Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected throughout parts of the central and eastern United States on Tuesday. Areas ranging from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast face varying levels of risk, with enhanced severity anticipated in portions of the Midwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 301652 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1150 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2026 VALID TIME 301630Z - 011200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 46787035 45086960 43957072 42747290 41287481 41527600 42107714 42827759 43447795 44167797 0.02 45998310 45818604 45308679 43928781 43598963 44309100 45669100 46688990 47258842 47098797 46728696 46958433 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46757032 44766945 43357207 42217329 41607575 41237652 41707720 42847798 44247804 0.05 45808222 44698521 43608821 43289036 42959395 42269683 41159812 38639969 35500078 35090127 34880170 34860260 35060318 35540347 36610353 37440322 38630281 39090291 39390336 40000413 40200422 40770429 41280397 42220316 42990198 44399871 46129376 46619236 48738796 0.15 46948416 46078598 45688770 45968924 46408981 47028956 47668725 48068507 0.15 37860221 38550188 38770090 38510041 38000043 37330089 37300196 37860221 0.15 40900260 41350259 44299694 44319586 44109532 43739524 43409553 42719643 42309829 40600156 40540221 40900260 CIG1 37630319 38560270 39410222 40360104 40550052 40340007 39259973 38520003 37580041 36740110 36680235 36930292 37630319 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29258818 29759039 30079077 30399082 31179049 32128925 33378706 34128513 34228453 33758412 32518414 32058399 31458351 31098302 29848208 28938143 27178071 26228046 26018099 26828217 27008301 0.05 46767034 44776947 42807110 42247155 41837183 41467274 41337396 40957536 40677613 40977750 41427784 43007946 0.05 44378183 44118536 43818637 43578739 43298871 43009082 42409286 41289573 39389799 37009936 35170009 33030189 32840270 32930339 33530387 35120391 36570358 37610321 39150279 40220345 40640354 41400357 42170315 43590104 44669831 45299674 45669322 46069190 47239029 48618798 0.15 45218197 45118325 45098461 44528605 44288674 44018840 44038981 43859115 43989187 44269215 44869223 46429065 47278943 47918814 48238661 0.15 45447244 44317217 43377240 43217247 42697310 42057344 41807378 41627479 41447546 41687633 42077695 44267779 0.15 37840281 39930167 40610193 40950232 41150262 41410256 43109971 44379696 44359576 44079518 43709517 43349543 42639658 42069783 41529835 41249845 40759841 40119824 37559981 35280066 34060137 34070271 35990328 37060305 37840281 0.30 37400204 38200201 39530114 40010023 40009935 39629912 37480064 37220111 37180157 37400204 CIG1 33880119 33040192 32850270 32950337 33530388 35110391 36690352 38160302 39020262 39880198 40580121 41080002 41309900 41039847 40589830 39419798 36989936 35160009 33880119 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 38200201 39530114 40010023 40009935 39629912 37480064 37220111 37180157 37400204 38200201 SLGT 37840281 39930167 40570191 40540221 40900260 41410256 43109971 44379696 44359576 44079518 43709517 43349543 42639658 42069783 41529835 41249845 40759841 40119824 37559981 35280066 34060137 34070271 35990328 37840281 SLGT 45447244 44317217 43377240 43217247 42697310 42057344 41807378 41447546 41687633 42077695 44097773 SLGT 45218197 45098461 44288674 44018840 44038981 43859115 43989187 44269215 44869223 46429065 47278943 47918814 48218673 MRGL 29278828 29759039 30079077 30399082 31179049 32128925 33378706 34128513 34228453 33758412 32518414 32058399 31458351 31098302 28938143 27178071 26228046 26018099 26828217 27008301 MRGL 44378183 44118536 43818637 43298871 43009082 42409286 41289573 39389799 37009936 35170009 33030189 32840270 32930339 33530387 35120391 36570358 38880286 39090291 40000413 40770429 41280397 42220316 43590104 