Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-23 12:52 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and strong winds, are expected across much of the central and southern United States today. Areas ranging from the Southern Plains through the Mississippi Valley and into the Midwest face varying levels of risk, with enhanced threats for severe weather occurring in portions of the central Plains.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 231252 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0750 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026 VALID TIME 231300Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 49499558 47429419 46119380 45229387 44659458 44599596 45079666 46719774 47819862 48479902 49359911 0.02 41010562 42120612 42550569 42240440 41530354 40010238 38060129 36579976 35869853 35029753 33939746 33539774 33479904 33680054 34450182 35410257 37700406 38970471 39850509 41010562 0.02 34867502 35327678 35807790 36377849 36957839 37617807 38337684 38777554 38677411 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 50009241 45559398 42449534 40429583 38629559 37799469 36459469 35099529 33539622 33159716 33539876 33540021 33290118 33080198 32740284 32690337 32980351 33550316 34420305 35380341 36440394 40140625 41520689 42090703 42700693 43060665 43180636 42970538 42600435 42480377 42500242 42810162 43299937 44389811 45819815 46849915 49750023 0.15 40050558 41410616 42320616 42480584 42490540 42470504 42190435 41700333 40810202 40030090 39600013 38259931 37229840 35659781 34799830 34189903 34080021 34080123 34280190 34730249 35100293 38300472 40050558 0.30 37150363 40750557 41510583 42060591 42310572 42230516 42090479 41580389 40620281 39820235 39250221 38480227 37960242 37630250 37200305 37150363 CIG1 39910034 38079915 36959837 36149823 35529814 34859856 34319920 33590026 33380135 33670246 34700301 36400388 40140623 41560691 42100701 42700693 43030666 43180635 42940536 42580432 40980162 39910034 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49099270 47099314 44869378 43499439 42139522 40939514 39029430 35319224 33249148 32469152 31959233 32379367 32629536 32639821 31840172 31670318 31920387 32430414 33250371 33640317 34460309 35430344 36430393 40120627 41000790 41370952 41741011 42091018 42390999 42630942 42970797 43180640 43130319 43230152 43439919 44529816 45769811 47279936 49490013 0.05 33297752 35167963 36027983 36927953 37697847 38247768 39337462 39377359 0.15 33847733 34437787 35117825 35867844 36847818 37957686 38367532 38427436 0.15 36049517 34959523 34289572 33839684 33499818 33570023 33820179 34730270 35810328 37090403 39470543 40680620 41340673 41670689 41980696 42270679 42500636 42550545 42180371 40760083 39389869 38059703 37079595 36049517 0.30 34727577 34987622 35407703 35897742 36447758 37077723 37697649 38187553 38267452 CIG1 38199703 37319623 36049522 35009524 34259570 34009641 33479824 32930068 32720140 32390219 32000278 31700315 31950381 32450409 33680305 35190306 36810373 37920428 38930485 40600584 40960738 41330849 41610948 41980959 42300924 42580783 42730617 42260456 41260382 40570296 40320196 40020017 39229824 38199703 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42310572 42230516 42090479 41580389 40620281 39820235 39250221 38480227 37630250 37200305 37150363 40750557 41510583 42060591 42310572 SLGT 33847733 34437787 35117825 35867844 36847818 37957686 38367532 38427440 SLGT 42270679 42500636 42550545 42470504 42180371 40760083 39389869 38059703 37079595 36049517 34959523 34289572 33839684 33499818 33570023 33820179 34730270 39470543 40680620 41340673 41980696 42270679 MRGL 33347757 35167963 36027983 36927953 38247768 39337462 39377359 MRGL 49049271 47099314 44869378 43499439 42139522 40939514 39029430 35319224 33249148 32469152 31959233 32379367 32629536 32639821 31840172 31670318 31920387 32430414 33250371 33640317 34460309 35430344 36440394 