Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-10 12:48 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential wind, hail, and tornado hazards, are expected across much of the central and eastern United States on Monday. Risk levels vary from marginal to slight in several regions, including parts of the Southwest, Midwest, and Northeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 101248 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0747 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026 VALID TIME 101300Z - 111200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39628417 39948734 40168865 40538935 40968980 41738968 42278903 41618268 41697992 41267925 40467931 40007989 39668164 39628417 0.02 38657657 38737733 39467735 40437618 40797493 40437433 40187431 39227507 38657657 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 42898872 42368385 42218175 41937686 41747488 40827434 40087426 39357477 39077504 38817560 38667649 38617782 38728156 38938442 39418813 39989024 40219092 40739248 41689518 42119752 41649924 40620078 39550154 38880260 39120352 39930375 40790381 42460329 44010381 45010398 46310387 47360319 47690131 47119881 45609640 44419439 43309050 42898872 0.15 46410168 46330057 46069885 45519789 44569787 44029876 43790034 44000124 44480212 45200267 46010244 46410168 CIG1 46620050 46159861 44849656 44329654 43769773 43570004 43710165 44220291 45030347 45970367 46400269 46570155 46620050 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37998381 38038427 38478791 39028990 39579174 39709255 39819408 39639616 39399864 38650101 38190204 38160300 38690348 40450390 41240395 41400440 41550510 41390877 41940933 42870880 43440819 43740523 45110412 46210394 46970293 47120059 46649835 44739346 43008912 42748373 42698154 43157825 43327501 43207385 41737265 39537363 37547506 37778199 37998381 0.05 31811357 32881373 33601366 34131301 34401170 34021013 33200948 30790871 0.15 46010185 46080075 46069942 45899835 43489256 42809215 42419238 42059326 42259619 43490042 44530215 45110254 45740236 46010185 0.15 31351195 32261225 32911276 33471270 33731232 33591162 32321047 31071007 0.15 41340134 39280150 39080213 39060269 39270315 41240319 41650277 41710176 41340134 0.15 42048687 41628264 42217989 42157553 41667441 40407393 39767401 38957457 38437571 38827952 38718188 38918687 39288865 39658965 40499039 41269036 42098948 42418811 42048687 0.30 41428182 41748124 41787784 41317739 40447770 40067832 39937995 40118157 40578198 41428182 CIG1 42969853 43500037 44470088 45040067 45239896 43959492 43179397 42829414 42519456 42969853 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31351195 32261225 32911276 33471270 33731232 33591162 32321047 31071007 SLGT 41650277 41710176 41340134 39280150 39080213 39060269 39270315 41240319 41650277 SLGT 41269036 42098948 42418811 42048687 41628264 42217989 42157553 41667441 40407393 39767401 38957457 38437571 38827952 38718188 38918687 39288865 39658965 40499039 41269036 SLGT 46010244 46410168 46330057 46069885 43489256 42809215 42419238 42059326 42259619 43490042 44480212 45200267 46010244 MRGL 31811357 32881373 33601366 34131301 34401170 34021013 33200948 30840873 MRGL 42748121 43157825 43327501 43207385 41737265 39537363 99999999 37547506 37778199 38038427 38478791 39579174 39819408 39399864 38650101 38190204 38160300 38690348 40450390 41240395 41550510 41390877 41940933 42870880 43440819 43740523 45110412 46210394 47360319 47690131 47119881 46349758 43008912 42708194 TSTM 32031674 34141757 35331712 36371584 37121587 37361671 37071808 37311876 38101931 39021882 40231742 41661484 42531341 44251131 44570913 43890644 44050523 46010481 47270390 48250216 48429975 46289565 45509181 44779001 43508621 43278463 43108361 43468136 99999999 25619774 27659812 28349816 29299798 31029666 31689497 32139187 33389170 34319149 35219068 36868915 37579006 37889294 38619483 38229696 38300055 36880257 34560476 33530643 32310767 31210796 99999999 33609590 32999703 32369826 32869968 33939915 34389845 35029660 34639564 33609590 99999999 49420388 48590531 48390688 48941116 49671380 99999999 30650585 31110472 30950340 30240191 29250145 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW TUS 55 SSE GBN 0 - GBN 35 N GBN 25 NW PHX 25 ENE PHX 30 ENE TUS 40 SSE FHU THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S AIA 45 WSW MHN 35 WNW LBF 10 ESE GLD 15 SE ITR 25 WSW ITR 30 E LIC 15 NW SNY 30 S AIA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE MLI 20 WSW RFD 30 SSW RAC 25 WSW BEH 55 N MFD 15 ENE ERI 25 E BGM 20 E MSV 20 SSW JFK 25 SE NEL 35 S ACY 15 WNW SBY 20 ESE EKN 30 NNW CRW 20 SW BMG 25 WSW MTO 15 S SPI 40 WSW PIA 15 SSE MLI THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW Y22 40 NE Y22 30 SSE BIS 45 NNW ABR 30 S RST 20 NE ALO 10 S ALO 40 NNE DSM 15 SE SUX 45 N VTN 40 NW PHP 55 SSW Y22 15 WNW Y22 THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SE YUM 55 ENE YUM 60 E BLH 50 SW PRC 50 S FLG 20 SSW SOW 25 NNE SAD 65 SE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NW ERI 30 ENE BUF 20 ENE UCA 15 SW GFL 15 S BDL 50 SE NEL ...CONT... 35 SE WAL 45 SSW CRW 20 E LEX 35 NW EVV 40 SW UIN 25 W CDJ 40 NNE RSL 50 NNW GCK 35 ENE LAA 20 WNW LAA 40 SSE LIC 40 WNW AKO 50 SSW BFF 30 NNW CYS 20 SE RKS 25 NNW RKS 0 - LND 30 NNE RIW 45 SSE GCC 45 SW 2WX 20 SE BHK 45 NNW DIK 0 - N60 15 NNW JMS 55 SW FAR 15 SE MSN 45 E MTC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW CZZ 15 NNW RAL 40 NNW DAG 25 SSE DRA 30 NNE DRA 55 SSE TPH 25 SE BIH 20 W BIH 65 SE TVL 35 S NFL 40 SW BAM 60 SSW TWF 20 E BYI 30 SSW WEY 0 - COD 70 N CPR 25 SE GCC 35 SW BHK 35 SSE SDY 40 W MOT 45 WNW DVL 30 NNW AXN 45 NNW EAU 15 W CWA 25 N MKG 35 N LAN 10 NE FNT 85 ESE BAX ...CONT... 30 SW BRO 10 SW ALI 30 W NIR 30 S BAZ 35 NNW CLL 35 NNW LFK 30 SSE MLU 20 S LLQ 25 ENE PBF 45 S JBR 25 SW PAH 25 SE FAM 50 NNE SGF 15 SSW OJC 45 NNE ICT 25 NNE GCK 30 S SPD 60 ENE 4CR 45 SE ONM 0 - DMN 75 S DMN ...CONT... 25 W PRX 15 NW DAL 10 NNW SEP 30 N ABI 35 W SPS 20 S FSI 50 SSE CQB 20 SSE MLC 25 W PRX ...CONT... 85 N ISN 35 NNE OLF 15 NW GGW 60 ENE CTB 95 NNE GPI ...CONT... 85 SSE ELP 50 S GDP 30 W FST 25 NE 6R6 35 WSW DRT