Day 1 Areal Outline
Issued:
Summary
Severe thunderstorms with a slight risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across portions of the central and southern United States on Saturday. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms also extend across parts of the Southeast and various other regions.
Product Text
000 WUUS01 KWNS 151251 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0749 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026 VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38748191 38348223 37958326 37958415 38268481 38578537 39028560 39628554 40068520 40298468 40428428 40248327 40048275 39528221 39078198 38748191 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36530222 36490274 36470330 36570382 36840415 37750472 38670504 41780544 42680564 43150535 43540462 43550403 43480351 43030297 42480244 40730201 38210173 37290175 36840182 36730192 36530222 0.15 37120275 37100323 37260359 37650399 38200433 39200457 41170475 41790475 42190451 42400398 42430369 42350333 42080313 41590287 40770261 39020238 38050229 37420232 37340236 37120275 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31598010 31758147 31308249 30358404 30258493 30478551 31148570 31868537 32738476 33968422 35558418 36598439 38118549 38968699 39138963 38949160 38649536 36669995 36150171 36000332 36240416 36720477 37280489 39110541 41940585 43040643 43570662 44100643 44390582 44550508 44490380 44150273 43150127 42340023 41969885 41749685 41619324 41889005 42198859 42618620 42538500 42268396 41218208 40248114 38537956 36777837 35447743 34317570 0.15 36760348 37040397 37510429 38200459 39250481 40360493 41220497 41850496 42370469 42690388 42710271 42410200 41920171 40690147 38540123 37370128 36950162 36750269 36760348 0.15 38388512 38698541 39098560 39588559 40048516 40418440 40268341 40128295 39748250 38938198 38678200 38538204 38268228 38078290 37938342 38018428 38388512 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 39588559 40048516 40418440 40128295 39748250 38938198 38678200 38268228 38078290 37938342 38018428 38388512 38698541 39098560 39588559 SLGT 41850496 42370469 42690388 42710271 42410200 41920171 40690147 38540123 37370128 36950162 36750269 36760348 37040397 37510429 38200459 39250481 41220497 41850496 MRGL 31628036 31758147 31308249 30358404 30258493 30478551 31148570 31868537 32738476 33968422 35558418 36598439 38118549 38968699 39138963 38649536 36669995 36150171 36000332 36240416 36720477 39110541 41940585 43040643 43570662 44100643 44390582 44550508 44490380 44150273 42340023 41969885 41749685 41619324 41889005 42618620 42538500 42268396 41218208 38537956 35447743 34387581 TSTM 32251651 32741685 33601723 34661767 35351781 36901777 39951694 41221702 42691852 43511928 43762035 43202139 43412224 44292303 45082243 46672251 48342234 49532243 49822248 99999999 28479065 29829057 30479027 32468778 34388606 36338568 37538650 38198841 38119138 38149527 34860136 33070275 31960292 30270247 29260095 27980070 99999999 39981289 37431192 35791072 35101051 34590917 35290867 36210730 37590755 38710881 39561090 40371175 40421263 39981289 99999999 30971234 31931223 32831069 32900963 33490972 33991113 33901395 33221477 32491486 31881463 99999999 46858342 46088439 44938608 44088652 43528658 42758356 42208105 41607933 40697811 39207747 37597756 36307592 35567419 99999999 49551688 49551688 48701745 48241740 47781699 48011425 48001287 47851034 46830778 45370550 44680269 43970119 44679800 45459695 47049660 48839741 49989896 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW MIE 20 SE MIE 35 NNW DAY 10 NNW CMH 25 SE CMH 25 SE UNI 30 NW CRW 15 ESE HTS 30 SW HTS 25 N JKL 15 E LEX 35 NW LEX 40 NNE SDF 65 N SDF 45 SSW MIE THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N CYS 35 NW TOR 45 NNE TOR 20 ESE CDR 50 ENE AIA 35 WSW MHN 15 NE IML 50 NNW GCK 30 NW LBL 15 ESE EHA 35 S SPD 30 NW CAO 25 SE TAD 15 N TAD 0 - PUB 30 N COS 10 WNW CYS 50 N CYS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE SAV 30 SSW SAV 0 - AYS 20 E TLH 35 N AAF 20 NNE PFN 20 SW DHN 40 N DHN 20 NE CSG 25 NNE ATL 20 SSW TYS 40 SSW LOZ 15 ESE SDF 25 WSW BMG 30 NE ALN 35 SSE TOP 25 NNW GAG 35 NNW BGD 30 SSW CAO 40 SSE RTN 15 W RTN 40 WNW COS 45 NNW LAR 10 NNE CPR 45 N CPR 55 SSE SHR 15 W GCC 25 ENE GCC 50 NW RAP 15 ENE RAP 20 SW ANW 20 NE BUB 35 NE OLU 20 NNW OXV 40 NE MLI 35 NNE BEH 25 SW LAN 10 WNW ARB 20 SW CLE 30 SSE EKN 35 NW EWN 60 S HSE GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S CZZ 20 E SAN 25 SSE RAL 20 SE EDW 25 SSW NID 45 SE BIH 35 NNE U31 45 N BAM 35 WNW REO 20 WSW BNO 50 SE RDM 75 S RDM 70 SE EUG 15 NE EUG 35 SSE PDX 30 SE OLM 35 SSE BLI 50 N BLI 70 N BLI ...CONT... 75 S HUM 20 NNE HUM 30 WNW ASD 55 S TCL 30 N GAD 45 NW CSV 40 N BWG 25 ESE MVN 20 E VIH 35 NNE CNU 30 SE AMA 40 NE HOB 20 NE INK 20 NW 6R6 10 SSW DRT 80 WNW LRD ...CONT... 15 S DPG 25 SE BCE 55 N INW 15 ENE INW 50 ENE SOW 15 SSE GUP 25 NW 4SL 30 NNE DRO 30 SSW GJT 10 WSW PUC 30 SSE SLC 25 NE DPG 15 S DPG ...CONT... 115 SW TUS 75 SSE GBN 50 NNE TUS 0 - SAD 45 N SAD 65 NE PHX 50 ENE BLH 25 S BLH 20 SW YUM 55 S YUM ...CONT... 50 ENE ANJ 25 S ANJ 30 WNW TVC 20 SW MBL 30 NW MKG 20 SSE FNT 45 W ERI 40 S JHW 20 SW UNV 30 ESE MRB 15 WNW RIC 15 E ECG 85 ENE HSE ...CONT... 135 NNE GEG 135 NNE GEG 75 N GEG 45 N GEG 25 ENE GEG 20 S GPI 50 SSW CTB 55 SSW HVR 80 NNE BIL 0 - 4BQ 45 NNE RAP 20 ESE PHP 25 NNE HON 25 WNW VVV 15 NE FAR 20 WNW HCO 130 N DVL