Mesoscale Discussion 2113
Issued: · Valid: –
Summary
Isolated thunderstorms developing across southeast Alabama, the central Florida Panhandle, and the lower Savannah River Valley may produce damaging wind gusts of up to 60 mph this afternoon.
Product Text
000 ACUS11 KWNS 241653 SWOMCD SPC MCD 241653 SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-241930- Mesoscale Discussion 2113 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1153 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026 Areas affected...southeast Alabama and the central Florida Panhandle into the lower Savannah River Valley Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 241653Z - 241930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated occurrences of damaging wind gusts are possible with thunderstorms developing across the region this afternoon. A watch is unlikely due to the expected limited coverage of the threat. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite and lightning data indicate a gradually deepening cumulus field and incipient thunderstorm development ahead of a quasi-stationary boundary draped across the region and along evolving sea breeze boundaries. The 12Z observed soundings across the region sampled a very moist boundary layer, contributing to a strongly unstable air mass for elevated parcels. Since those observations, surface temperatures have warmed into the lower 90s with steepening low-level lapse rates and MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg. Generally weak vertical shear and the absence of appreciable large-scale forcing for ascent are expected to limit the potential for an organized thunderstorm complex to evolve. However, the degree of instability will support vigorous pulse storms capable of locally damaging wind gusts through the remainder of the afternoon. ..Mead/Smith.. 08/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...TAE... LAT...LON 30868588 31358570 31528442 31448288 31888186 32778085 32708046 32388034 31338103 30408133 29888190 29848296 29838396 29938516 30248568 30868588 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH