Day 3 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 3 Areal Outline

Summary

Slight and marginal risks of severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the central and southeastern United States on Thursday. General thunderstorms are forecast to affect a wide area throughout the day, including portions of the Midwest and Southern Plains.

Product Text

000 WUUS03 KWNS 160735 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0234 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026 VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 33687708 33417904 33768169 34698402 36378722 38549009 39439117 40649128 42608961 43818667 45148209 45557958 45497719 44797482 42637252 40327157 0.15 36567505 35927690 35627883 36558036 37558002 38408104 38658368 39108623 40328665 41808387 42818173 43767946 44157825 43897708 43277661 42607669 42067721 41687727 41227696 41077618 40837516 40247417 39247348 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 43897708 43277661 42607669 42067721 41687727 41227696 40837516 40247417 39387358 99999999 36527517 35927690 35627883 36558036 37558002 38408104 38658368 39108623 40328665 41808387 42718193 MRGL 45097582 44797482 42637252 40457162 99999999 33647735 33417904 33768169 34698402 36378722 39439117 40649128 42608961 43818667 45148209 TSTM 31101172 32321286 33191386 33851479 34001570 33961645 34251713 34941666 35591612 36661596 37691626 37741734 37281780 36711779 36201763 35781834 36681923 37942016 38482037 39102008 39061966 38631908 38511848 38751771 40061617 42171551 44361515 45921444 47481298 49691116 99999999 27829108 28679059 30339016 31889004 33959042 35259158 35939304 36139368 37119445 39209400 40599261 43688954 45898647 47258401 99999999 49599648 47309833 45689982 44570186 43510345 42140454 40840504 38750515 37540503 36550462 35570388 34770229 34240170 33550092 32640037 31790037 30390080 29190165 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE ROC 25 WNW SYR 15 NW ITH 20 WSW ELM 35 NNW IPT 0 - IPT 20 NE ABE 15 NNE NEL 60 SE NEL ...CONT... 60 ENE ECG 45 WSW ECG 15 S RDU 40 NW GSO 15 N ROA 30 E CRW 50 SE LUK 20 E BMG 15 ESE LAF 15 NNW TOL 45 E MTC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW MSS 10 S MSS 25 SW EEN 50 S BID ...CONT... 55 SE ILM 20 SSW CRE 30 NNE AGS 65 NW AHN 20 SE CKV 35 S UIN 10 SW BRL 30 W JVL 40 SSW MBL 80 NE OSC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW TUS 45 SSW GBN 55 NE YUM 15 NNW BLH 35 NE TRM 30 NW TRM 30 NE RAL 10 NE DAG 65 NE DAG 0 - DRA 50 ESE TPH 25 SSW TPH 30 E BIH 55 SE BIH 35 N NID 40 W NID 30 ESE FAT 50 NNE MER 35 SW TVL 15 NNW TVL 20 ENE TVL 65 SSW NFL 70 SSE NFL 55 SSW U31 40 NNW P68 40 ENE OWY 60 SE MYL 60 NNW SMN 55 N 3DU 90 NE CTB ...CONT... 125 SSW HUM 60 S HUM 20 W ASD 30 S JAN 35 NNW GWO 35 S BVX 25 SSE HRO 30 ENE FYV 0 - JLN 35 E MKC 35 N IRK 40 NNW MSN 35 ENE ESC 55 NNE ANJ ...CONT... 60 NNE HCO 30 NNE JMS 30 ENE MBG 40 NNW PHP 40 SSW RAP 20 WNW TOR 25 SSW CYS 25 WSW COS 45 WNW TAD 15 SSW RTN 30 NNW TCC 45 SW AMA 0 - PVW 50 E LBB 45 WNW ABI 30 NNE SJT 70 SSW SJT 45 WSW DRT