Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-16 05:20 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across parts of the central and southern United States throughout Thursday, July 16. The threat levels range from marginal to slight in various regions across the midwest and south.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 160520 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1218 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48571164 47731011 44740884 44481008 44721248 44801417 45181811 45771836 46811764 47771689 48351623 48591544 48621362 48571164 0.05 48839146 47819305 47419490 47859788 48579903 49829991 0.15 45381090 45401245 46321422 47351441 47791334 47431152 45911030 45561036 45381090 && ... WIND ... 0.05 50091310 47990983 44690832 44490945 44411014 44721261 44201378 43711434 43091383 42581296 42191277 41771362 41781550 42091643 42961735 44891852 45391869 46961831 48151847 49481745 0.05 42626917 42967072 43917359 44517462 45587560 99999999 46127105 45516851 44406708 44006669 0.05 48879157 47809312 47419486 47589633 47889799 48629907 49799990 0.05 38667397 39087697 39698057 39888072 40198055 40357982 40427796 40197469 40107309 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 47791334 47431152 45911030 45561036 45381090 45401245 46321422 47351441 47791334 MRGL 38697422 39698057 39888072 40198055 40357982 40427796 40107309 MRGL 46087090 45516851 44406708 99999999 42736969 42967072 43917359 44517462 45317535 MRGL 49521221 47990983 44690832 44411014 44721261 44201378 43711434 43091383 42581296 42191277 41771362 41781550 42091643 42961735 44891852 45391869 46961831 48151847 49481745 MRGL 48729163 47819305 47419490 47889799 48579903 49489968 TSTM 32031665 32481677 33241700 34591693 36351684 38091742 38381795 38781834 39641814 41161789 43091866 44591986 45082089 45162177 45012270 45172389 45452477 46142574 99999999 37290363 35770369 35020372 34810325 35400214 35860110 36490018 37559955 38419905 39119832 41049719 42789338 45979511 46199955 46170015 43750299 43360338 43160440 43100528 42610591 41780597 38510416 37290363 99999999 34909224 34209278 33269221 32389061 31948908 31468803 31238716 31968644 32688654 33418723 34588990 34909224 99999999 37367453 37617785 38248056 38108191 36848176 35598094 34808063 33937939 32947798 99999999 48778898 47828723 45638637 44018667 42498627 41418505 40968297 40988031 40817566 40467017 99999999 25569769 27199825 27130001 99999999 49570840 48380748 47950663 47820591 47640496 49740375 99999999 42166875 43837492 45617654 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE GPI 10 WSW GTF 15 NNE LVM 10 SSE LVM 30 SSE BZN 10 NNE DLN 40 S MSO 35 NNW MSO 55 SE GPI THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE ACY 35 S HLG 20 S HLG 0 - HLG 25 WNW LBE 20 ENE AOO 50 S ISP THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 N BML 50 NNE BGR 35 S EPM ...CONT... 70 SSE PWM 10 SSE PSM 40 N GFL 25 WNW SLK 35 NW MSS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N CTB 40 S HVR 35 ENE COD 65 NNE JAC 20 NW MQM 55 NNE SUN 15 N SUN 35 N BYI 30 SW PIH 25 W MLD 55 S BYI 35 ESE OWY 15 NW OWY 35 NE REO 35 W BKE 20 SSE PDT 60 N ALW 55 NW GEG 130 N GEG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N ELO 30 NNW HIB 10 S BJI 40 W GFK 30 N DVL 100 NNW DVL GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW CZZ 20 WSW CZZ 35 NNE SAN 20 SSW DAG 50 WSW DRA 20 W TPH 50 WNW TPH 55 SSE NFL 35 SE LOL 20 NNW WMC 40 SSE BNO 70 ENE RDM 40 SSE DLS 45 SW DLS 15 ENE SLE 40 N ONP 70 NNW ONP 90 W AST ...CONT... 40 E TAD 40 N TCC 15 SSW TCC 30 N CVS 25 WNW AMA 20 ENE BGD 25 WNW GAG 30 ESE DDC 35 SSW RSL 30 ENE RSL 30 SSE OLU 25 S MCW 15 ENE AXN 60 NE MBG 45 NNE MBG 20 S RAP 40 NNW CDR 55 ENE DGW 25 N DGW 30 WSW DGW 35 NNW LAR 25 NE PUB 40 E TAD ...CONT... 10 N LIT 25 SE HOT 35 SW LLQ 30 W JAN 35 SW MEI 55 NNE MOB 15 SSW GZH 25 S MGM 30 NNW MGM 25 ENE TCL 25 WNW UOX 10 N LIT ...CONT... 65 SE WAL 30 WNW RIC 35 NNW SSU 25 SW CRW 45 SW BLF 25 N CLT 35 SSE CLT 25 SE FLO 75 SE CRE ...CONT... 115 NNW CMX 90 N MQT 35 E ESC 25 SW MBL 25 NNE BEH 30 NNE FWA 25 WNW MFD 25 SE YNG 15 NW ABE 55 S ACK ...CONT... 30 SW BRO 40 SSW ALI 45 SW LRD ...CONT... 95 NE HVR 40 WNW GGW 20 S GGW 25 SW OLF 35 NNW GDV 110 N ISN ...CONT... 90 NE ACK 50 NNE UCA 115 NNW ART