstorms capable of producing wind, hail, and a marginal risk of tornadoes are expected across much of the central and eastern United States today. These storms range from marginal to slight risk levels in various regions including parts of the Plains, Midwest, and South.
Product Text
000 WUUS01 KWNS 161207 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0705 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026 VALID TIME 161300Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29340137 29810112 30220043 30249963 29749921 29269928 28979998 28660093 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48729164 47819305 47419490 47699902 48309989 49440091 0.05 49521223 47970981 44700832 44411016 44721248 44801417 45181811 45661861 46971831 48161846 49481745 0.15 45381090 45401245 46321422 47351441 47791334 47431152 45911030 45561036 45381090 && ... WIND ... 0.05 46497057 45806859 44966725 44346660 99999999 42606962 42887079 43657367 44367476 45337537 0.05 48729164 47819304 47419490 47699902 48299986 49450091 0.05 50091310 47990983 44690832 44411014 44721261 44201378 43711434 43091383 42581296 42191277 41771362 41781550 42091643 42961735 44891852 45391869 46961831 48151847 49481745 0.05 38567422 39077700 39648055 39878147 40128156 40308134 40457988 40627672 40577502 40277290 0.15 42986959 43527088 44267212 45227320 99999999 46087082 45596913 44946793 44166701 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 46087082 45596913 44946793 44166701 99999999 43006964 43527088 44267212 45227320 SLGT 47791334 47431152 45911030 45561036 45381090 45401245 46321422 47351441 47791334 MRGL 29340137 29810112 30220043 30249963 29749921 29269928 28660093 MRGL 38587432 39648055 39878147 40128156 40308134 40627672 40577502 40277290 MRGL 46497057 45806859 44966725 44416667 99999999 42606962 43657367 44367476 45317536 MRGL 49521221 47970981 44690832 44411016 44721261 44201378 43711434 43091383 42581296 42191277 41771362 41781550 42091643 42961735 44891852 45391869 46971831 48151847 49481745 MRGL 48729164 47819304 47419490 47699902 48309989 49440091 TSTM 41816887 43737511 45617654 99999999 32031665 32481677 33241700 34591693 36351684 38091742 38381795 38781834 39641814 41161789 43091866 44591986 44912111 44712204 44672321 44802405 45452477 46142574 99999999 37290363 35770369 35020372 34810325 35400214 35860110 36490018 37559955 38419905 39119832 41049719 42789338 45979511 46199955 46170015 43750299 43360338 43160440 43100528 42610591 41780597 38510416 37290363 99999999 34909224 34209278 33269221 32389061 31948908 31468803 31238716 31968644 32688654 33418723 34588990 34909224 99999999 37367453 37617785 38248056 38108191 36848176 35598094 34808063 33937939 32947798 99999999 48778898 47828723 45638637 44018667 42498627 41418505 40968297 40988031 40817566 40467017 99999999 25569769 27199825 27130001 99999999 49570840 48380748 47950663 47820591 47640496 49740375 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 N BML 55 NNW BGR 40 NNE BHB 50 S EPM ...CONT... 55 SE PWM 30 N PSM 20 E MPV 50 N BTV THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE GPI 10 WSW GTF 15 NNE LVM 10 SSE LVM 30 SSE BZN 10 NNE DLN 40 S MSO 35 NNW MSO 55 SE GPI THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W DRT 35 NNW DRT 45 WSW JCT 20 SSE JCT 25 N HDO 10 SW HDO 50 S DRT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE ACY 40 S HLG 25 ESE ZZV 20 ENE ZZV 45 S CAK 30 NNE CXY 25 NNW TTN 35 SSE ISP THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 130 NNE BML 45 WSW HUL 10 WNW EPM 40 SSE EPM ...CONT... 75 NNE HYA 20 N GFL 30 W SLK 35 NW MSS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N CTB 40 S HVR 35 ENE COD 65 NNE JAC 20 NW MQM 55 NNE SUN 15 N SUN 35 N BYI 30 SW PIH 25 W MLD 55 S BYI 35 ESE OWY 15 NW OWY 35 NE REO 35 W BKE 20 SSE PDT 60 N ALW 55 NW GEG 130 N GEG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N ELO 30 NNW HIB 10 S BJI 30 S DVL 45 WNW DVL 85 NNE MOT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 ENE ACK 40 NNE UCA 115 NNW ART ...CONT... 40 SSW CZZ 20 WSW CZZ 35 NNE SAN 20 SSW DAG 50 WSW DRA 20 W TPH 50 WNW TPH 55 SSE NFL 35 SE LOL 20 NNW WMC 40 SSE BNO 70 ENE RDM 45 N RDM 50 ESE SLE 20 SSW SLE 15 N ONP 70 NNW ONP 90 W AST ...CONT... 40 E TAD 40 N TCC 15 SSW TCC 30 N CVS 25 WNW AMA 20 ENE BGD 25 WNW GAG 30 ESE DDC 35 SSW RSL 30 ENE RSL 30 SSE OLU 25 S MCW 15 ENE AXN 60 NE MBG 45 NNE MBG 20 S RAP 40 NNW CDR 55 ENE DGW 25 N DGW 30 WSW DGW 35 NNW LAR 25 NE PUB 40 E TAD ...CONT... 10 N LIT 25 SE HOT 35 SW LLQ 30 W JAN 35 SW MEI 55 NNE MOB 15 SSW GZH 25 S MGM 30 NNW MGM 25 ENE TCL 25 WNW UOX 10 N LIT ...CONT... 65 SE WAL 30 WNW RIC 35 NNW SSU 25 SW CRW 45 SW BLF 25 N CLT 35 SSE CLT 25 SE FLO 75 SE CRE ...CONT... 115 NNW CMX 90 N MQT 35 E ESC 25 SW MBL 25 NNE BEH 30 NNE FWA 25 WNW MFD 25 SE YNG 15 NW ABE 55 S ACK ...CONT... 30 SW BRO 40 SSW ALI 45 SW LRD ...CONT... 95 NE HVR 40 WNW GGW 20 S GGW 25 SW OLF 35 NNW GDV 110 N ISN