40120627 41000790 41370952 41741011 42091018 42390999 42630942 42970797 43180640 43130319 43439921 44529816 45819815 46849915 49350008 TSTM 28428865 29549130 30239323 30849448 31319597 31639675 31799809 31750013 31530127 31300215 30920292 30400393 29620500 99999999 31010632 32260621 32760615 33110602 33620569 34350505 34880457 35360448 35750441 36100457 36500474 37060526 37380546 37770575 38170597 38650629 39200670 39630718 39910766 40510908 40770962 41060999 41431042 41791061 42391077 43031053 43441029 43750951 43870871 43820695 43980553 44040471 44140427 44880204 45400117 45710107 46010110 46540133 46850172 47310263 49700766 99999999 48628873 47148775 45908708 45258669 44978663 44728657 44398665 44118681 43928690 43598718 43418739 43308746 42978794 42718880 42348955 41809145 41719185 41609249 41339275 40909295 40229263 39429223 38759153 38369129 37869103 37229090 36279030 35699001 35018960 34348887 33778848 33188790 32778697 32608636 32358535 32378473 32388362 32708072 32768040 32998005 33208001 33587994 33977993 34588053 34998094 35458106 36018115 36368113 37378073 38088028 38727961 39117900 40637559 42787194 45976685 99999999 35061721 36421669 37721585 38041486 38031381 37731284 37021111 36591022 36070965 35410954 34810958 34680971 34481044 34871159 35341268 35221355 34471502 34271584 34161653 34541712 34741721 35061721 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW DGW 35 SSE DGW 35 W TOR 25 SW BFF 35 SSE SNY 40 N ITR 0 - ITR 35 NE LAA 25 NNE SPD 25 WSW SPD 40 ESE TAD 40 S LAR 15 NNW LAR 55 NNW LAR 35 SSW DGW THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE ILM 10 N ILM 30 SW GSB 20 E RDU 15 NW AVC 35 SW NHK 10 ENE SBY 70 S ACY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE RWL 30 SSE CPR 15 SSW DGW 25 SE DGW 20 NNW BFF 25 SSW LBF 35 N RSL 35 NE ICT 20 N BVO 30 NNE MKO 30 E MLC 40 S MLC 10 NW GYI 40 SSE SPS 60 S CDS 10 N LBB 45 NE CVS 35 SW DEN 50 SSW LAR 40 SE RWL 20 NE RWL 40 NNE RWL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE ILM 15 WSW SOP 10 SE GSO 25 NNW DAN 40 E CHO 10 SSW ACY 55 E ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE INL 25 SW HIB 25 W MSP 10 S FRM 15 NE DNS 20 NE SDA 15 ESE MKC 40 N LIT 30 SSE LLQ 30 E MLU 40 N ESF 10 ESE SHV 20 N TYR 15 SW MWL 30 SSW BGS 10 S INK 35 SE CNM 10 NE CNM 50 NW HOB 50 S CVS 15 ENE CVS 20 NNE TCC 35 ESE RTN 45 NE EGE 40 NNW CAG 30 SW RKS 55 S BPI 35 S BPI 15 SSE BPI 35 E BPI 25 ESE RIW 20 N CPR 20 NNW CDR 25 SSE 9V9 10 NNE HON 30 NNE ABR 25 WSW JMS 90 NE MOT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SE BVE 40 W HUM 0 - LCH 30 SSE LFK 50 NW UTS 30 E ACT 30 S SEP 35 NE SJT 50 SSE BGS 45 S MAF 0 - FST 0 - MRF 80 SW MRF ...CONT... 55 S ELP 35 NNE ELP 0 - ALM 20 NNE ALM 15 NW SRR 40 ENE 4CR 60 SSE LVS 45 ESE LVS 40 E LVS 45 S RTN 20 SW RTN 40 SE ALS 25 E ALS 25 NNE ALS 50 N ALS 35 ENE GUC 10 E ASE 15 W EGE 40 S CAG 25 ENE VEL 25 NNW VEL 50 NNW VEL 35 ENE EVW 40 NNE EVW 35 WSW BPI 40 SSE JAC 25 ESE JAC 60 SSW COD 45 SSE COD 65 S SHR 25 S GCC 45 ESE GCC 60 W RAP 60 NNW PHP 35 WSW MBG 35 WNW MBG 45 NW MBG 30 WSW BIS 55 SSW N60 35 NNE DIK 115 NNW GGW ...CONT... 100 N CMX 45 NNW MQT 10 N ESC 40 SSE ESC 50 NNW MBL 35 NNW MBL 20 WNW MBL 30 WSW MBL 40 SW MBL 45 SE MTW 40 NE MKE 35 NE MKE 0 - MKE 15 ENE JVL 25 WNW RFD 15 ESE CID 15 SSW CID 35 N OTM 20 E OXV 30 SSE OXV 10 NNW IRK 40 N COU 35 ENE JEF 30 ENE VIH 35 W FAM 40 NW POF 35 SSE POF 45 N MEM 20 E MEM 0 - TUP 10 N CBM 15 W TCL 30 N SEM 20 N MGM 20 SSE AUO 15 SE CSG 20 S MCN 40 WSW CHS 25 WSW CHS 0 - CHS 20 N CHS 45 SSW FLO 20 SW FLO 50 SSE CLT 15 S CLT 15 NNW CLT 25 NNE HKY 45 NNE HKY 15 N PSK 20 N SSU 15 SE EKN 60 N SHD 10 W ABE 20 ESE EEN 45 ESE HUL ...CONT... 30 WNW DAG 40 WSW DRA 75 N DRA 35 NNW P38 45 WNW CDC 15 E CDC 20 ENE PGA 70 SSE U17 60 NW GUP 45 W GUP 45 NNE SOW 35 NNE SOW 30 WNW SOW 20 SSE FLG 50 NNW PRC 20 E IGM 30 SW EED 50 NNE TRM 40 NNW TRM 30 SW DAG 25 WSW DAG 30 WNW DAG