Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and damaging winds, are expected across various regions of the central and eastern United States through Wednesday. Risks range from marginal to slight severity for much of the affected area.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 122002 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT WED AUG 12 2026 VALID TIME 122000Z - 131200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39148894 39238851 39178780 39158722 39078539 38928508 38328451 37678445 37208462 37148473 36858521 36698578 37138741 37588855 37998892 38968922 39148894 0.02 44220093 43070101 42560165 42530170 42500224 42530312 42620389 42870440 43410512 43790516 44180505 44720396 44850295 44780134 44220093 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39900517 42400495 43160505 43700510 46000607 47220546 47870410 47990080 47329833 45899643 41839438 40879502 40299824 38670263 38880467 39900517 0.05 42859064 41748716 40748453 38948449 37268530 36978769 37248898 37868993 38749105 40049162 41359237 42599285 42939214 42859064 0.05 44618359 43827796 42847583 41727458 41127554 40727915 40918025 41288172 42238377 43498532 44488494 44618359 0.15 44260212 42760106 40990093 40300143 39850213 39710322 39890385 41470406 43460406 44390384 44690347 44260212 CIG1 41479956 40340127 39960222 39860316 40150391 41530407 43510461 44510486 45420466 45790427 45880344 45510264 45120223 44500133 43029976 41479956 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29218001 29238128 29488293 30598499 32908568 34478804 36448947 38179145 39229378 40009615 40029913 38670263 38880465 39890517 43100530 44200536 45940606 47190550 47860409 47990078 47569785 46569600 43649367 42638926 41508558 40338330 37618104 35968076 33838090 32087938 0.05 32261555 33721578 35331533 36151454 36101394 35501345 34431343 33371412 32161448 0.05 43847797 42867584 41637443 40647436 39837512 39637598 40558054 42238375 43508535 44498498 44608376 44288066 43897859 43847797 0.15 40789688 39550255 39580354 39880418 40870448 43650458 44960440 45450276 44149882 43589725 43119486 42219396 41459401 40849506 40789688 0.15 36678359 36618497 36848744 37528860 38798972 39108976 39378939 39328883 39088724 39208599 39458426 38668345 37528316 36678359 CIG1 45340186 44009831 42759607 41819570 41109604 40219896 39660113 39280286 39130379 39790451 41400481 44290520 45470499 45860380 45920281 45340186 CIG1 38798586 38618506 38348497 38148500 37918504 37208566 37268657 37568778 38068828 38418834 38728760 38828712 38858606 38798586 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 39378939 39088724 39458426 38668345 37528316 36678359 36618497 36848744 37528860 38798972 39108976 39378939 SLGT 44960440 45450276 43589725 43119486 42219396 41459401 40849506 40789688 39550255 39580354 39880418 40870448 43650458 44960440 MRGL 32261555 33721578 35331533 36151454 36101394 35501345 34431343 33371412 32161448 MRGL 29218023 29238128 29488293 30598499 32908568 34478804 36448947 38179145 39229378 40009615 40029897 38670263 38880467 39890517 44200536 46000607 47190550 47870410 47990078 47569785 46569600 43649367 42638926 41508558 40338330 37618104 35968076 33838090 32217950 MRGL 43847797 42867584 41637443 40647436 39837512 