Mesoscale Discussion 1758

Issued:  ·  Valid:

Risk area map for Mesoscale Discussion 1758

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and damaging winds may impact the western Upper Peninsula of Michigan and northern Wisconsin through mid-morning.

Product Text

000 ACUS11 KWNS 271231 SWOMCD SPC MCD 271230 MIZ000-WIZ000-271430- Mesoscale Discussion 1758 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 AM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026 Areas affected...Western Upper Peninsula of Michigan...Northern Wisconsin Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 518... Valid 271230Z - 271430Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 518 continues. SUMMARY...Some intensification of activity over Lake Superior/western Upper Peninsula of Michigan is possible as it moves southeast. Large hail and damaging winds remain possible into mid/late morning. DISCUSSION...Activity over Lake Superior has tended to take a more southward motion over the last hour. A very unstable, but currently capped, airmass is situated in northwest Wisconsin. Continued surface heating may allow low-level cloud cover to abate by late morning/early afternoon. Some intensification of ongoing storms is possible as this process occurs. Large hail and damaging winds would be the main hazards. Depending on the timing/track of these storms, some extension in time/area of WW 518 may be needed later this morning. ..Wendt.. 07/27/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...DLH... LAT...LON 47009109 47419087 47508983 46518820 45828766 45468793 45408918 47009109 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN