Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-22 12:52 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a slight risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southeastern United States through Wednesday. Marginal risks for severe weather also extend across portions of the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and the Great Plains.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 221252 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0750 AM CDT WED JUL 22 2026 VALID TIME 221300Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 45426667 43846960 43607047 44247098 45907168 0.02 36197509 35537639 35187914 35528039 36178033 36927935 38537698 38877613 38947489 39007361 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45926652 44266889 43996948 43587046 44227139 45897168 && ... WIND ... 0.05 35617435 35067746 34458091 34318212 34418308 35128329 36208159 37277986 38267867 39197738 40057513 40687415 41517313 44097179 45877166 0.05 38320282 39550436 40110457 40560465 41480470 41900375 41180214 40130134 39030123 38280185 38320282 0.05 42522236 43762282 45182240 45632111 45222021 44141965 42762021 42262134 42522236 0.15 36057452 35977784 36067892 36367907 36767898 37437852 37867822 38447743 38587533 38167403 0.15 46526716 45226835 44546950 44617017 45097041 46857050 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36047497 35977784 36067892 36367907 36767898 37867822 38447743 38587533 38297443 SLGT 46516717 45226835 44546950 44617017 45097041 46857050 MRGL 35527483 34458091 34318212 34418308 35128329 37277986 38267867 39197738 40057513 40687415 41517313 44097179 45747167 MRGL 41900375 41180214 40130134 39030123 38280185 38320282 39550436 40560465 41480470 41900375 MRGL 45182240 45632111 45222021 44141965 42762021 42262134 42522236 43762282 45182240 TSTM 47062459 47612303 47552201 47422096 46822035 45752001 45061923 44711840 44761764 45091699 45871626 47301419 47871251 47961067 47670816 47100521 46300273 45350068 43699781 42049585 40969503 39439458 38499453 37459473 36999540 36579689 36419827 36149897 35769935 35439925 34709858 33079711 32269589 32099500 32179367 32309238 33139090 35388746 37148346 38797908 40707479 41437366 42507301 43907264 45437287 99999999 32227969 33228057 33498117 33468178 33328230 32678297 32458309 31238380 29538439 29118422 29018370 29548292 30008196 30018113 29848064 99999999 25869669 26969761 28019838 30119925 33560089 35280177 35830241 35950289 35760340 35340381 33100409 31590447 29620504 99999999 31201271 32391248 33141274 34401380 35711469 36311617 36181737 36201836 36691898 37941972 38521974 39521986 40132024 40312110 40232212 40312340 40782397 41992437 43322480 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE HSE 10 NNE RWI 15 NNW RDU 20 SE DAN 25 NE DAN 20 SE CHO 35 SW DCA 20 NNE SBY 60 E SBY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE HUL 35 NE BGR 20 NE AUG 25 NW AUG 50 NE BML 155 NNE BML THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE HSE 40 NNE CAE 40 S GSP 20 WSW AND 45 WSW AVL 0 - ROA 10 E SHD 30 NW DCA 15 NNE PHL 0 - EWR 25 N BDR 25 WSW MWN 65 NNE EFK THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W BFF 55 NNW IML 30 SSE IML 35 SE GLD 45 ENE LAA 20 NNW LAA 30 ESE DEN 20 ENE FCL 25 NNE CYS 10 W BFF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE PDX 0 - DLS 55 ESE DLS 50 NW BNO 40 NNE LKV 20 ENE LMT 30 ENE MFR 30 SE EUG 30 SSE PDX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW HQM 45 N OLM 15 ENE SEA 35 W EAT 20 NNE YKM 60 SSE YKM 50 SSW PDT 30 WSW BKE 10 ESE BKE 45 ENE BKE 35 WSW P69 25 N MSO 50 S CTB 45 NE GTF 75 NE LWT 20 W GDV 35 S DIK 15 SW MBG 10 ESE MHE 25 NE TQE 25 NE SDA 20 N MKC 25 SSE OJC 25 NNW JLN 35 ENE BVO 15 SE PNC 20 WNW END 45 SSW AVK 30 NNW CSM 0 - CSM 10 WNW FSI 20 NW DAL 30 WSW TYR 25 SW GGG 20 SSE SHV 25 SW MLU 25 S GLH 45 NNE MSL 30 S JKL 35 NNW SHD 30 N TTN 20 SE POU 15 ENE PSF 20 S MPV 50 NW EFK ...CONT... 50 SSE CHS 25 SE OGB 20 W OGB 15 ENE AGS 20 W AGS 40 E MCN 35 ESE MCN 10 N MGR 40 ESE AAF 65 SE AAF 55 SW CTY 10 ESE CTY 30 NE GNV 10 ENE SGJ 40 ESE SGJ ...CONT... 45 E BRO 55 S CRP 30 NW ALI 40 SE JCT 55 E LBB 0 - AMA 15 SSE DHT 20 WSW DHT 40 NNE TCC 15 NW TCC 30 ESE ROW 25 SE GDP 80 SW MRF ...CONT... 120 S GBN 40 SSE GBN 15 N GBN 60 S IGM 35 SE LAS 25 SSW DRA 40 NNE NID 50 NW NID 40 E FAT 70 SSE TVL 30 SSE TVL 0 - RNO 50 NNW RNO 60 E RBL 10 NE RBL 50 SE EKA 10 E EKA 0 - 4BK 30 WSW OTH