Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-28 12:55 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and southern United States on Tuesday, July 28. Risks range from slight to marginal for parts of the Plains and Southeast, with general thunderstorms forecasted across a broad area including the Midwest and South.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 281255 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0753 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026 VALID TIME 281300Z - 291200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 34317905 34598081 34758202 34448380 34788488 35288482 36498374 37848152 37918061 38077895 38477824 39047733 40207599 40557501 40247431 39517438 38897494 38097525 37897536 37017556 35217548 34747605 34327800 34317905 0.05 34828075 35068138 35428141 36178000 36677924 37647783 37957713 37967663 37677623 37047599 36237572 35777585 35157683 34837873 34828075 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 33918226 34328336 34738390 35168411 35418413 35868409 36248391 36748341 37388238 38458070 39807855 40077691 40097604 39977567 39457526 38637553 37577622 36687618 35757686 35017952 34138051 33898117 33918226 0.05 37790409 37820445 38090487 38590504 39330518 41490526 42320504 42590454 42680391 42560329 42200295 41540287 39430260 38410280 37930310 37840355 37790409 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37670388 37810441 38080486 38630505 39320518 41500527 42320502 42580457 42670390 42560328 42070266 40420214 39730183 38140185 37760219 37680310 37670388 0.05 32417791 33208320 33618488 34458615 35008667 35618670 36168634 37548490 40408030 41247838 41407656 41487426 41117361 40067283 0.15 33057799 33338080 33738272 34808396 35118413 35478413 35858410 36218391 36638352 39807858 40197697 40577573 40677517 40527469 40157403 39447351 0.30 34318029 34668206 35118251 35378243 35728214 36058184 36668092 38127863 38707753 39777614 39687540 38797501 38177549 37317600 36347629 35397680 34857751 34437813 34077887 34318029 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 33117856 33338080 33738272 34808396 35118413 35858410 36218391 36638352 39807858 40677517 40527469 40157403 39487354 MRGL 32567894 33208320 33618488 34458615 35008667 35618670 36168634 37548490 40408030 41247838 41407656 41487426 41117361 40067283 MRGL 42320504 42590454 42680391 42560328 42070266 40420214 39730183 38140185 37760219 37670388 37820445 38090487 39320518 41500527 42320504 TSTM 31331333 34611427 35881415 37191327 37541265 38631270 39351293 39741396 40991620 42051624 44161372 47391105 48670738 48410642 47570590 46700491 46260443 44350146 43070065 41819910 41579824 41249500 39509213 36688929 36088849 35938752 36098728 36728672 37588605 38078568 38808486 38858399 39258285 39598236 40918170 42898038 99999999 28398836 29008865 29798936 30638926 31178874 30878402 30548039 99999999 32107980 32107980 32378416 32958677 34339139 35009328 35469442 36389579 36959679 37149766 37049871 36599984 35690118 34210297 33230460 32380553 31560583 30710577 99999999 49599676 46229444 44439352 43189491 43159660 43709818 45539985 50000001 99999999 47706857 46706960 45046995 43947022 40487159 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE CRE 10 SSE OGB 40 ESE AHN 70 S TYS 50 S TYS 0 - TYS 25 N TYS 45 SE LOZ 35 SSW AOO 15 E ABE 20 NNE TTN 20 ENE NEL 55 SE NEL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S CRE 45 NE MCN 25 W ATL 35 N GAD 25 NNE HSV 35 S BNA 20 E BNA 40 SSW LEX 10 SSW PIT 25 E DUJ 20 ENE IPT 20 WSW POU 25 W BDR 50 SSE ISP THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE DGW 40 NNW TOR 45 NNE TOR 20 SSW CDR 0 - AIA 30 WSW IML 25 NNW GLD 45 E LAA 35 SE LAA 30 SW LHX 30 S PUB 25 WSW PUB 35 SSW DEN 25 ENE LAR 35 SSE DGW GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 SSW GBN 25 ESE EED 45 NNW IGM 20 ENE SGU 25 ESE CDC 20 NE MLF 20 W U24 55 NE ELY 25 WNW EKO 10 NNW OWY 55 NNE SUN 15 ESE GTF 45 NW GGW 15 NE GGW 40 SSW OLF 30 S GDV 10 SW BHK 20 NNE PHP 15 NNW VTN 0 - BUB 40 N GRI 40 NNE SDA 45 N COU 40 SSE CGI 40 NE MKL 45 S CKV 35 SSE CKV 25 SW BWG 45 SSW SDF 10 SSE SDF 30 SW LUK 30 SE LUK 35 W UNI 25 NNW UNI 15 W CAK 55 N ERI ...CONT... 90 SE BVE 50 ESE BVE 30 N BVE 20 NW GPT 40 ESE PIB 20 SW MGR 70 NE SGJ ...CONT... 55 SSE CHS 55 SSE CHS 35 SW MCN 45 S BHM 35 ENE PBF 20 SSW RUE 10 NNW FSM 15 NNE TUL 25 NE PNC 35 SSW ICT 20 N AVK 20 N GAG 10 E BGD 25 ESE CVS 0 - ROW 45 SE ALM 35 ESE ELP 85 SSE ELP ...CONT... 60 N HCO 20 SW BRD 25 NE MKT 10 E SPW 30 SSE FSD 10 WSW MHE 30 E MBG 135 NNE MOT ...CONT... 65 NNW CAR 75 W CAR 50 N AUG 20 NNE PWM 50 S BID