Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and southern United States on Saturday. An enhanced risk of these severe weather phenomena is forecast for parts of the Plains and Midwest, with slight to marginal risks extending across the Mississippi Valley and into the Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 201248 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0746 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 2026 VALID TIME 201300Z - 211200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42870576 43740615 44500628 44770576 44680494 43640396 42390229 41550056 41329784 40769563 40039398 39019350 38209385 37779523 37269703 36950006 36030165 35970212 36300285 37110344 37800358 38590362 40040463 41210535 42870576 0.05 41580429 41680384 41420236 40780061 40509854 40349704 40119580 39749485 38899474 38569527 38139718 38089971 38410161 39010277 39960368 40860424 41270454 41580429 CIG1 38430165 39010275 39980370 41260453 41570427 41670384 41420240 40750049 40269685 39409645 38539692 38169809 38119977 38430165 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36790385 37910394 38850428 41060543 42950636 44930683 45350627 45220524 44590383 43880236 42689840 41809621 40939527 40209466 39639439 38799448 37939568 37329724 36719907 35590078 35100164 35040255 35200304 36790385 0.15 37330020 36560090 36530189 36630275 37050319 37760321 38720338 39950413 41450500 42560512 43000435 43030282 42309975 41719768 41359715 40529655 39899659 39019725 38559804 37849945 37330020 0.30 41650388 41740305 41460219 40980112 40060067 38860040 38180052 38030061 37890076 37810153 37920209 38940255 40180290 40890400 41220406 41650388 CIG1 42490520 42660468 42610391 42320291 42020173 41420039 40909890 40239771 39499762 39009791 38619895 37859988 37380038 36650102 36530194 36860278 37940295 38820329 39840408 41440503 42490520 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36460391 37830393 38940434 41050544 41280676 40970887 40041066 39361327 39721403 42341401 44221228 44881084 45460637 45190521 43890236 41859601 40909353 39749239 38749243 38029339 37119508 36499708 35699966 35130150 34960299 35180362 36460391 0.05 31629351 31939318 32549074 32608971 32348863 31618756 30868738 30528765 30118833 29608969 29699139 30199270 30709344 31629351 0.15 39900397 41560456 42520429 42600299 42290156 41969903 41709766 41269626 40409406 39489400 38779479 37829632 37079843 36600021 36520175 36640274 37060319 37690320 38730339 39900397 0.30 38459731 38099808 37820149 38210176 38700200 39340207 40490206 40810198 40930143 40970112 40369677 39689604 39069638 38459731 CIG1 37209766 36249978 35700165 35970308 36590334 39390393 41690493 42170486 42560414 42640327 41760205 41219991 40669696 39949584 39509549 37969625 37209766 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 41650388 41740305 41460219 40970111 40369677 39689604 39069638 38459731 38099808 37810153 37920209 38940255 40180290 40890400 41220406 41650388 SLGT 43000435 43030282 42309975 41269626 40409406 39489400 38779479 37829632 37079843 36600021 36520175 36630275 37050319 37740321 38730339 41450500 42560512 43000435 MRGL 31939318 32549074 32608971 32348863 31618756 30868738 30528765 30118833 29608969 29699139 30199270 30709344 31629351 31939318 MRGL 42341401 44221228 44881084 45460637 45220524 43890236 42689840 40909353 39749239 38749243 38029339 37119508 35130150 34960299 35180362 36460391 37840393 38940434 41050544 41280676 40970887 40041066 39361327 39721403 42341401 TSTM 30850598 33620598 36810582 38870592 39820658 40090773 39850934 39131126 38461306 38361436 38561579 38871779 38871822 39162160 39422283 39962344 40552365 41042364 42112323 43662129 44731905 46291666 47331508 47741470 48421495 49321589 99999999 45897083 44697082 43737067 42687020 42046987 41706998 41477027 41487076 41627152 42267300 42597420 42657478 42307549 40717623 40337655 39917715 39657798 39577845 39647935 39748013 40008089 40618192 43608656 44498916 45159018 46199110 48729181 99999999 49340267 47490025 44869675 43609479 42619227 41769091 40778985 39618943 38928948 37988968 37308970 36758940 36148827 35368635 34198327 33048004 32687889 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW BFF 25 SSW AIA 50 SE AIA 25 WSW LBF 0 - BIE 35 SW FNB 15 ESE MHK 30 SE SLN 10 W HUT 45 W GCK 35 ESE LAA 25 SW ITR 15 E AKO 45 ESE CYS 40 E CYS 20 SW BFF THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N TOR 20 NE CDR 25 SSE ANW 20 W OMA 15 SSW LWD 30 SW CDJ 0 - OJC 35 SSW EMP 15 SSE P28 30 NW GAG 20 SW GUY 25 ENE CAO 40 N CAO 25 SE LHX 40 SSE LIC 25 NNW CYS 20 SE DGW 65 N TOR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW IER 40 WNW JAN 30 NE JAN 0 - MEI 35 WNW GZH 30 NNW PNS 30 W PNS 40 S MOB 25 NW BVE 45 W HUM 30 E LCH 30 SSW POE 25 WSW IER 15 NNW IER THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW BYI 25 S MQM 20 NE WEY 55 NNE SHR 15 SSE 4BQ 35 ESE RAP 20 NE ONL 30 NE LWD 25 SSE IRK 15 WSW COU 50 S SZL 30 W JLN 15 ESE AMA 40 ESE TCC 0 - TCC 35 ESE RTN 25 WSW LHX 20 ENE COS 20 SSE LAR 45 SSE RWL 45 SSE RKS 30 N PUC 40 W U24 50 NE ELY 20 SW BYI GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE ELP 30 WNW SRR 45 S ALS 55 ESE ASE 20 ENE EGE 30 SSW CAG 40 SSE VEL 45 SW PUC 0 - MLF 50 N P38 65 S P68 50 SW U31 50 SSE NFL 45 N SAC 30 NE UKI 60 NNW UKI 30 SE EKA 25 E ACV 25 SW MFR 40 S RDM 70 S PDT 20 ESE LWS 25 SE 3TH 35 ENE 3TH 35 WNW GPI 120 N 3TH ...CONT... 85 N BML 20 E BML 20 WNW PWM 40 SE PSM 35 NE HYA 15 E HYA 15 S HYA 20 SE EWB 10 SSW PVD 15 WNW BAF 25 WSW ALB 45 SE UCA 25 ENE BGM 45 NE CXY 15 ENE CXY 25 SW CXY 15 N MRB 30 WNW MRB 30 E MGW 15 WNW MGW 20 SW HLG 35 SW CAK 35 NNW MKG 30 SE CWA 30 WNW AUW 25 SSW ASX 55 N ELO ...CONT... 90 NNE ISN 55 NNE BIS 20 ESE ATY 20 W FRM 10 ENE ALO 30 NW MLI 10 NW PIA 20 SE SPI 35 NE BLV 25 WNW MDH 10 NW CGI 35 SSE CGI 50 NE MKL 55 NNE HSV 15 NNE AHN 10 N CHS 70 S CRE