Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-12 12:33 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across portions of the western, southern, and eastern United States through July 13. Marginal and slight risks of severe weather are forecast for various regions including the Southwest, the Southeast, and parts of the Midwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 121233 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0732 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026 VALID TIME 121300Z - 131200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 45698955 46079091 46559136 46949130 47149065 47168980 47448862 47638808 47568764 47268749 46818702 46758628 46748552 46498529 46058542 45738638 45438793 45698955 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46468337 45438414 44948469 44558549 44518678 44748817 45028921 45399025 45819104 46669184 48799245 0.15 46998930 47318878 47538804 47458759 47018751 46758682 46768570 46448539 46078553 45928648 45818733 45878801 46178904 46558967 46818962 46998930 CIG1 46789120 47479158 48149149 48399072 48298852 47658762 47278704 46978635 46828568 46748531 46388523 45978540 45798640 45648733 45958950 46309044 46789120 && ... WIND ... 0.05 26127952 26088015 26118055 26308098 26778139 27538192 28258227 29268261 30048349 30738605 30898726 30989186 31369768 31860053 32400273 32850369 33530398 34270392 35250349 35820265 35890112 35469916 34219710 33749475 33439195 33448967 33748766 34538558 35738382 36548105 36637794 36417609 35867474 0.05 31821386 32981425 33941434 34801397 35251319 35091216 34341098 33250969 32730935 31780904 30900895 0.05 46478337 45438412 44928459 44348535 44158608 44148742 44388849 44808942 45249041 45819114 46649184 48799245 0.15 31678033 32388165 32858246 33288281 33688299 34188298 34838255 35558156 35818063 35697962 35307861 34787774 33957704 0.15 31201223 32401265 33141304 33481302 33841270 34071204 33941149 33631096 32791061 30860979 0.15 46548966 46798961 47018917 47298869 47438829 47518803 47458768 47038761 46688735 46618676 46718622 46718571 46478548 46148557 45978646 45848730 45948804 46188903 46548966 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31201223 32401265 33141304 33481302 33841270 34071204 33941149 33631096 30860979 SLGT 31678033 32858246 33288281 33688299 34188298 34838255 35558156 35818063 35697962 35307861 34787774 33957704 SLGT 46818962 47318878 47538804 47458759 47018751 46758682 46768570 46448539 46078553 45818733 45878801 46178904 46558967 46818962 MRGL 26127952 26118055 26308098 27538192 28258227 29268261 30048349 30738605 30898726 30989186 31369768 31860053 32400273 32850369 33530398 34270392 35250349 35820265 35890112 35469916 34219710 33749475 33439195 33448967 33748766 34538558 35738382 36548105 36637794 36417609 35937492 MRGL 31821386 32981425 33941434 34801397 35251319 35091216 34341098 33250969 32730935 31780904 30900895 MRGL 46468337 45438412 44928459 44348535 44158608 44148742 44388849 45249041 45819114 46649184 48799245 TSTM 31811692 34141736 34751785 35791791 36781760 37011681 37321557 37451497 38181418 38511337 38481276 38311229 38181200 37971170 37911161 37891142 37961137 