Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-28 16:20 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and strong winds are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States through Tuesday. Marginal to slight risks of these severe weather phenomena are forecast for various regions, including parts of the Midwest and South, during this period.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 281620 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1119 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026 VALID TIME 281630Z - 291200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 34707874 35247917 35397986 35388061 35258162 35028345 34988444 35288482 37998240 38368127 38208031 38147908 39157816 40437739 40867586 40557501 40247431 39517438 38897494 38097525 37897536 37017556 35217548 34747605 34327800 34707874 0.05 37467888 37297840 36897845 36297941 36218011 36058173 35958300 36318329 36968202 37228009 37467888 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37137657 37087762 36557839 35667869 34618051 34188202 34258274 34738390 35168411 35418413 35868409 36248391 36748341 37408238 38048142 38537965 39787855 40197695 40297566 39757500 38687552 37577622 37137657 0.05 41550290 39600318 38700377 38360436 38130495 39520572 40910558 42320505 42590454 42680391 42560329 42200295 41550290 && ... WIND ... 0.05 32417791 33208320 33618488 34458615 35008667 35618670 36168634 38118372 38918045 41247838 41407656 41487426 41117361 40067283 0.05 37670388 37810441 38080486 38630505 39320518 41160512 41990479 42460440 42670390 42560328 42060263 40820160 39390156 38140185 37760219 37680310 37670388 0.15 33057799 33338080 33738272 34808396 35138411 36618458 37648314 37988146 38497968 39847859 40197697 40577573 40677517 40527469 40157403 39447351 0.15 39240433 41000444 41580360 41460283 40120227 39100249 38640290 38610388 39240433 0.30 34318029 34668206 35118251 35378243 35728214 36058184 36668092 38127863 38707753 39777614 39687540 38797501 38177549 37317600 36347629 35397680 34857751 34437813 34077887 34318029 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 33117856 33338080 33738272 34808396 36618458 37648314 37988146 38497968 39847859 40677517 40527469 40157403 39487354 SLGT 41580360 41460283 40120227 39100249 38640290 38610388 39240433 41000444 41580360 MRGL 32567894 33208320 33618488 34458615 35008667 35618670 36168634 38118372 38918045 41247838 41407656 41487426 41117361 40067283 MRGL 40910558 42320505 42590454 42680391 42560328 42060263 40820160 39390156 38140185 37760219 37670388 37810441 38150489 38130495 39520572 40910558 TSTM 47676715 46316930 44997009 42937061 40327003 99999999 49380276 48460347 47930362 47110351 45920287 44530185 43070065 41819910 41579824 41249500 39509213 36688929 36088849 35938752 36318681 37048619 37668582 38548523 38978448 39348317 39708232 40168166 40918143 42898038 99999999 32107980 32077981 32258289 32198408 31978494 31818577 31998653 32558721 33088785 33848961 34339139 34869300 35889428 36549510 37079651 37149766 37049871 36599984 35690118 34340317 33230460 32380553 31560583 30710577 99999999 31871399 32551383 33201370 33821382 34601421 35881415 37131341 37781314 38761305 39431322 40071405 40541523 40961594 41941594 42731564 43501417 44311297 45131260 45991259 47251118 48820794 49810664 99999999 48839008 48019051 47289134 46239258 45429314 44619350 43839410 43169511 43159660 43939863 45610011 50000001 99999999 28399145 29249165 30049132 30779038 31168886 31348724 30548039 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE CRE 10 SSE OGB 40 ESE AHN 70 S TYS 45 SW LOZ 15 ENE JKL 25 NW BKW 30 SSE EKN 35 SSW AOO 15 E ABE 20 NNE TTN 20 ENE NEL 55 SE NEL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S BFF 25 NNE SNY 45 SW IML 15 SW ITR 40 NNW LAA 45 NNW LHX 35 NE COS 20 ESE CYS 20 S BFF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S CRE 45 NE MCN 25 W ATL 35 N GAD 25 NNE HSV 35 S BNA 20 E BNA 45 NNW JKL 35 W EKN 25 E DUJ 20 ENE IPT 20 WSW POU 25 W BDR 50 SSE ISP THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S LAR 35 SSE DGW 40 NNW TOR 45 NNE TOR 20 SSW CDR 10 E AIA 20 N IML 10 ENE GLD 45 E LAA 35 SE LAA 30 SW LHX 35 S PUB 25 WSW PUB 25 WSW PUB 50 WSW DEN 30 S LAR GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NE CAR 70 WSW CAR 50 NNW AUG 15 SE PSM 65 S ACK ...CONT... 90 NNE ISN 20 NNE ISN 15 S ISN 40 WNW DIK 35 W Y22 35 NNW PHP 15 NNW VTN 0 - BUB 40 N GRI 40 NNE SDA 45 N COU 40 SSE CGI 40 NE MKL 45 S CKV 15 NNW BNA 15 ENE BWG 35 S SDF 35 NE SDF 10 SSW LUK 50 SSW CMH 35 N UNI 20 NE ZZV 0 - CAK 55 N ERI ...CONT... 55 SSE CHS 60 SSE CHS 30 W VDI 45 SW MCN 40 S CSG 15 ESE TOI 20 SSW MGM 20 NW SEM 15 SW TCL 40 S UOX 35 ENE PBF 25 S RUE 10 SW FYV 20 WSW GMJ 35 NW BVO 35 SSW ICT 20 N AVK 20 N GAG 10 E BGD 10 ESE CVS 0 - ROW 45 SE ALM 35 ESE ELP 85 SSE ELP ...CONT... 65 SSE YUM 45 E YUM 60 WNW GBN 55 ENE BLH 25 ESE EED 45 NNW IGM 10 ENE SGU 0 - CDC 25 N MLF 40 W U24 45 S ENV 35 ESE EKO 15 NW EKO 10 E OWY 60 NNE OWY 0 - SUN 35 WSW MQM 10 SSW DLN 0 - BTM 20 SSE GTF 75 NW GGW 110 N GGW ...CONT... 75 N GNA 20 NNW GNA 0 - BFW 45 SSW DLH 35 N MSP 25 SW MSP 20 NE FRM 0 - SPW 30 SSE FSD 35 SSW HON 15 ENE MBG 135 NNE MOT ...CONT... 95 SSW HUM 45 SE 7R4 35 SSW BTR 30 S MCB 35 SE PIB 15 WSW GZH 70 NE SGJ