Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-04 12:52 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and eastern United States on Saturday. These storms pose an enhanced to slight risk for several regions, with marginal risks extending across a wide area from the Great Plains to the East Coast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 041252 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0750 AM CDT SAT JUL 04 2026 VALID TIME 041300Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38179950 38639841 38819696 38639581 38349545 38059525 37449527 37039578 36769655 36649807 36659883 36889957 37090004 37590000 37909995 38179950 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37810444 38340500 38560511 38880528 39240542 39770552 40560549 40970542 41130529 42040472 42770502 43300504 44070482 44580445 44890396 44670305 44240232 43560134 43150077 42650017 42099962 41729940 41439939 41059937 40609934 40159902 39659818 39579777 39389704 39269608 38999550 38839478 38569429 38329387 37949369 37289387 36529496 35929601 35119864 34809986 34110107 33890157 33610213 33420279 33400360 33870383 34810343 35850252 36320226 36800218 37160218 37810444 0.15 40570127 39690104 39190088 38370175 38110222 38070311 38250400 38680477 39200497 39680509 39930514 40130518 40370511 41410457 41910450 42520433 42890407 43020398 43020361 42880275 42730241 40570127 0.15 36990098 37870002 38509895 38899693 38639584 38319546 37809522 37339549 36879641 36409776 36129912 36069990 36320030 36670070 36990098 CIG1 38389919 38869722 38669606 38319542 37899526 37279521 36619555 36129717 35809955 36020021 36480097 36820089 37300076 37769994 38089968 38389919 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37567479 36157698 35977987 36168204 37408412 38078641 38068677 37818723 37608756 37248788 36558837 35838895 34808966 33629043 32899130 32189221 31989276 32029361 32699426 33839521 34299637 34359874 34300003 33420175 33070307 32970386 33390425 34040425 34750376 35180298 35620263 36260229 36740214 37240230 37840441 38390511 39260546 40820546 41910478 43150509 43460519 44000514 44250506 44730473 45020420 45030340 44240232 43680143 43580093 43560004 43739936 44089848 44509787 44809767 45139734 45729683 45969657 46209644 46629591 47759515 49019472 49359370 99999999 49049199 48389141 46809102 45579146 44379224 43009320 42209362 41309423 40879426 40719397 40979269 41689082 42248793 42208552 42058431 41808154 42387935 42857738 43027550 43007308 42787173 42457001 42156924 0.15 38969521 38889387 39199220 39969103 40749015 41198927 41378833 41298736 40818680 40438659 39638670 38638719 37648859 36958973 36439141 36099315 35789439 35509531 35409616 35339690 35279760 35439811 35589886 35310006 34990044 34520104 34230137 34070182 33950226 34010260 34290277 34950248 35360209 35800173 36160135 36500114 37150057 37690029 37980003 38339987 38559985 38850023 38920060 38900097 38680138 38180205 38020300 38300401 38420454 39000493 39430497 39760511 40230504 40790492 41240485 41790460 42220436 42700396 43030313 43010257 42770130 42420067 41980028 41339988 40599946 40069894 39819863 39159682 38969521 0.15 38227444 36777648 36367813 36868235 37518300 38638328 39508311 40328230 40778132 41158006 41697862 42187732 42137474 42027328 41807243 41547169 40647028 0.30 40217447 39727421 38487491 37237615 37037813 37307924 37627937 38507923 39437831 40147692 40477510 40217447 0.30 37229844 37579770 37869558 37629470 37249440 36809450 36419521 36239597 36049703 36129796 36229864 36519900 36799894 37229844 0.45 38187801 38747787 39067773 39347741 39537713 39817672 39897636 39927603 39917580 39867542 39427509 38197595 37547656 37617732 38187801 CIG1 38519862 38759754 38719588 38599530 38449480 38179435 37439422 36849411 36349473 36019625 35809863 35409996 34910050 34350115 33550219 33390253 33360317 33800343 34610320 35470247 35900194 36440131 37230058 37749991 38519862 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 36799894 37229844 37579770 37869558 37629470 37249440 36809450 36419521 36049703 36229864 36519900 36799894 ENH 39067773 39817672 39927603 39867542 39427509 38197595 37547656 37617732 38187801 39067773 SLGT 40700494 41240485 42030447 42520433 43020398 43010257 42770130 42420067 41980028 