45299674 45389587 46619236 48718800 MRGL 46757032 44766945 41837183 41467274 41337396 40677613 40977750 41427784 43007946 TSTM 39967236 40107388 39637646 38057860 36877927 35478031 35008052 34148048 33178022 32848004 32657974 32657920 32647887 99999999 30820897 33500850 35510832 36180817 37220771 38190689 39140628 40140615 41320649 41760694 41820743 41470821 40780904 40050987 39711092 40111202 40541225 41051212 41631205 42201221 42661308 42581388 42451482 42711603 42961653 43861772 44301808 44791790 46261681 47091561 47611454 48031407 48531426 48851519 48581623 48131730 48031836 48311926 48691980 49662028 99999999 26719680 27299740 28059781 29219813 30469794 31299700 31239582 31069465 30859392 30699332 30739273 30899238 31249207 31799163 32639077 33368992 34158864 35728611 37148397 38258264 39628161 40188129 40598110 41758065 42318072 42888136 43288201 43408246 43348315 43168404 42588649 41639007 40399246 39309438 37439724 34999881 32750045 31510114 30680120 28880108 99999999 49489941 48850137 48470303 48180446 47790561 47010656 46240690 45840667 45750617 45720526 45730452 45870238 46029998 46019833 46349595 46699401 47109251 47589128 48149019 48938905 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE LAA 30 ENE GLD 25 SE MCK 50 NNE HLC 40 ENE HLC 30 S GCK 15 NNW LBL 20 NE EHA 30 NNW EHA 35 ENE LAA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW LAA 40 N GLD 15 WNW IML 30 W IML 25 SE SNY 30 NE SNY 40 NNE ANW 10 NW BKX 35 WSW RWF 35 S RWF 20 E OTG 20 NW SPW 20 NNW SUX 20 WNW OFK 40 N GRI 20 NNW GRI 10 N HSI 35 SSE HSI 20 SSE DDC 50 SE BGD 20 ESE PVW 40 ESE CVS 35 SSW CAO 15 SSW LAA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW EFK 20 ENE MPV 20 SSW LEB 25 NNW EEN 20 NNE PSF 25 SSW PSF 15 NNE POU 15 ENE AVP 40 SSW BGM 0 - ELM 65 N ROC THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 E APN 35 SSE PLN 25 W MBL 10 ENE OSH 25 ENE VOK 0 - LSE 30 WNW LSE 30 NE RST 35 W EAU 15 ESE ASX 45 W CMX 55 NNE CMX 120 NNE MQT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E BVE 20 SSW MSY 35 N HUM 20 ESE BTR 0 - MCB 35 WSW MEI 25 SW BHM 15 S RMG 40 N ATL 20 ENE ATL 30 WSW MCN 40 NNE ABY 30 NNE MGR 25 NE VLD 25 NNW ORL 40 SSW VRB 30 NNW MIA 45 WNW MIA 25 NW FMY 40 SW SRQ THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NE BAX 45 SSE TVC 30 S MBL 35 ENE MSN 40 N DBQ 25 WSW ALO 10 E OMA 20 WSW CNK 40 WNW AVK 50 NNE CDS 45 S LBB 30 ENE HOB 20 NNW HOB 40 ENE ROW 20 WSW TCC 25 WNW CAO 40 SW ITR 35 WSW ITR 45 ENE DEN 40 SE CYS 45 SSW BFF 20 WNW AIA 40 SE PHP 15 W VVV 25 E VVV 15 SSW DLH 110 NNE CMX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 150 NNE BML 35 NNE AUG 20 WNW PVD 35 S BDL 20 SSW POU 35 W ABE 20 ENE UNV 40 N UNV 35 W BUF GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE ISP 25 E NEL 35 NNE BWI 10 SW CHO 20 N DAN 40 ENE CLT 30 ESE CLT 40 ENE CAE 20 NNW CHS 0 - CHS 25 SE CHS 50 ESE CHS 70 S CRE ...CONT... 60 SE DUG 65 NNW SVC 25 E GUP 40 S FMN 0 - DRO 25 S GUC 30 E ASE 55 NE EGE 45 W LAR 15 ESE RWL 10 W RWL 45 E RKS 35 NE VEL 30 SW VEL 10 NW PUC 45 S SLC 20 SW SLC 10 SSW OGD 30 N OGD 0 - MLD 30 SW PIH 0 - BYI 15 W TWF 55 N OWY 45 SSW BOI 65 S BKE 40 SSW BKE 0 - BKE 15 SE LWS 35 SSW 3TH 50 SSW GPI 20 SSE GPI 15 N GPI 55 NW GPI 80 NNW 3TH 35 NNE GEG 50 NW GEG 15 SE OMK 20 NW OMK 90 NNW OMK ...CONT... 65 NE BRO 35 S CRP 25 SSW NIR 30 SE SAT 20 NW AUS 25 SSE ACT 40 NNW UTS 15 SSE LFK 45 WSW POE 25 SSW POE 35 SE POE 35 S ESF 15 SE ESF 25 WNW HEZ 45 WNW JAN 15 SE GWO 10 SE TUP 45 SE BNA 0 - LOZ 10 SSW HTS 20 NNW PKB 35 W HLG 30 SE CAK 35 N YNG 30 WNW ERI 80 NW ERI 65 NE MTC 35 SE BAX 30 SSW BAX 20 NW FNT 30 N BEH 25 ENE MLI 20 NNE IRK 20 NE MKC 20 SE ICT 30 SE CSM 50 WNW ABI 40 WNW SJT 65 SW SJT 35 SSW DRT ...CONT... 95 NNW DVL 40 N MOT 35 NE ISN 35 NNW SDY 20 S OLF 50 NW MLS 50 WSW MLS 55 SW MLS 50 SSW MLS 20 NNE 4BQ 45 SSW BHK 10 WSW Y22 40 NNE MBG 40 N ABR 35 S DTL 20 NNE BRD 25 SE HIB 25 NNE BFW 30 NNE GNA 100 NE GNA