Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-02 05:57 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across much of the central and eastern United States on Thursday, July 2. An enhanced risk of severe weather is centered over parts of the upper Midwest, while slight and marginal risks extend through the Tennessee Valley and into parts of the Plains and Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 020557 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1255 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2026 VALID TIME 021200Z - 031200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 49700267 49350239 48070095 47359994 46679822 46089652 45049380 44029195 43379094 42919012 42518995 41889119 41859349 42009536 42139735 42319995 43280301 44530388 46410480 49780470 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46086707 44726883 43817087 42727502 41878428 41239171 40849417 40889822 40319918 39969961 39430002 38400009 36780071 36690078 36530156 37120197 37650238 38210245 38970258 39660282 42040381 42920525 44520688 45720835 46620850 47560752 48440617 49660536 99999999 49799965 48039774 47269652 46349202 46398994 46298705 46218304 0.05 34548215 33578412 33348610 33908690 35798651 36658554 36768420 36488275 35578171 34548215 0.15 49530167 48750144 47819984 46509722 45909657 45129611 44389609 43449639 42959640 42399696 42079751 42269967 42860187 43440356 44020398 44890430 46300434 49570466 CIG1 49930278 49070180 47960067 46329938 45069801 44099720 43779708 43189696 42699692 42229739 42239873 42360003 43420343 44250414 46340477 50130465 49930278 && ... WIND ... 0.05 46106705 44646898 43967053 43657172 42777516 42747707 42078494 41818751 40909426 40649541 40549655 40489775 39969961 39310005 38000028 36750068 36590153 36900191 37600234 38740252 40580317 42170392 42800498 43720591 45630827 46610852 47520760 48430624 49660541 99999999 49779956 47929763 47439624 46359191 46318719 46228297 0.05 34829043 35408987 37098802 37178712 36738452 36738174 35638060 34598152 33898229 33258348 32668548 32718647 32668801 32938877 33618981 34289017 34829043 0.15 49650264 49060206 48040031 47489883 46869625 46219319 44868903 44598668 44468595 44128550 43558570 43158602 42428793 41739242 41319446 41299673 41529808 41949961 42130018 42680147 43240241 44400382 46170470 48640460 49520464 0.15 35888549 36248445 36218309 35358223 34478265 33698373 33428509 33888624 34768637 35418626 35888549 0.30 46110093 46800016 47059912 46749774 46359648 45749520 44779479 44039462 43549505 43249619 43519724 44189918 44669991 45120041 46110093 CIG1 42810206 43480263 44830328 46430266 47560090 47719907 46839586 46349448 45029229 44369087 43519018 42259106 41609309 41279508 41269635 41579854 42040020 42810206 CIG1 37320196 38450219 39400241 39980192 39950102 38890060 37840070 37260100 37050130 37320196 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 46800016 47059912 46749774 46359648 45749520 44779479 44039462 43549505 43249619 43519724 44189918 44669991 45120041 46110093 46800016 SLGT 35418626 35888549 36248445 36218309 35358223 34478265 33698373 33428509 33888624 34768637 35418626 SLGT 49490166 48750144 47960009 47489883 46219319 44868903 44468595 44128550 43558570 43158602 42428793 41739242 41319446 41299673 41529808 41949961 42810169 43440356 44020398 44890430 45390431 46170470 49230463 MRGL 37098802 37178712 36738453 36738174 35638060 34598152 33898229 33258348 32668548 32718647 32668801 32938877 33618981 34829043 37098802 MRGL 