Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Slight risks of severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and wind, are expected across parts of the central and southern United States through June 18. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms are also forecast for areas spanning from the Gulf Coast up toward the mid-Mississippi Valley.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 180551 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1249 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2026 VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30929113 32099023 33738501 33798396 33768260 33158122 32548080 32008118 31548255 30828356 30018547 29588870 29438939 29359009 29499097 30249115 30929113 0.02 45837129 44327028 42927057 41897130 41647329 42217449 45567460 0.05 29698871 29868998 30379028 30918968 31158855 31778740 32168710 32558666 32518606 32188553 31618538 30818591 30388653 30238727 29978842 29698871 0.05 45647152 44577136 43427153 42847173 42447225 42387341 42677393 45477387 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 34489730 33619826 32909904 32219964 32130041 32390075 33830078 34760079 35520089 36649939 37549721 37709473 37399320 36679340 35869455 35219639 34489730 0.05 36557360 36518406 36168584 36398676 36908700 37278684 37878519 38968144 39497913 39757548 39707321 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28839150 33289082 34339103 34919219 34669471 33489677 32169797 31429883 31289990 31460057 31790075 32450090 33810071 35200025 36459931 37549728 37709477 37539269 37358903 37868758 38158621 39668199 40368051 41937902 42717831 44207743 99999999 46807057 45266998 43026903 99999999 30547978 28688350 0.15 36637446 36688009 36468419 36138579 36368674 36818706 37278683 37568623 38228407 39527927 39717752 39967636 40617541 40897517 41587492 42537518 43547558 44367559 45417495 99999999 45757128 44497039 42966980 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30918968 31158855 31778740 32168710 32558666 32518606 32188553 31618538 30818591 30388653 29978842 29698871 29868998 30379028 30918968 SLGT 45757128 44497039 42966980 99999999 36647522 36688009 36468419 36138579 36368674 36818706 37278683 37568623 39527927 39717752 39967636 40617541 40897517 41587492 42537518 43547558 44367559 45417495 MRGL 46797057 43216911 99999999 30108066 28688350 99999999 28839150 33289082 34339103 34919219 34669471 33489677 32169797 31429883 31289990 31460057 31790075 32450090 33380077 34760079 35520089 36649939 37549728 37709473 37358903 37868758 38158621 39668199 40368051 42717831 44097750 TSTM 30871077 32641001 33441053 34401170 34831242 35151267 35531196 35261097 34871007 34600928 34910702 35770600 36120517 36450190 38439837 38949605 38589353 38619241 38658946 38778738 39758380 40268186 40858118 41678049 42238026 42718007 43168006 99999999 50310013 47899768 46329617 45069443 44799299 44989154 45849103 46399034 46208836 45918712 45088702 44278772 43098948 41789136 42209425 43399728 43649952 43890219 44220447 45700887 47401276 49641533 99999999 37861998 38522049 40602138 41792187 42232156 42002064 40722001 39041832 38721795 37841771 37501783 37071808 36981856 37201919 37811993 37861998 99999999 28699406 29649547 31549597 31109684 29999841 27540041 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE ASD 35 NNW MOB 30 NW GZH 15 SSW SEM 25 NW MGM 25 NE MGM 30 S AUO 20 NNE DHN 35 E CEW 30 S CEW 50 SSW MOB 50 ENE BVE 20 ESE MSY 25 N MSY 40 NNE ASD THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 N BML 30 WNW AUG 55 SSE PWM ...CONT... 55 ESE ORF 40 NNW GSO 45 S LOZ 40 WNW CSV 15 NNW BNA 25 NE CKV 30 NW BWG 40 NNE BWG 35 ESE MGW 10 E HGR 30 SE CXY 0 - ABE 20 NE ABE 10 SW MSV 45 SSE UCA 30 NNW UCA 35 NE ART 35 N MSS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 150 N BML 65 ESE PWM ...CONT... 40 ENE SGJ 70 SSW CTY ...CONT... 70 SW HUM 15 SE GLH 60 N GLH 15 N LIT 25 SSW RKR 20 SSW GYI 15 ESE SEP 25 SSE BWD 35 E SJT 0 - SJT 35 NNW SJT 40 ENE BGS 65 ESE LBB 35 NW CDS 30 ESE BGD 30 NE GAG 10 SE ICT 40 NNW JLN 25 NW PAH 10 SSW EVV 25 W SDF 20 SSW ZZV 15 NNE HLG 25 SE BUF 70 N ROC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW FHU 25 WSW SAD 65 SSW SOW 50 S FLG 10 N PRC 35 NNW PRC 30 SSE GCN 20 NW INW 40 N SOW 45 ENE SOW 25 WSW ABQ 10 NNE SAF 30 N LVS 25 SW GUY 35 NW HUT 25 WSW TOP 10 S SZL 15 W JEF 20 ENE BLV 45 S HUF 25 ESE DAY 20 N ZZV 15 ESE CAK 30 NNE YNG 10 NNW ERI 45 N ERI 75 N ERI ...CONT... 150 NNE MOT 25 W GFK 40 SSW DTL 40 SSW STC 15 ESE MSP 10 NNW EAU 50 S ASX 15 SW IWD 30 NNW IMT 15 N ESC 45 S ESC 10 NNW MTW 10 WSW MSN 20 ESE CID 25 S FOD 35 N YKN 15 SW 9V9 30 WSW PHP 55 E GCC 20 WSW BIL 55 NNE 3DU 105 NNW GPI ...CONT... 50 NE MER 35 SW TVL 55 NE RBL 25 SSW LMT 10 ENE LMT 15 SW LKV 60 SSE AAT 40 SE NFL 65 SW U31 40 WSW TPH 30 ENE BIH 25 SE BIH 30 SSW BIH 40 NE FAT 50 NE MER 50 NE MER ...CONT... 60 SE GLS 10 W HOU 40 SE CRS 35 E TPL 30 N SAT 60 W LRD