40599946 40069894 39819863 39159682 38889387 39199220 39969103 40749015 41198927 41378833 41298736 40818680 40438659 39638670 38638719 37648859 36958973 36439141 36099315 35509531 35279760 35589886 35310006 34230137 33950226 34010260 34290277 34950248 36160135 36840085 36990098 37560036 37980003 38559985 38850023 38900097 38110222 38020300 38250400 38420454 38680477 39000493 40130518 40700494 SLGT 38217446 36777648 36367813 36868235 37518300 38638328 39508311 40328230 40778132 41158006 42187732 42137474 42027328 41547169 40647028 MRGL 48389141 46809102 45579146 43009320 42209362 41309423 40879426 40719397 40979269 41689082 42248793 42208552 41808154 42857738 43027550 43007308 42457001 42156924 99999999 37557481 36157698 35977987 36168204 37408412 38078641 38068677 37608756 37248788 35838895 33629043 32189221 31989276 32029361 33839521 34299637 34359874 34300003 33420175 33070307 32970386 33390425 34040425 34750376 35050322 35850252 36270229 36870218 37190228 37810444 38390511 39260546 39770552 40820546 41930479 43460519 44250506 44730473 45020420 45030340 43680143 43580093 43560004 43739936 44089848 44509787 44809767 45969657 46209644 46629591 47759515 49019472 49229410 TSTM 28589448 29039582 29739610 30949605 31579631 32949735 33509781 33919879 33949968 33510072 32940167 32140261 31460281 30550264 29940233 29390212 99999999 31040717 32490790 33480750 35010690 36010591 37060580 38090618 39020652 40430653 42560610 44500633 46320566 47140446 48300437 49590572 99999999 44397792 44107609 43747209 42736887 99999999 48869180 45688435 44878232 44668076 99999999 36017500 35307700 35147909 34498048 33498127 32728153 31938146 31108112 30588066 99999999 45786677 46446891 47297065 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W AVK 10 ESE P28 15 WSW ICT 15 NNW CNU 35 NNW JLN 10 NE JLN 20 NE GMJ 30 WSW GMJ 25 NNW CQB 40 S AVK 25 SW AVK 15 W AVK THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE MRB 30 SSE CXY 30 NW ILG 10 W PHL 30 SSE PHL 25 WSW SBY 50 NNW ORF 10 N RIC 25 E CHO 25 SSE MRB THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE FCL 0 - CYS 15 W TOR 35 NNW TOR 45 WNW CDR 30 ENE CDR 40 W VTN 30 SSW VTN 45 SSW ANW 25 WSW EAR 45 S EAR 55 S HSI 10 W MHK 20 WNW SZL 25 N COU 10 E UIN 25 WNW PIA 35 WSW MMO 20 E MMO 20 WSW VPZ 30 NNE LAF 20 E LAF 25 WSW IND 45 NNE EVV 40 NNE PAH 20 SSW CGI 35 SE UNO 10 S HRO 10 SSE MKO 10 S OKC 25 NE CSM 50 W CSM 20 ENE PVW 30 NW LBB 50 ESE CVS 30 E CVS 45 WSW AMA 30 N BGD 15 SSE LBL 0 - LBL 25 SW DDC 15 NNW DDC 55 N DDC 40 SSW HLC 50 SE GLD 25 E LAA 20 W LAA 25 E PUB 10 NNW PUB 10 SSW COS 15 NW COS 25 SSW FCL 20 NNE FCL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E SBY 20 WSW ORF 25 S AVC 25 N TRI 20 E JKL 45 WNW HTS 35 SSW CMH 35 NW ZZV 10 SSE CAK 20 SSW FKL 20 W ELM 30 N MSV 30 S PSF 20 SW PVD 45 SSW ACK THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE ELO 20 NNW ASX 50 N EAU 10 SSE MCW 45 N DSM 35 WSW DSM 25 NW LWD 0 - LWD 15 SW OTM 25 NW MLI 35 S RAC 0 - AZO 30 NNE CLE 25 SE ROC 10 SW UCA 35 S RUT 55 NNE HYA 65 ENE HYA ...CONT... 45 SE WAL 45 ESE RZZ 10 SSE GSO 30 SE TRI 20 N LOZ 40 WSW SDF 30 NE OWB 25 WSW OWB 45 NNW HOP 15 N MKL 20 WNW GWO 25 SSW MLU 25 NE IER 30 SSE SHV 20 NE PRX 25 N DUA 30 NNW SPS 15 ESE CDS 20 SSE LBB 30 NNE HOB 40 WNW HOB 20 ENE ROW 55 NNE ROW 30 SSW TCC 25 ESE TCC 10 S DHT 25 NE DHT 20 WSW EHA 20 ESE SPD 35 S PUB 35 SW COS 45 SW DEN 35 W DEN 35 SSE LAR 35 WSW TOR 50 N DGW 25 ESE GCC 45 NE GCC 50 SW 2WX 40 S 2WX 25 SSE PHP 45 SE PHP 40 WSW 9V9 0 - 9V9 25 SSW HON 20 ENE HON 25 WSW ATY 45 N VVV 55 SSE FAR 15 S DTL 20 NNW BJI 30 E RRT 55 NW INL GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE GLS 20 WSW LBX 50 W HOU 30 NE CLL 30 S CRS 10 N FTW 50 NNE MWL 15 WSW SPS 50 SE CDS 70 SSW CDS 50 N BGS 25 WNW MAF 30 SE INK 30 SSE FST 10 SW 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 70 SW ELP 15 ESE SVC 20 NW TCS 15 W ABQ 30 NNE SAF 25 S ALS 50 NNW ALS 25 SE ASE 60 NNE EGE 30 SE CPR 35 ESE SHR 15 SE MLS 15 E GDV 40 N SDY 105 N OLF ...CONT... 90 N ROC 10 NNW ART 15 NE LEB 95 SE PWM ...CONT... 65 N ELO 25 ENE PLN 60 ENE OSC 125 ENE BAX ...CONT... 65 NNE HSE 15 N EWN 15 NW FAY 50 WNW FLO 25 W OGB 45 NNW SAV 20 SW SAV 20 E SSI 60 NE SGJ ...CONT... 60 NNE EPM 50 SW CAR 125 WNW CAR