49489926 48039774 47879748 47439624 46359191 46398994 46228302 99999999 45986719 44726883 43817087 42727502 41239171 40849451 40649541 40489775 39969961 39350003 38400009 36750068 36530156 36900191 37650238 38850256 40060299 42080388 42920525 44430679 45720835 46610852 47520760 48430624 49470554 TSTM 42066925 42107093 42187254 42247469 41727830 41018098 40638277 40048339 39608360 39228342 38408196 37918090 37137961 36487914 35597906 35007947 34438017 33758110 33018265 32418417 31968486 31458521 31198528 30808521 30508501 30418441 30508376 30898267 31568127 31918001 99999999 27820035 28229936 28399884 28959812 29929775 31189737 32019737 33199764 33459774 33429820 33179877 32739975 31980074 31540105 30670141 30140149 29490140 29070139 99999999 31440691 32560666 33590631 34150579 34650514 35220422 35710375 36220365 36640368 37020380 39750446 41590494 42160540 42430582 42550632 42490707 42130795 41380858 40450961 39741139 39001384 38781521 39121609 39811647 40331668 41161642 42321572 43321440 43971357 44461330 44951315 45361310 45811306 46341274 46751240 47091190 47681102 48261076 48681087 49311125 49641153 99999999 49149306 48109143 47459004 47148893 47088804 47138663 47488489 47828423 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E BIS 20 WNW JMS 45 WSW FAR 45 SSE FAR 15 SE AXN 20 NE RWF 30 NNW FRM 25 N SPW 35 SE FSD 25 W FSD 30 NNE 9V9 25 NE PIR 30 S MBG 45 S BIS 30 E BIS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE BNA 25 WSW CSV 40 NW TYS 25 NW HSS 20 ESE AVL 0 - AND 30 SW AHN 30 N LGC 10 SW GAD 25 ENE HSV 55 SSE BNA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNW MOT 35 NNW MOT 55 W DVL 40 N JMS 45 ESE BRD 30 E AUW 20 NE MBL 40 S TVC 35 NE MKG 10 E MKG 25 SSW RAC 45 N OTM 45 WSW DSM 30 N LNK 40 NNE GRI 25 WNW BUB 60 NNW MHN 50 NNW CDR 45 W RAP 60 SW 2WX 40 WSW 2WX 25 WSW BHK 85 NNW ISN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW HOP 40 S OWB 35 SW LOZ 40 ENE TRI 35 NE CLT 35 SE SPA 40 NNW AGS 40 NNE MCN 0 - AUO 30 N MGM 45 SSW TCL 40 N MEI 15 ENE GWO 30 WSW MEM 40 NW HOP THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 N DVL 25 WNW GFK 15 WSW GFK 45 S TVF 35 SSE DLH 15 SE IWD 85 NNE APN ...CONT... 30 ESE HUL 0 - BGR 30 WNW PWM 35 SSE UCA 45 S CID 35 WNW LWD 10 S SDA 35 ESE HSI 40 NNE HLC 10 W HLC 45 N DDC 25 SE LBL 10 SSW GUY 0 - EHA 30 NNE SPD 30 SSW ITR 15 SE AKO 15 E TOR 15 NNE DGW 25 SSE SHR 10 ESE BIL 55 N BIL 65 SW GGW 25 NE GGW 95 N OLF GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE HYA 20 S BOS 10 ENE BAF 40 N MSV 20 ESE BFD 25 SW YNG 20 SW MFD 25 W CMH 40 ESE DAY 60 SSW CMH 20 W CRW 15 NE BKW 25 ESE ROA 10 ESE DAN 25 SW RDU 15 SSW SOP 30 NW FLO 10 S CAE 45 WSW AGS 35 WSW MCN 40 S CSG 15 ENE DHN 15 SE DHN 0 - MAI 25 SSE MAI 0 - TLH 35 SW VLD 30 SSW AYS 30 NNE SSI 70 S CHS ...CONT... 55 WNW LRD 20 SSW COT 25 E COT 45 SSE SAT 20 NE BAZ 0 - TPL 30 NNW ACT 30 NNW FTW 50 NNW FTW 40 SSE SPS 50 NW MWL 20 N ABI 45 NNW SJT 35 WNW SJT 65 NE 6R6 45 E 6R6 30 WNW DRT 35 SW DRT ...CONT... 40 SW ELP 40 WSW ALM 45 SE ONM 0 - 4CR 50 NE 4CR 35 W TCC 40 NNW TCC 30 WSW CAO 30 WNW CAO 35 ESE TAD 20 E DEN 30 NNW CYS 40 S DGW 30 SW DGW 25 SSE CPR 50 N RWL 45 WNW RWL 30 ESE RKS 0 - VEL 35 WNW PUC 60 NW MLF 40 SSW ELY 30 SSW P68 35 NW P68 20 SSE BAM 45 NNE BAM 35 NE OWY 15 SSW SUN 50 NE SUN 55 SSE SMN 35 SW DLN 30 WNW DLN 30 WSW BTM 30 NNW BTM 20 WNW HLN 35 N HLN 20 NE GTF 60 NNE GTF 50 W HVR 70 NE CTB 80 NNE CTB ...CONT... 40 NNE INL 25 NE ELO 25 SE GNA 20 W CMX 20 ESE CMX 60 NE MQT 75 NNW ANJ 95 N ANJ