Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-05 01:01 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and southern United States on July 4. An enhanced risk of severe weather is centered near Oklahoma City and Tulsa, while slight to marginal risks extend across portions of the Great Plains, the Midwest, and the Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 050101 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0759 PM CDT SAT JUL 04 2026 VALID TIME 050100Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36129870 36489865 36909815 37359707 37689582 37789494 37529457 37239437 36619440 36219491 35959567 35849718 35869793 36129870 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45599622 46319465 46579404 46499284 45969254 44709317 43859481 43829622 44379670 45189679 45599622 0.05 39050370 39460420 40630393 41690209 42339965 42309802 41199782 40559822 39880019 39130165 38580310 39050370 0.05 34610453 35160310 36999911 38139610 38179395 36909303 34839406 34319763 34190036 33590175 33030291 32960367 33210421 33960463 34610453 0.05 42037310 41767226 41387172 41017199 41017320 41307362 41787372 42037310 0.15 37739501 37409464 36849500 36389574 35769723 35509878 35609967 35690018 36120017 36369933 36889795 37129719 37539630 37789560 37739501 0.15 41260179 41580047 41949909 41969863 41629837 41099850 40769984 40220184 40690201 41260179 CIG1 35329978 35689974 36139959 36359886 36719781 37389633 37719565 37739513 37309497 36779485 36449514 36119557 35769633 35469731 35259839 35219900 35199950 35329978 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37127492 36267656 36107700 35847854 35558070 35558133 35738188 36038232 36698309 37688404 37828459 37698563 37338639 36908729 36538798 33049116 32459135 32019212 32009273 32039326 32139360 32259397 32749471 33169555 33589651 33839716 34099798 34179920 34079985 33920072 33430159 32940254 32890330 32870375 32950408 33100420 33440432 33790431 34150423 34860374 35450305 36130255 36570257 36820260 37090277 37350298 37520332 37770397 38100459 38390486 38790508 39350522 39950518 40310506 42530274 44829972 45589872 46119717 46379659 46819576 46879518 46409450 46459352 46509284 45929164 45349100 44649135 44269341 44139409 43769482 43479533 42809660 42319653 41119597 40359523 40019442 39919383 39919324 40049248 40319185 40919136 41559069 42008983 42258821 41948720 41408574 41328375 41568216 41798048 41787911 41877653 42467505 42587347 42607182 42257073 41456932 0.15 36049239 34649345 34129446 34029601 34129731 34679820 34719871 34610033 33090276 33030366 33340386 33600397 34050366 35350151 36310032 37249809 37969521 38149424 37949314 36639246 36049239 0.15 39620088 39420154 39090242 39120332 39540356 40200313 41210171 41540105 41780038 42039969 42359873 42199835 41819837 41069845 40459873 39620088 0.15 37847494 37827624 38187716 38797731 40127682 40837666 41187672 41347649 41777423 41817372 41937297 41827165 40856973 0.30 36159780 36379640 37159533 36809452 35439463 34859508 34789589 34819643 34819691 34979746 35189768 35539779 35869791 36159780 0.30 40217447 39727421 38727495 38887580 39117600 39497579 40377556 40457496 40217447 CIG1 36229911 37199648 37519473 37409371 37199314 36689301 36299294 35709340 35069389 34639435 34379499 34259552 34269611 34319654 34429713 34669779 34939850 35059884 35179945 35269969 36229911 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 36159780 36379640 37159533 36809452 35439463 34859508 34789589 34819691 34979746 35189768 35869791 36159780 SLGT 34050366 35350151 36310032 37249809 38149424 37949314 36639246 36049239 34649345 34129446 34029601 34129731 34679820 34719871 34610033 33090276 33030366 33600397 34050366 SLGT 37847494 37827624 38187716 38797731 40127682 40837666 