39637598 40558054 42238377 43508535 44498498 44618359 44398171 TSTM 32401584 33221644 33911701 34321863 35641896 37722020 38332025 39202033 39902024 40731931 41271824 42951546 44171512 45111512 45561524 46321563 46441696 46321946 46352080 46502171 46942314 47412413 47962450 49042468 99999999 38337425 38547558 38497619 38237685 37577738 36967784 35517834 34227880 33047878 32607862 32157803 31867735 31747684 99999999 29109412 29329518 29869576 30369590 30839571 31209480 31469251 31469089 31608986 31838929 32268903 32718896 33218946 33739089 34129199 35349298 38039273 38399299 38699329 38889371 39199439 39229553 39179810 39060011 38780115 38290215 37220351 36330398 34910394 34090368 33770301 33840243 34330133 34260066 33720003 32789981 32310001 31980027 31060104 30420121 30000120 28970088 99999999 49349855 48829514 47819320 46649190 45859170 45299186 44759193 44249182 43929145 43899104 44119051 45058930 45828819 45958725 45848544 45578372 45268247 44948128 99999999 45006667 45776854 45976917 46066969 45787013 45077050 44507029 43086969 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE SPI 25 S HUF 25 NNE LUK 55 WNW HTS 10 E JKL 40 SE LOZ 45 N CSV 10 N HOP 30 NNE PAH 20 NNE BLV 20 NE ALN 35 SSE SPI THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW 2WX 45 SW Y22 25 W FSD 15 ESE SPW 25 SSE FOD 20 WSW DSM 20 ENE SDA 10 SW LNK 25 NW ITR 25 NNE LIC 40 ENE DEN 25 SE CYS 70 SE GCC 60 SW 2WX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S IPL 25 ENE TRM 55 S LAS 35 E LAS 60 N IGM 30 ENE IGM 65 SSE IGM 40 ESE BLH 35 SSE YUM THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E DAB 15 WNW DAB 15 SE CTY 20 SSE MAI 25 NW AUO 30 SW MSL 30 N DYR 20 E VIH 35 NNW SZL 30 W FNB 50 S EAR 40 N LAA 0 - COS 15 WNW DEN 15 SE GCC 30 SSW MLS 35 W GDV 15 NNE SDY 30 SE MOT 40 SW GFK 20 SSW DTL 40 NNW MCW 10 W JVL 40 NNW FWA 30 NW CMH 15 SSE BKW 40 ENE HKY 15 ESE CAE 55 SSE CHS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW ROC 25 SE SYR 20 ESE MSV 10 WSW EWR 0 - PHL 20 W ILG 15 WNW PIT 0 - ARB 45 N GRR 20 WNW HTL 15 NW OSC 75 NE BAX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW IPL 30 SSW TRM 25 E RAL 30 NNW LAX 15 NNE BFL 35 NNE MER 40 SSW TVL 25 NW TVL 35 NW RNO 60 NW LOL 35 NW WMC 55 SE BOI 60 NW SUN 50 ENE MYL 45 SSE P69 10 N P69 0 - LWS 50 NW PDT 20 SW YKM 65 NNW DLS 10 W OLM 30 NNW HQM 0 - UIL 75 N UIL ...CONT... 80 SSE ACY 15 NNW SBY 20 NE NHK 25 W NHK 0 - RIC 20 NNE AVC 20 WNW GSB 40 NNE CRE 45 S CRE 75 SSE CRE 120 SSE CRE 155 SE CRE 185 SSE ILM ...CONT... 40 ESE GLS 25 SSE HOU 30 WNW HOU 30 ESE CLL 15 WNW UTS 0 - LFK 15 WNW ESF 25 ESE HEZ 30 WNW PIB 25 N PIB 15 WSW MEI 30 NNW MEI 40 ESE GWO 20 NNE GLH 0 - PBF 10 NE RUE 40 WNW TBN 40 SE SZL 15 E SZL 15 NW SZL 15 ENE MKC 10 NNE TOP 35 SW CNK 25 SW HLC 50 SE GLD 35 ENE LAA 55 S LHX 40 SE RTN 25 SW TCC 30 SW CVS 45 SSE CVS 35 WNW LBB 25 ENE PVW 25 WSW CDS 50 SSE CDS 25 NNW ABI 20 WSW ABI 45 NNE SJT 40 WSW SJT 65 ENE 6R6 45 NNW DRT 30 S DRT ...CONT... 85 N DVL 10 SE RRT 35 NNW HIB 20 SE DLH 70 N EAU 35 NNW EAU 25 WSW EAU 40 NW LSE 10 WNW LSE 10 E LSE 15 NW VOK 20 ENE AUW 0 - IMT 15 NNW ESC 35 WNW PLN 35 NNW APN 55 ENE APN 115 NE BAX ...CONT... 20 ENE EPM 45 SW HUL 80 NNW BGR 95 NNW BGR 100 N AUG 45 NE BML 25 WNW AUG 50 SE PWM