Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-06 16:30 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with risks of hail, wind, and tornadoes are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States throughout Monday. Affected areas range from the Great Plains and Midwest to the Southeast, with varying levels of risk including marginal and slight severe threats.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 061630 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1128 AM CDT MON JUL 06 2026 VALID TIME 061630Z - 071200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 47029805 48199689 48839520 48269397 47049461 46419548 46059640 46269773 47029805 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49009237 46729370 45239535 44219737 43179964 42110172 41810352 42380392 42910322 44240117 45370018 46359930 47549852 49479728 0.05 32309432 33239488 34419462 35239398 35579338 35219175 34619174 33779247 32639286 32159359 32309432 0.15 49219327 47509454 45749547 45119622 44709727 44219896 44789939 45739848 46229805 48329707 49629640 CIG1 45949783 47469690 47479593 46809527 45779566 45149638 45049713 45469784 45949783 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48649102 46089281 44859341 44069490 43539680 41990067 41570230 41520373 41940423 42430459 43260544 43420584 43530693 43250813 41571034 39981123 39621238 39691373 39871514 40331583 40771589 41731486 44331234 44341152 43931064 44090929 45630796 46010673 45550414 44810397 43550412 43170329 44330108 46419898 49419673 0.05 31329389 32789649 34079689 34499683 35499514 35819301 35699180 35049100 34069052 33299057 32189116 31329248 31329389 0.05 32658001 31508106 31718156 33128154 35178218 36698147 38617945 39447935 40048009 40708128 41228113 41558028 41097895 39427588 38727510 36527604 35097704 34427806 32658001 0.15 48769272 47239333 45719389 44919490 44679727 45489827 46409805 48169719 49439650 0.15 37337959 38137893 38737816 38737738 38287705 37757699 37287680 36977686 36767696 36327738 36097810 36267885 36707944 37337959 0.15 32149356 33169494 34019476 34549359 34369253 33579161 32789159 32079251 32149356 CIG1 45999785 47479687 47479590 46829532 45799563 45179636 45049713 45449780 45999785 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 34019476 34549359 34369253 33579161 32789159 32079251 32149356 33169494 34019476 SLGT 38137893 38737816 38737738 38287705 37757699 37287680 36767696 36327738 36097810 36267885 36707944 37337959 38137893 SLGT 48769272 45719389 44919490 44699730 44219896 44789939 46159811 48169719 49439650 MRGL 34499683 35499514 35819301 35699180 35049100 34069052 33299057 32189116 31329248 31329389 32789649 34079689 34499683 MRGL 36698147 38617945 39447935 40048009 40708128 41228113 41558028 41097895 39427588 38727510 36527604 35097704 34427806 32658001 31508106 31718156 33128154 35178218 36698147 MRGL 48649102 46089281 44859341 44069490 43539680 41990067 41570230 41520373 41940423 42430459 43260544 43420584 43530693 43250813 41571034 39981123 39621238 39691373 39871514 40331583 40771589 41731486 44331234 44341152 43931064 44090929 45630796 46010673 45550414 44810397 43550412 43170329 44320110 46359930 49479728 TSTM 48818700 46968971 45779100 44399220 42909357 42349491 42289633 42169802 41320004 40330147 39520276 38570296 37700285 37000248 35810234 34820240 33830212 33390181 33110114 33210034 33529988 34220002 34729992 35039961 35479882 36189703 37349482 37809370 38169202 38639060 38799042 39889030 40338995 41138747 41688612 42778183 99999999 31081157 32641145 33771145 34321162 35141238 36161344 36551366 37891357 38531366 38841388 38971448 38701549 38391612 37971688 37571764 37451811 37591901 38531991 39672035 40562098 41512154 42132224 42862281 43652266 44472166 45821752 47231524 49461302 99999999 44527649 43967573 43147582 42197610 42097607 41807572 41847470 42127309 42607105 42276929 99999999 27739605 28609709 28749838 28439930 27540041 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W DEQ 30 W HOT 30 SW LIT 10 ESE LLQ 30 NE MLU 40 SW MLU 25 SE SHV 45 SE PRX 20 W DEQ THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S SHD 45 NNE CHO 20 WSW DCA 40 S DCA 25 NE RIC 30 ESE RIC 45 WSW ORF 20 ESE RZZ 20 NW RWI 30 N RDU 10 NW DAN 20 W LYH 10 S SHD THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE INL 15 NE STC 25 NNE RWF 20 SSW ATY 35 NNE 9V9 50 ENE PIR 50 NNE ABR 15 N GFK 50 NNE HCO THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE ADM 20 SE MKO 35 SSE HRO 10 WSW BVX 60 SSW JBR 45 NNW GWO 25 ESE GLH 40 NNE HEZ 10 WSW ESF 45 WNW POE 20 ESE DAL 15 SSE ADM 20 NE ADM THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW BLF 30 SE EKN 35 ESE MGW 30 NNW MGW 15 SSE CAK 25 NE CAK 25 WNW FKL 0 - DUJ 25 SW ILG 35 SE DOV 20 NNE ECG 0 - EWN 15 NW ILM 15 S CHS 35 NE SSI 35 SW SAV 30 ESE AGS 20 N GSP 45 SSW BLF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNW GNA 60 SSW DLH 10 WSW MSP 35 SSE RWF 0 - FSD 20 ESE MHN 40 SE AIA 25 SSW BFF 10 SSW TOR 35 NW TOR 35 N DGW 50 NE CPR 50 NNW CPR 20 NE RIW 40 ENE EVW 35 NW PUC 20 NNE U24 55 SW DPG 45 NNW ELY 35 S EKO 0 - EKO 55 SSW TWF 15 S MQM 30 SW WEY 25 N JAC 35 SSW COD 30 ESE BIL 50 SW MLS 30 W 2WX 55 SSW 2WX 65 WSW RAP 25 NNW CDR 30 NE PHP 50 SW JMS 50 NNW HCO GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 130 NNE CMX 35 NNE IWD 55 S ASX 35 NNE RST 20 SW MCW 25 SE SLB 10 SSE SUX 35 WNW OFK 25 WSW BBW 15 SSE IML 30 NW ITR 40 NNW LAA 25 SSW LAA 20 SSE SPD 20 SE DHT 45 SW AMA 20 WNW LBB 20 S LBB 55 SE LBB 65 NW ABI 65 SSE CDS 20 SE CDS 30 NE CDS 30 SW CSM 25 ENE CSM 35 NNW CQB 20 NW JLN 45 NNW SGF 15 W VIH 15 WSW STL 0 - STL 35 W SPI 25 SSW PIA 35 SW VPZ 10 E SBN 50 ENE MTC ...CONT... 80 SSW TUS 45 NW TUS 40 NE PHX 55 S FLG 35 N PRC 65 S SGU 35 S SGU 30 WNW CDC 35 WNW MLF 55 WNW MLF 30 SE ELY 55 SW ELY 55 ENE TPH 15 ESE TPH 45 SW TPH 15 ENE BIH 40 WNW BIH 25 S TVL 35 WNW RNO 65 SSW AAT 45 SSE LMT 25 W LMT 35 N MFR 45 SE EUG 30 WNW RDM 45 SSW LWS 25 SSE 3TH 65 NNW CTB ...CONT... 45 NNW ART 15 E ART 15 E SYR 0 - BGM 10 SSW BGM 30 N AVP 10 NNE MSV 20 W BAF 15 N BOS 65 NE HYA ...CONT... 70 S PSX 20 SSW VCT 55 S SAT 0 - COT 60 W LRD