41187672 41347649 41777423 41937297 41827165 40856973 SLGT 40200313 41110185 41260179 42359873 42199835 41069845 40459873 39090242 39120332 39540356 40200313 MRGL 36957525 36107700 35558070 35558133 35738188 36038232 36698309 37688404 37828459 37698563 36538798 33049116 32459135 32019212 32039326 32259397 32749471 33169555 33839716 34099798 34179920 33920072 32940254 32870375 32950408 33960463 34610453 34960363 35450305 36130255 36820260 37350298 38100459 38390486 38790508 39350522 39950518 40310506 42530274 45589872 46119717 46819576 46879518 46409450 46579404 46509284 45929164 45349100 44649135 44139409 42809660 42319653 41119597 40359523 40019442 39919324 40049248 40319185 40919136 41559069 42008983 42258821 41408574 41328375 41798048 41877653 42467505 42587347 42607182 42257073 41456932 TSTM 28229493 29609580 30819642 31559687 32199744 32619821 32989914 33110005 33080069 32790143 32440223 32140261 31460281 30550264 29940233 29390212 99999999 31370677 32120695 32640696 33150684 33650658 34420597 35200545 35900516 36320520 36680548 37140581 38100629 39140655 44460633 45820575 46620523 47360494 48310479 49780483 99999999 44687662 44447176 44017000 43306875 99999999 48909147 48049146 47419114 46859043 46358925 45858761 45268539 45118444 44598315 44438223 44498160 44668076 99999999 36017500 35307700 35147909 34498048 33498127 32728153 31938146 31108112 30588066 99999999 45736709 46446891 47297065 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE END 30 WNW TUL 35 SSE CNU 20 NE GMJ 15 WNW FSM 30 WSW RKR 10 SW MLC 35 N ADM 30 SSE OKC 15 SSW OKC 35 S END 15 SSE END THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW CVS 15 NE AMA 30 W GAG 25 E P28 55 SSE OJC 50 NNE SGF 30 N FLP 10 SSE FLP 25 WNW HOT 0 - DEQ 25 ENE DUA 20 SW ADM 10 E FSI 20 WNW FSI 15 NNW CDS 40 NE HOB 35 NW HOB 40 ENE ROW 30 SW CVS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE WAL 35 SSE NHK 45 S DCA 15 WSW DCA 0 - CXY 30 SSE IPT 10 ESE IPT 25 ENE IPT 20 WNW POU 20 SW BAF 15 WNW PVD 35 SSE ACK THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - AKO 40 NNW IML 50 N IML 10 SSW ONL 25 SE ONL 10 NW GRI 20 WSW HSI 15 SW ITR 20 ESE LIC 20 NNE LIC 0 - AKO THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E ORF 45 ESE RZZ 25 NNE CLT 10 SSE HKY 30 W HKY 30 S TRI 40 WNW TRI 40 N LOZ 15 S LEX 35 S SDF 30 WSW HOP 30 SSW GLH 40 E MLU 35 S MLU 20 NNW IER 15 SSW SHV 25 N GGG 35 S PRX 35 SSW ADM 30 ENE SPS 35 S LTS 45 SW CDS 45 ENE HOB 35 WNW HOB 35 SE ROW 45 N ROW 65 SW TCC 15 S TCC 35 ENE TCC 10 N DHT 30 S SPD 20 WNW SPD 15 SSW PUB 20 WNW PUB 20 W COS 35 SSW DEN 20 NW DEN 10 SSW FCL 30 SE CDR 15 WNW ABR 60 SSW FAR 0 - DTL 45 SSW BJI 20 W BRD 10 NNE BRD 40 SW DLH 55 SW ASX 40 NE EAU 15 SSE EAU 10 SW MKT 30 NNW SUX 10 SW SUX 15 SSW OMA 30 SSE SDA 30 ENE STJ 20 ENE CDJ 0 - IRK 40 ENE IRK 15 NW BRL 10 NW MLI 40 WSW RFD 40 SSW RAC 35 SE SBN 20 S TOL 25 SW ERI 30 SE ELM 50 SSE UCA 15 NW PSF 25 N ORH 15 ESE BOS 40 ENE ACK GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE LBX 30 W HOU 15 N CLL 20 ESE ACT 40 NNW ACT 15 SW MWL 50 NE ABI 50 NNW ABI 75 NE BGS 40 N BGS 35 N MAF 25 WNW MAF 30 SE INK 30 SSE FST 10 SW 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 40 SW ELP 40 WNW ELP 45 SSE TCS 25 E TCS 30 SE ONM 30 NW 4CR 35 SSW LVS 15 N LVS 45 N LVS 55 SSE ALS 20 S ALS 45 SE GUC 20 ESE ASE 40 ESE SHR 30 NNW 4BQ 40 SSW GDV 15 NNW GDV 40 ENE OLF 120 NNE OLF ...CONT... 55 NNW ART 25 WNW MWN 25 SSW AUG 80 SSW BHB ...CONT... 70 NNE ELO 20 ENE ELO 20 NE BFW 25 NNW IWD 50 NNE RHI 25 E IMT 40 NNE TVC 35 SSE PLN 15 NE OSC 60 NE BAX 85 NE BAX 125 ENE BAX ...CONT... 65 NNE HSE 15 N EWN 15 NW FAY 50 WNW FLO 25 W OGB 45 NNW SAV 20 SW SAV 20 E SSI 60 NE SGJ ...CONT... 45 SE HUL 50 SW CAR 125 WNW CAR