Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-31 00:52 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a slight risk of tornadoes and hail are expected across parts of the central and southern United States on July 31. Marginal risks for severe storms and wind are also forecast across a broad area spanning from the Plains toward the Mississippi Valley.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 310052 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0750 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026 VALID TIME 310100Z - 311200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 40599766 40409819 40409886 40649950 40989994 41270000 41529974 41869935 42389829 42509746 42209707 41589679 41079698 40599766 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40609762 40419809 40399881 40569940 41240024 41990065 42510080 43420103 44180144 44680171 44960168 45080158 45140139 45150125 45030090 44660017 43919913 42539744 42189704 41589679 41079698 40609762 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48878810 47868947 47449051 46459277 45599456 44869519 44099565 43419570 42589560 41399483 40289433 39309419 38689439 38109509 37719588 37729666 37879775 37699856 37489918 37189980 36690074 36570142 36410251 36480332 36660380 37160415 37610419 38410381 39220327 40590271 42370296 44630390 45630426 46390403 47100303 47840051 48429801 49399614 0.15 39109742 39089822 39249917 39589984 40060049 40140052 40700082 41320087 42430090 43480117 44340165 44760177 44960175 45110163 45190145 45210117 45170083 45000036 44469944 43309787 41799631 40769566 40159548 39599569 39209635 39109742 CIG1 40169815 40169875 40349936 40760004 41030034 41220045 41780073 42460092 43450114 44350163 44740173 45030178 45200136 45150084 45020040 44619970 44229911 43169772 42089660 41509647 40899670 40439737 40169815 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 44960175 45190145 45170083 45000036 44469944 43309787 41799631 40769566 40159548 39599569 39209635 39089822 39249917 39589984 40060049 40700082 42430090 43480117 44340165 44760177 44960175 MRGL 48798820 47868947 46459277 45599456 44869519 44099565 43419570 42589560 41399483 40289433 39309419 38689439 38109509 37719588 37729666 37879775 37699856 37489918 36690074 36570142 36410251 36480332 36660380 37160415 37610419 38410381 39220327 40590271 42370296 45630426 46390403 47100303 47840051 48429801 49399614 TSTM 46528347 46018379 45658424 45368538 45448698 45628844 45978984 46129077 45959150 45499218 44789228 43849180 41599080 39569020 38129030 36979089 36159150 35589184 35129176 34879143 34649082 34308959 33788845 33048647 32388384 31598163 30968079 99999999 27567968 26958059 26308117 25968174 25858221 99999999 28378878 29479073 30179161 31209264 32479342 33479422 34279542 34619700 34469954 34680168 35090307 35550404 36220484 37030530 37910557 38810615 39330715 40341003 41001288 41631397 42601541 43371602 44221613 44971601 46311526 47061428 48171214 49021043 49420972 99999999 31381269 31891210 32851178 33761207 34401269 35241301 35981264 36341152 36220996 35840843 34970554 34560503 34060481 32980522 32330549 31130641 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N PHP 60 SE Y22 30 SW MBG 35 S MBG 50 N 9V9 35 SSE MHE 0 - TQE 15 W SDA 10 NE FNB 35 S FNB 20 ENE MHK 35 ENE RSL 30 NW RSL 15 N HLC 10 SSE MCK 30 SSW LBF 30 NNE MHN 45 SSE PHP 20 N PHP 50 N PHP 65 N PHP THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 N CMX 40 E GNA 40 SW DLH 25 W STC 20 NNW RWF 30 N OTG 20 SSW OTG 20 W SLB 50 SE DNS 30 SW LWD 25 ENE MKC 20 ESE OJC 35 NE CNU 20 W CNU 40 E ICT 15 SSE HUT 30 N P28 35 WNW P28 25 SSE LBL 10 SSE GUY 25 N DHT 10 WNW CAO 40 WNW CAO 10 SE TAD 25 NNE TAD 30 NNW LHX 20 E LIC 40 SSE SNY 25 NNW AIA 50 S BHK 10 ENE BHK 25 NNW DIK 45 SE MOT 50 NW GFK 40 NNW ROX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E ANJ 40 SE ANJ 30 ENE PLN 30 WSW PLN 20 SSE ESC 20 SW IMT 30 NW RHI 30 SSE ASX 50 SW ASX 55 NW EAU 40 W EAU 30 W LSE 20 WNW MLI 35 SW SPI 25 NNE FAM 25 WNW POF 30 NNE BVX 15 SW BVX 40 NE LIT 45 ENE LIT 55 WSW MEM 0 - UOX 10 N CBM 40 SSE BHM 25 SSW MCN 30 NNW SSI 40 ESE SSI ...CONT... 45 E VRB 35 WNW PBI 40 ENE APF 15 S APF 35 SW APF ...CONT... 75 SSE BVE 10 SSW HUM 20 E LFT 25 SW ESF 25 E SHV 15 W TXK 45 N PRX 20 N ADM 20 SW LTS 35 N PVW 30 ESE TCC 35 NW TCC 40 SSW RTN 40 SE ALS 35 NNE ALS 50 SE ASE 15 WNW ASE 30 WSW VEL 55 N DPG 65 N ENV 50 W TWF 15 SE BOI 45 N BOI 10 NE MYL 20 NE P69 15 NW MSO 35 SSE CTB 45 NW HVR 60 N HVR ...CONT... 105 S GBN 70 WSW TUS 40 SSE PHX 25 N PHX 25 SW PRC 55 NW PRC 25 W GCN 40 S PGA 80 NW GUP 30 NE GUP 50 SSW LVS 50 NE 4CR 55 NNW ROW 40 SSE SRR 50 SE ALM 45 S ELP