38411114 38481105 38821067 39001017 38860930 38760776 39040675 39500540 39500490 39450366 39350316 39130265 38480264 38080259 37340233 37000201 36800122 36760031 36779936 36819902 36769867 36649745 36429631 36199573 36219541 36369475 36379437 36369417 36269372 36019312 35959310 35609278 35359271 35299261 35189218 35139185 35019149 34959106 34949096 34969079 35029058 35159046 35379050 35869067 36129077 36529082 37249044 37928962 38338894 38738817 39248676 39768466 40068230 40768095 41018042 41057956 40657877 39887863 39257816 38177646 37137514 99999999 44718181 44038435 43378559 43208625 43448718 44108890 44919090 45809199 46579252 47669253 47809255 47879257 47999273 48039281 48189322 48199356 48059533 48109677 48769834 49529889 99999999 49530287 48180575 46980876 45961160 45391311 45551340 46191331 47531189 48491066 50090949 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SW TUS 35 S GBN 25 NW GBN 40 NNW GBN 50 NW PHX 45 N PHX 45 NE PHX 65 ENE PHX 45 SSW DUG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE SAV 45 N VDI 50 W AGS 25 SE AHN 25 SW AND 20 WSW GSP 15 SW HKY 45 NNE CLT 35 SSE GSO 25 NNE FAY 10 WSW OAJ 55 ESE ILM THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE IWD 15 NW CMX 30 NE CMX 65 N MQT 35 N MQT 40 ENE MQT 65 WNW ANJ 50 W ANJ 50 NW PLN 15 WNW ESC 0 - IMT 45 NNE RHI 20 E IWD 30 NE IWD THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE PBI 25 NW MIA 50 ENE APF 35 WSW AGR 35 NE PIE 25 WNW OCF 35 NW CTY 30 E CEW 30 N PNS 40 SE ESF 20 NW TPL 35 N SJT 35 SE HOB 30 WNW HOB 35 ENE ROW 35 WSW CVS 10 NE TCC 15 SSW DHT 20 NE BGD 10 NNE CSM 0 - ADM 30 SW DEQ 20 SW LLQ 25 E GWO 35 N TCL 25 WNW RMG 10 ESE TYS 45 SSW PSK 0 - AVC 10 NNE ECG 65 NE HSE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE YUM 30 NE YUM 30 NE BLH 30 S IGM 40 E IGM 30 W FLG 50 SSW INW 30 N SAD 20 ESE SAD 40 ENE DUG 55 SE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E ANJ 35 NW APN 40 N HTL 30 SSE TVC 10 SE MBL 15 E MTW 20 WSW GRB 45 WNW AUW 50 SSW ASX 20 SE DLH 45 ENE INL GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW CZZ 15 NNE RAL 10 SSE EDW 15 WNW NID 60 SE BIH 50 WNW DRA 50 NNE DRA 25 WSW P38 45 NNE P38 20 WNW MLF 15 ENE MLF 45 N BCE 35 NNE BCE 30 NE BCE 35 ENE BCE 45 ENE BCE 45 NW U17 25 W 4HV 20 WNW 4HV 30 N 4HV 0 - U28 25 ENE CNY 20 NNE MTJ 15 SSE ASE 35 SW DEN 20 S DEN 10 N LIC 30 ENE LIC 20 WSW ITR 30 N LAA 0 - LAA 15 ENE SPD 0 - EHA 20 ENE GUY 45 NW GAG 40 NE GAG 20 W AVK 0 - AVK 20 WSW PNC 30 SSW BVO 10 E TUL 25 E TUL 15 S GMJ 30 NNW FYV 25 N FYV 30 NE FYV 20 S HRO 20 S HRO 30 NE RUE 25 ENE RUE 25 E RUE 30 N LIT 35 NE LIT 50 S BVX 65 SSW JBR 65 SSW JBR 45 W MEM 35 W MEM 30 WNW MEM 35 SSE JBR 0 - JBR 10 E ARG 30 NNE ARG 30 N POF 20 WNW MDH 0 - MVN 50 S MTO 10 NW BMG 25 WSW DAY 20 WNW ZZV 25 ESE CAK 20 SE YNG 30 SE FKL 35 S DUJ 35 SSW AOO 15 SW MRB 10 SSW NHK 60 SSE WAL ...CONT... 85 NE BAX 25 SE HTL 35 N GRR 0 - MKG 55 SSE MTW 20 WNW OSH 30 E EAU 70 S DLH 25 SW DLH 25 NE HIB 30 NNE HIB 35 NNE HIB 40 N HIB 45 N HIB 30 SSE INL 25 SSW INL 40 NNW BJI 20 ENE GFK 50 NNE DVL 95 N DVL ...CONT... 100 NNE ISN 10 NW OLF 35 E LWT 25 WNW BZN 30 WNW DLN 40 NE SMN 35 SSW 3DU 25 W GTF 40 W HVR 105 N HVR