Mesoscale Discussion 1612
Issued: · Valid: –
Summary
Scattered thunderstorms will move southeast across portions of the central and eastern Florida Peninsula through this evening, capable of producing damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph.
Product Text
000 ACUS11 KWNS 132124 SWOMCD SPC MCD 132124 FLZ000-132330- Mesoscale Discussion 1612 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0424 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026 Areas affected...Portions of the central and eastern Florida Peninsula Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 132124Z - 132330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and move southeastward across the central FL Peninsula through this evening, accompanied by damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph. DISCUSSION...Surface temperatures in the low 90s combined with dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s are yielding a moderately unstable environment ahead of a cluster of congealing thunderstorms moving southeast across the central FL Peninsula late this afternoon. Low-level lapse rates peaking near 7.5 C/km, storm mergers, and a deepening cold pool will continue to support a threat of severe, damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph through at least 23Z. Given the localized nature of the threat, a watch is not expected at this time. ..Barnes/Smith.. 07/13/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW... LAT...LON 28508104 28978054 28868039 27908003 27308046 27258116 27438167 27678183 27938190 28238168 28508104 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH