Day 2 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-18 17:32 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and eastern United States from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday. Risk levels range from marginal to slight for various regions, with specific areas facing higher probabilities of severe weather.

Product Text

000 WUUS02 KWNS 181732 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1230 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026 VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38369179 37938863 37588760 37068726 36218762 35728848 35669020 35779128 36069273 36379304 37449319 38369179 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 42810122 43690112 44990110 46100041 46349909 46049827 45689742 45079675 44359653 43409719 42659791 41419761 40859593 39679441 38909543 38619667 38689855 37689994 37050084 35910211 35610267 34510470 35810551 38930493 40060384 41850173 42810122 0.05 38589292 37928854 37008729 36378746 35818851 35688986 35789125 36159354 36929474 38339405 38589292 && ... WIND ... 0.05 35770551 38880502 40030392 41840175 42770126 43600114 45050112 46100041 46399904 45759751 45109670 44249655 43799798 42619846 41329781 41059585 40469489 39869399 39619260 38969006 38628800 38078623 36988602 36088638 35358733 34908877 34999010 35279222 35559365 36319569 37379615 37749725 37879924 37180050 35100256 34500482 35770551 0.05 31161254 32581292 33281245 33851176 34451039 33420874 31770908 30881058 0.15 38339409 38649302 38369128 38088977 37968864 37138720 36178761 35708853 35649025 35929246 36159361 36879481 38339409 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38339409 38649302 38088977 37968864 37138720 36178761 35708853 35649025 35929246 36159361 36879481 38339409 MRGL 31301258 32581292 33281245 33851176 34451039 33420874 31770908 30881058 MRGL 38880502 40030392 41840175 42770126 43600114 45050112 46100041 46399904 45759751 45109670 44249655 43409719 42659791 41419761 41219701 41059585 39869399 39619260 38969006 38628800 38078623 36988602 36088638 35358733 34908877 34999010 35279222 35559365 36319569 37379615 37749725 37879924 37180050 35100256 34500482 35770551 38880502 TSTM 43476915 43777076 43487287 41387544 38708006 37688244 35188408 34568530 33488484 32878379 32668329 32568254 32498161 33608124 34547957 35097858 36187660 36807460 99999999 31691372 32051414 32771481 33511479 34721398 36081321 36281164 36001053 36590915 37281006 37211217 38641361 38951464 39161689 39731649 40791566 41651361 41191132 41720987 41460857 41440637 42000479 41750303 44300312 47390173 48399970 48589829 47689700 46619573 45269281 44529181 43329119 42679040 42478916 42508763 41848659 42268360 43358157 99999999 28869246 30299288 32359232 33399364 35029683 34990057 33790411 32930680 32430776 31600840 30860860 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW SZL 30 E SZL 30 S BLV 30 SSE MVN 35 NNE HOP 30 SSW CKV 25 ENE MKL 25 ESE JBR 20 S FLP 25 WSW HRO 20 NNW GMJ 40 SW SZL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 S GBN 25 SSW GBN 30 NNE GBN 35 NNE PHX 25 WNW SOW 65 NNW SVC 35 NE DUG 50 SSW FHU THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW COS 40 WSW AKO 40 WSW MHN 35 W VTN 40 SE PHP 45 SW MBG 40 N MBG 40 SSW JMS 60 NNW ATY 20 SW VVV 15 ESE BKX 25 WSW FSD 35 SW YKN 15 WSW OLU 25 SE OLU 15 S OMA 20 W CDJ 35 S IRK 0 - ALN 50 NNW EVV 30 WSW SDF 20 E BWG 15 ESE BNA 45 NNE MSL 45 N TUP 10 WSW MEM 40 N LIT 40 WNW RUE 15 NE TUL 40 N BVO 10 ENE ICT 40 E DDC 30 ENE LBL 50 W AMA 55 ENE 4CR 20 WNW LVS 15 WNW COS GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE AUG 25 WNW PWM 0 - RUT 15 ENE AVP 15 SW EKN 45 S HTS 45 S TYS 15 NNW RMG 25 WSW ATL 15 NW MCN 20 E MCN 25 NNW VDI 35 NW SAV 25 SSW CAE 25 NNE FLO 20 ENE FAY 25 WSW ECG 90 SSE WAL ...CONT... 85 SE YUM 50 SSE YUM 15 NW YUM 10 SSW BLH 35 S IGM 60 W GCN 35 NE GCN 70 N INW 55 SSW CEZ 40 WSW 4BL 35 S BCE 35 WNW MLF 25 SSE ELY 25 SE U31 30 WNW P68 0 - EKO 65 S BYI 15 WSW EVW 40 WNW RKS 30 ESE RKS 35 WNW LAR 35 W TOR 25 SSW AIA 20 NNW RAP 25 SW N60 40 WNW DVL 45 NE DVL 20 SSE GFK 15 SSE DTL 35 NE MSP 30 SW EAU 40 S LSE 25 NE DBQ 10 SSW JVL 20 SSE RAC 15 NW SBN 10 ENE ARB 80 NE MTC ...CONT... 65 SSW 7R4 25 ENE LCH 20 SW MLU 20 E TXK 50 S CQB 40 NNW CDS 40 NE ROW 35 SE TCS 15 N DMN 60 SW DMN 75 SE DUG