Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-11 16:32 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and damaging winds, are expected across much of the central and southern United States on Saturday. Risk levels vary from marginal to slight for several regions, with general thunderstorms affecting a broad area from the Southwest through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 111632 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 AM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026 VALID TIME 111630Z - 121200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36268728 36368844 36438930 36649017 36929054 37359065 37629048 37998995 38298905 38328822 38138743 37898706 37558655 37368633 37088624 36838635 36408669 36268728 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36599811 36709456 36279026 35698973 35018983 34839076 34769238 34879450 35219788 35399832 35829850 36239849 36599811 0.05 31341212 31991190 32451146 32691058 32560983 32270933 31740910 30950900 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31941448 33231293 33751157 33620979 33820843 34220737 35090634 36340521 36940412 37170278 37389957 37359679 37279423 37299250 37569152 38189087 38819056 39518953 39698740 39738388 39478177 39308040 39287853 39817747 40587645 40707578 40397476 39387356 99999999 29488041 28118093 27688145 27758215 28128264 29128308 29878397 30528542 31228594 31938600 32448636 32828724 33028887 33269064 33549246 34309568 34399753 34259937 33960095 32990470 32300590 31730656 31200692 0.15 32127966 32908078 33508192 34058363 34188548 34168754 34359089 34829363 35239504 35209787 35409834 35839849 36259849 36599811 36689109 37408934 37618809 37498671 37078559 36318437 35718369 35618282 35898172 35588021 35197861 34587738 34037672 0.15 31581387 32481311 33181171 33251005 32680904 30850905 CIG1 36639882 36789831 36829673 36649586 36049563 35559577 35239614 34989799 35179881 35719911 36329908 36639882 CIG1 31901453 32721352 33191172 33231032 32580970 31570947 30670984 31901453 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31701377 32481311 33181171 33251005 32680904 30850905 SLGT 32127966 32908078 33508192 34058363 34188548 34168754 34359089 34829363 35239504 35209787 35409834 35839849 36259849 36599811 36689109 37408934 37618809 37498671 37078559 36318437 35718369 35618282 35898172 35588021 35197861 34587738 34037672 MRGL 29488041 28118093 27688145 27758215 28128264 29128308 29878397 30528542 31228594 31938600 32448636 32828724 33549246 34309568 34399753 34259937 33960095 32990470 32300590 31730656 31290686 99999999 31961445 33231293 33751157 33620979 33820843 34220737 35090634 36340521 36940412 37170278 37389957 37299250 37569152 38189087 38819056 39518953 39698740 39738388 39308040 39287853 39817747 40587645 40707578 40397476 39397357 TSTM 26827948 25198062 24908091 23558309 99999999 29780496 29850461 29920423 30150353 30670240 30950190 31410095 31730000 31939891 32229744 32499712 32929722 33139761 33199877 33040144 32850293 32590399 32220461 31680556 31290587 30910605 99999999 48068619 47368698 46288827 45378949 44829040 44389130 44229249 44479329 45409406 46569481 46919545 47289682 47279856 47239909 46680025 45770112 44060173 42260217 40410240 39990231 39580200 38980102 38679979 38529801 38449627 38399508 38489378 38679307 39069238 39599173 40289058 40728968 41028893 41168789 41458456 41488332 41518095 41597991 41817842 42067760 42437645 42557533 42337438 42047395 41507375 40977368 40527364 40167340 40047314 99999999 32161514 32661486 33671426 34831338 35091312 35201291 35291253 35281203 35301141 35241087 35071017 34930958 34900912 34920882 35030851 35290830 35810801 36490786 37550757 40290653 43750548 45490486 46860407 47700359 48770275 49610208 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SE YUM 40 SW GBN 25 SE PHX 35 NW SAD 35 ESE SAD 55 SE DUG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE CHS 40 S OGB 10 NNE AGS 20 WNW AHN 20 WSW RMG 40 S MSL 60 N GLH 40 NW HOT 30 WNW RKR 10 NE CHK 30 NW CHK 50 SW END 35 SSE AVK 20 NNW END 40 NNW ARG 20 NE CGI 40 SW EVV 30 ESE OWB 45 E BWG 40 NNW TYS 20 ESE TYS 20 S HSS 20 WNW HKY 40 SSW GSO 20 NE FAY 20 SE OAJ 75 SSE EWN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE DAB 20 W MLB 10 WNW AGR 35 NE SRQ 15 N PIE 35 S CTY 45 SSE TLH 25 NE PFN 30 WSW DHN 0 - TOI 10 NNE MGM 35 NNW SEM 30 NE ELD 40 S MLC 30 WNW ADM 30 SSW LTS 45 ESE PVW 25 SSW ROW 40 SSE ALM 10 WSW ELP 45 SW ELP ...CONT... 50 S YUM 25 NNW GBN 35 NE PHX 45 SSE SOW 85 N SVC 30 WNW ONM 15 ENE ABQ 50 N LVS 25 SSE TAD 10 SW SPD 35 SE DDC 40 SSW TBN 40 SSE VIH 35 NW FAM 10 WNW STL 25 SSE SPI 15 NNW HUF 20 ESE DAY 35 SW MGW 30 WSW MRB 15 ENE HGR 30 NE CXY 20 W ABE 10 NNE TTN 60 SE NEL GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE PBI 40 NE MTH 15 NE MTH 110 SW EYW ...CONT... 70 SW MRF 50 SW MRF 35 SSW MRF 35 ESE MRF 35 ESE FST 65 NNE 6R6 25 W SJT 40 NE SJT 10 NNE BWD 40 S FTW 25 SSE FTW 10 NE FTW 25 NNW FTW 50 NW MWL 50 SSE LBB 20 NE HOB 25 NE CNM 20 WSW CNM 45 WSW GDP 45 SE ELP 65 SSE ELP ...CONT... 125 NNE MQT 65 NNE MQT 35 NNW IMT 20 S RHI 35 W CWA 35 N LSE 20 N RST 30 S MSP 10 S STC 35 WNW BRD 20 ENE DTL 25 N FAR 25 NNE JMS 30 NW JMS 25 ESE BIS 35 WNW MBG 0 - PHP 35 ENE AIA 40 W IML 50 N ITR 20 NW GLD 45 SE GLD 50 S HLC 25 SW SLN 10 NNW EMP 35 SSW OJC 20 SW SZL 25 E SZL 20 NNW COU 40 SW UIN 40 NE UIN 0 - PIA 25 SSW MMO 45 ESE MMO 40 WSW TOL 25 ESE TOL 25 NW YNG 15 N FKL 10 E BFD 35 WSW ELM 0 - ITH 40 S UCA 40 SW ALB 30 N POU 10 SE POU 25 NNE JFK 10 SE JFK 40 SSE JFK 50 S ISP ...CONT... 45 SW YUM 15 W YUM 25 E BLH 45 SE IGM 45 ESE IGM 45 NW PRC 45 N PRC 25 WNW FLG 20 NE FLG 15 NNW INW 30 E INW 50 NNE SOW 45 SSW GUP 40 S GUP 35 SSE GUP 25 WNW GNT 45 N GNT 25 SE FMN 30 NNE DRO 50 NNE EGE 40 S GCC 25 E 4BQ 35 NNE BHK 35 S ISN 55 NE ISN 100 NNW MOT