Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a slight risk of tornadoes, hail, and wind are expected across portions of the central and southeastern United States on Sunday. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms also extend across parts of the Southwest and Midwest throughout the day.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 141633 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1131 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026 VALID TIME 141630Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36857476 36757545 35987691 36377805 37227883 37867890 38917826 39147896 38838044 39178150 39808238 40538290 41408276 41818109 42557901 43287852 43967831 99999999 47426751 45266832 44486962 44147157 43707225 43167316 42177455 41387494 40627498 39817468 38517443 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36427524 35997694 36057789 37097928 37497931 38367880 40027816 41507608 41597533 41267464 40527438 38667443 0.05 31440738 32710724 34190720 35490704 36300683 36490631 36260592 35010562 33940542 33420494 32870346 32390260 31540214 31050270 30310536 0.05 46377076 46236967 45856898 44946893 44376964 43907090 43937216 43687405 43027625 42637727 41957809 41197884 40387958 39868042 39678161 39838239 40318363 40758395 41418367 42468211 && ... WIND ... 0.05 30808083 30658239 31178351 32338397 32988460 33368573 33958828 34378943 35178977 35928924 36228801 36328688 36368582 36638491 37228439 37638456 38078568 38128640 38578676 39058669 39968598 40538530 41468397 41628356 42628223 0.05 31560728 33110726 35140713 36410668 36520625 36120589 35200568 34120549 33150473 33070420 32440256 31920239 30980357 30340533 0.05 45736710 44206949 43227077 40687168 0.15 36307485 35797595 34717774 34437826 34237883 34537995 34018250 33808359 33718455 34008608 34208707 34608775 34908773 35308738 35648607 35858386 36558124 37358036 38288012 38718070 39008162 38638279 38428356 38578437 38938494 39388489 40018414 41168264 41628218 42508147 99999999 46177062 45456980 45126971 44636993 44187043 43367153 42217231 41617252 39807319 0.30 36787547 36017686 36317804 37257885 37957890 39017831 39977766 41577580 42037480 41927415 41407343 39657361 38927412 0.30 41057802 40537861 40067913 39787995 39628032 39358134 39488178 39818208 40308204 41218156 41818085 42127961 42517827 42357754 42037735 41587753 41057802 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 46177062 45456980 45126971 44636993 43367153 42217231 40017311 99999999 36217505 35797595 34437826 34237883 34537995 33808359 33718455 34208707 34608775 34908773 35308738 35648607 35858386 36558124 37358036 38288012 38718070 39008162 38428356 38578437 38938494 39388489 41168264 42508147 MRGL 31440738 35140713 36300683 36520625 36260592 34060544 33430495 32870346 32440256 31540214 31050270 30310535 MRGL 45736710 44206949 43227077 40687168 99999999 30808083 30658239 31178351 32338397 32988460 33368573 33958828 34378943 35178977 35928924 36228801 36368582 36638491 37228439 37638456 38078568 38128640 38578676 39058669 39968598 40538530 41468397 41628356 42628223 TSTM 31791326 32701374 33451411 35261466 35971491 36391533 36581559 36641591 36531652 36381704 36271751 36181790 36211836 36421895 37221997 38092075 38472100 39242084 39592064 39622045 39571982 39331933 39301876 39361804 39641739 40011661 40221607 40461514 40491452 40411381 40331323 40281223 40421107 40541045 40580934 40530839 40560694 40710493 40670389 40340266 39920212 39280171 38860167 38570175 36690201 36440198 36140195 35930175 35350085 35049968 35039800 34849493 34699273 34779189 35329115 36429014 39728797 41768598 43298392 44228135 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 NNE BML 80 N AUG 55 N AUG 20 NNW AUG 10 N CON 20 ENE BAF 55 S ISP ...CONT... 65 E ECG 35 SSE ECG 25 WNW ILM 40 N CRE 25 NNW FLO 20 SW AHN 10 NW ATL 35 SSW HSV 15 SW MSL 10 NNW MSL 40 NNE MSL 50 SE BNA 10 ENE TYS 50 S BLF 20 W ROA 35 NNE SSU 50 WSW EKN 25 SSW PKB 60 N JKL 35 S LUK 30 WSW LUK 30 NW LUK 25 NNW MFD 75 NNE CLE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE DMN 30 WNW ABQ 20 NNE 4SL 50 NE 4SL 45 N SAF 15 ESE 4CR 25 WNW ROW 20 NW HOB 40 NNW MAF 30 S MAF 15 NE FST 80 W MRF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE HUL 15 ESE AUG 10 NNE PSM 35 S BID ...CONT... 45 ESE SSI 40 S AYS 20 ENE MGR 30 SW MCN 25 E LGC 15 SSE ANB 25 NNE CBM 0 - UOX 15 NE MEM 10 ESE DYR 45 SW HOP 50 NW CSV 50 NNE CSV 20 WNW LOZ 30 S LEX 10 SSE SDF 35 W SDF 40 S BMG 10 SSW BMG 25 NE IND 20 NNE MIE 10 SW TOL 15 ENE TOL 30 E MTC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW GBN 50 E YUM 35 ESE BLH 35 N EED 15 ESE LAS 25 NNW LAS 25 ESE DRA 0 - DRA 30 WSW DRA 60 NE NID 40 NNE NID 35 NNW NID 55 NW NID 50 ESE FAT 35 NNW FAT 30 ENE SCK 25 E SAC 50 WNW TVL 45 W RNO 35 WNW RNO 0 - RNO 25 ESE RNO 15 S NFL 40 ESE NFL 15 NW U31 45 SSE BAM 45 SSW EKO 40 SE EKO 30 WSW ENV 25 SSE ENV 20 WNW DPG 35 SSW SLC 60 S EVW 50 W VEL 15 NE VEL 45 W CAG 30 E CAG 20 NNE FCL 50 NW AKO 30 ENE AKO 50 N ITR 0 - GLD 35 S GLD 55 S GLD 20 SSW EHA 30 WSW GUY 35 ENE DHT 25 NW BGD 40 SE BGD 35 SW CSM 0 - CHK 20 SW RKR 25 NE HOT 20 E LIT 40 SE BVX 30 SE POF 25 NE MTO 20 ENE SBN 20 SSE MBS 85 ENE BAX