Day 3 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-23 19:32 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a slight risk of severe weather are forecast for parts of the Southern Plains, including areas near Amarillo and Lubbock, through Monday. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms also extend across much of the Mississippi Valley and Southeast regions through Monday.

Product Text

000 WUUS03 KWNS 231932 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0230 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026 VALID TIME 251200Z - 261200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 48779010 47158971 45278992 44049088 43119202 42159359 41419480 40399591 38019793 35929921 34870020 34290092 34060192 34160301 34520386 35780473 36240491 37950496 39370478 40090475 40550446 41220380 41530327 41910246 42000098 41929957 42489779 43219644 44529542 50109527 0.05 29908452 29958794 30028972 30309090 30689168 31209221 31709226 32529176 32999120 33749055 33979009 33828945 33438893 32908837 32168764 31838707 31688628 31988426 32398229 33218103 33118040 32718014 31918036 29918158 29908452 0.15 36350358 37740364 39200316 39910255 40570127 40929997 41019887 40659844 40079883 39249982 37170057 35610123 34910184 34750252 34830293 35480359 36350358 CIG1 41990071 41949961 42489775 42959696 43479615 44709537 49739534 49309254 48339165 46659192 45149228 43209374 40409753 39659822 37659909 35219982 34400086 34230134 34090218 34130278 34360357 34740416 35810477 36390504 37990496 38590487 39220479 40110474 40560443 41200385 41910246 41990071 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 39200316 39910255 40570127 40929997 41019887 40659844 40079883 39249982 37170057 35610123 34910184 34750252 34830293 35480359 37740364 39200316 MRGL 32529176 32999120 33749055 33979009 33828945 33438893 32168764 31838707 31688628 31988426 32398229 33218103 33118040 32718014 31918036 29918158 30028972 30309090 30689168 31209221 31709226 32529176 MRGL 48579005 47158971 45278992 44049088 43119202 41419480 40399591 38019793 35929921 34870020 34290092 34060192 34160301 34520386 35780473 36240491 37950496 40090475 40550446 41220380 41910246 42000098 41929957 42489779 43219644 44529542 49729528 TSTM 28379510 30509508 32189574 32939633 33269693 33319771 33169880 32910036 32480210 31890808 30810859 99999999 45886674 44796839 43017091 42187280 41787380 41507513 41577839 41687920 41948047 42348105 43368086 99999999 47848399 43528612 42108748 41388881 41208970 41139160 40769309 40429391 39799451 39229451 38539415 38049329 37709236 37249103 36668989 36048905 35028824 33658764 32608756 32068715 32028640 32418531 34358132 35377704 36067471 99999999 31831726 33251710 35371656 37191627 39521624 41051655 42111731 43121868 44801936 45731926 46481854 46691786 46951659 47111537 47201346 47161133 46710954 45940780 45380627 45010487 44890392 45130193 45490074 46249886 47289762 48079686 48839621 49569596 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E LIC 50 NNW ITR 20 E IML 40 SSW BBW 20 NNE EAR 0 - HSI 40 SSW HSI 10 S HLC 25 ENE LBL 10 ESE BGD 20 SSW AMA 50 ENE CVS 40 NE CVS 20 N TCC 20 SSW LHX 30 E LIC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E MLU 35 SSW GLH 30 NE GLH 30 N GWO 40 S UOX 30 WSW CBM 40 WSW SEM 30 N GZH 20 SW TOI 30 N ABY 15 NNE VDI 20 SSW OGB 25 NW CHS 15 SSW CHS 50 ESE SAV 15 WSW SGJ 25 SSE ASD 20 SE BTR 35 WNW BTR 15 SSE ESF 20 N ESF 15 E MLU THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE GNA 45 NNE IWD 30 NNW AUW 20 ENE LSE 45 NNE ALO 50 SE DNS 25 NW FNB 0 - HUT 40 N CSM 30 N CDS 40 WSW CDS 15 WSW PVW 25 SE CVS 30 WNW CVS 25 ENE LVS 40 SW RTN 35 SW PUB 25 NNE DEN 30 ENE FCL 45 SSW BFF 20 ESE AIA 0 - MHN 25 WNW BUB 35 SW YKN 30 SSE FSD 15 W RWF 55 N RRT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE LBX 30 SE UTS 25 WSW TYR 30 E DAL 30 N DAL 40 NNW FTW 50 WNW MWL 50 NW ABI 35 N MAF 35 SW DMN 75 SE DUG ...CONT... 70 NNE EPM 25 N BHB 0 - PSM 0 - BAF 10 NNE POU 20 SW MSV 20 SE BFD 35 S JHW 20 WSW ERI 50 WNW ERI 95 NNW ERI ...CONT... 95 N ANJ 25 NNE MKG 50 SSE RAC 0 - MMO 35 N PIA 35 NW BRL 35 S OXV 15 S LWD 20 E STJ 10 NNE MKC 35 WSW SZL 50 SSE SZL 15 WSW TBN 45 NW POF 35 ESE POF 20 E DYR 40 WNW MSL 30 N TCL 45 S TCL 20 SSW SEM 20 S MGM 15 SSE AUO 30 NNW CAE 20 N EWN 75 NE HSE ...CONT... 60 S SAN 35 N SAN 40 NNE DAG 40 NNW DRA 15 W P68 35 NNE BAM 45 SE REO 35 SSE BNO 65 SSW PDT 20 W PDT 30 NNW ALW 45 NNE ALW 30 ENE PUW 35 S 3TH 40 NNW 3DU 20 S GTF 25 S LWT 35 ENE BIL 40 W 4BQ 40 SE 4BQ 50 SSW 2WX 55 SSE Y22 15 W MBG 50 S JMS 50 SSW GFK 15 ENE GFK 25 W ROX 50 NNW ROX