Mesoscale Discussion 1201
Issued: · Valid: –
Summary
Sporadic damaging wind gusts of up to 60 mph are possible across southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle over the next two hours as thunderstorms move southward.
Product Text
000 ACUS11 KWNS 191908 SWOMCD SPC MCD 191907 FLZ000-ALZ000-192100- Mesoscale Discussion 1201 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026 Areas affected...Southern Alabama into the Florida Panhandle Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 191907Z - 192100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Sporadic damaging winds will be possible for the next couple of hours as a band of thunderstorms approaches the Gulf Coast. DISCUSSION...Over the past 1-2 hours, a band of poorly organized convection has been drifting southward across southern AL and into the FL Panhandle. Surface observations have largely been reporting wind gusts between 20-30 mph with the passage of the line over the past 30 minutes. However, GOES IR imagery has shown a trend towards colder cloud-top temperatures associated with stronger updraft pulses as the line propagates south into a warming air mass where temperatures are warming into the upper 80s and low 90s. Deep-layer wind shear remains very poor across the region and will continue to modulate the overall severe threat; however, this trends towards stronger updrafts and warming low-level conditions suggests the potential for very isolated bursts of damaging winds (most likely 35-55 mph) is likely increasing. Areas downstream of the convective bands may see sporadic damaging gusts over the next couple of hours as the storms continue to push southward towards the coast. ..Moore/Hart.. 06/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB... LAT...LON 30238756 30438792 30858815 31168815 31488786 31558754 31538720 31098676 30848638 30678564 30598467 30608404 30398387 30118401 29708467 29668515 29848548 30138583 30318646 30238756 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH