Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-07 12:37 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, wind, and hail, are forecast across much of the central, southern, and eastern United States throughout the day. The most significant risks include a slight chance of severe weather in parts of the Midwest and marginal risks for severe storms across the Plains, Southwest, and Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 071237 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0735 AM CDT TUE JUL 07 2026 VALID TIME 071300Z - 081200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 45840013 46059674 45959537 45319480 44649546 44279758 44010056 43870338 44410401 45020352 45840013 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48020739 47470331 46959792 46929449 46739177 45659012 44309177 43399452 42549980 40050219 40220365 42370458 43270532 43990683 45080959 45771003 47270950 48020739 0.15 43970019 43250292 43130371 43560452 44420622 45610867 46570838 47360752 46100379 46040053 46099945 46129497 45449428 44789491 44159762 43970019 CIG1 45060163 45950121 46390004 46579901 46719770 46629626 46499560 46189497 45799490 45319497 44799562 44429630 44219741 44139872 44239968 44520048 44790109 45060163 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37148062 39307886 39227812 38447743 36677578 35917600 34737683 32977961 31928085 31968139 33118117 34248074 34738240 35268278 35898213 37148062 0.05 31449616 32039738 32699779 33379729 33729658 33649499 32229211 30929198 30329282 30749465 31449616 0.05 47780731 46700349 46769967 46939488 46759178 45659012 44289154 43379450 42959693 42539980 41630063 40890129 40010189 39800280 40110412 41710501 41580667 40630950 39941122 39631234 39501333 39721442 40121557 40791671 41701731 42171708 42521571 42731380 42661134 42841018 43380907 43970833 44680840 45420931 46960907 47780731 0.05 31291245 32431178 32841145 33331084 33361035 33090985 32720955 32390949 31840963 31400990 30841026 0.15 42930051 42730289 43000413 44380605 44900646 45740649 46350563 46360501 46050380 46049971 46179577 46089396 45069310 44059420 43889741 42930051 CIG1 45340824 46560820 46860784 47090642 46720504 46290373 45720085 45519789 45439653 44809604 43659667 42800002 42420344 42830531 43340627 44350730 45340824 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 46570838 47360752 46100379 46040049 46179577 46089396 45069310 44059420 43889741 42930051 42730289 43000413 44220583 45610867 46570838 MRGL 33379729 33729658 33649499 32229211 30929198 30329282 30749465 32039738 32699779 33379729 MRGL 31291245 32431178 32841145 33331084 33361035 33090985 32720955 32390949 31840963 30841026 MRGL 37148062 39307886 39227812 36677578 35917600 34737683 32977961 31928085 31968139 33118117 34248074 34738240 35268278 37148062 MRGL 42171708 42521571 42731380 42661134 42841018 43380907 43970833 44610839 45080959 45771003 47270950 48020739 47470331 46959792 46929449 46759178 45659012 44289154 43379450 42539980 40890129 40010189 39800280 40110412 41710501 41580667 40630950 39941122 39631234 39501333 39721442 40121557 40791671 41701731 42171708 TSTM 49420307 48820061 47749754 47359200 48028634 99999999 46978247 45628437 44528666 43598857 43149037 42809385 41939762 40879879 39630003 36380210 33060520 32100714 31370733 99999999 31291265 32731243 33711226 34431219 35551214 37171234 38151253 38881291 39351346 39481393 39451466 39291563 39181682 39401775 40901871 41752068 42702174 43512212 44472207 45302141 45712064 46391933 47081870 47931857 50071851 99999999 40207202 41677225 42577133 42796901 99999999 29220464 31010211 31680080 32689954 33379868 33929847 34629866 35059887 35639889 35979864 36039819 35859761 35469659 35299609 35349545 36069457 36809380 38049160 38578983 38468741 38588407 40218133 41877964 41977778 40057496 39107300 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 N BIL 75 SW GGW 30 SE BHK 35 N MBG 25 NW AXN 25 SSE BRD 15 NNE MSP 20 SW MKT 30 ENE MHE 0 - VTN 15 ESE CDR 65 N TOR 15 WSW GCC 15 SSW BIL 55 N BIL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N FTW 0 - GYI 25 E PRX 20 SSW MLU 40 SSE ESF 25 ENE LCH 35 S LFK 30 NNW ACT 15 ESE MWL 40 N FTW THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 S GBN 55 WNW TUS 50 SE PHX 70 E PHX 55 NW SAD 20 NW SAD 10 SSE SAD 35 SSE SAD 25 N DUG 50 S FHU THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - PSK 45 W MRB 15 SSW MRB 30 SE ORF 25 SSE ECG 25 SSE EWN 25 ENE CHS 25 SE SAV 15 SW SAV 30 SW OGB 30 NE CAE 15 SW GSP 15 SW AVL 0 - PSK THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE REO 45 NNE OWY 15 N BYI 60 NE MLD 20 NNW BPI 40 NNW LND 20 W WRL 30 ENE COD 50 NW COD 20 ENE LVM 15 N LWT 40 WSW GGW 50 SSE ISN 35 E JMS 40 NNW BRD 20 ESE DLH 30 W RHI 30 NNW LSE 20 SSW FRM 10 ESE ANW 30 NE IML 40 SSW IML 35 SE AKO 45 ENE DEN 40 NNW CYS 30 ESE RWL 15 N VEL 35 NW PUC 20 NNE U24 50 SSW DPG 35 NE ELY 45 NNE P68 15 NNE BAM 60 NNE WMC 50 SE REO GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 NNE ISN 50 NE MOT 20 SW GFK 35 NNE DLH 120 NNE MQT ...CONT... 95 ENE ANJ 20 E PLN 25 NW MBL 25 S OSH 10 WSW LNR 25 NE FOD 10 WSW OFK 15 NE EAR 20 NNW HLC 35 NE DHT 35 SE SRR 35 ESE DMN 65 SSE DMN ...CONT... 115 S GBN 20 SE GBN 25 NW PHX 20 SE PRC 30 S GCN 40 SSW BCE 35 SE MLF 30 N MLF 50 W U24 50 ENE ELY 15 NE ELY 25 SE P68 30 SE U31 30 W U31 60 N LOL 20 NNW AAT 40 N LMT 70 SW RDM 50 WNW RDM 25 SSW DLS 25 ENE DLS 55 NNW PDT 40 ESE EPH 55 WNW GEG 120 NNE OMK ...CONT... 70 SSW BID 25 NNW GON 20 NW BOS 90 SE PWM ...CONT... 90 SSW MRF 50 E FST 30 NW SJT 20 NNE ABI 45 SSW SPS 0 - SPS 15 W FSI 25 SE CSM 25 NE CSM 55 S AVK 25 SW END 30 N OKC 20 SE CQB 35 NNW MLC 25 S MKO 25 W FYV 10 SE UMN 10 SE VIH 0 - BLV 30 NNE EVV 40 SSE LUK 35 ENE ZZV 30 SW JHW 45 ENE BFD 20 SSW TTN 90 ESE ACY