Day 2 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-16 06:00 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and southern United States on Tuesday, June 17. Risks range from marginal to moderate in various regions, with the most intense severe weather potential centered in parts of the Mississippi Valley and Deep South.

Product Text

000 WUUS02 KWNS 160600 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1259 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026 VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37539729 37909705 38699587 39279489 40289375 41259293 41819266 42479293 43109358 43989409 44509403 45039382 45239335 45279293 45079221 44699108 43798976 43328899 42848689 42548526 42058383 41488261 40428176 39478217 38888353 37798971 37099561 37219703 37539729 0.05 42289035 42128753 41918571 41758370 41578325 41408313 41118315 40458316 40068346 39718395 39448472 38968644 38338995 38029230 37859397 37999430 38389451 38729442 39239387 40209267 40829208 41809148 42159107 42289035 0.10 39619148 39859150 40429107 40859075 41009064 41299038 41539003 41678925 41738808 41608638 41598609 41478555 41248521 41008511 40668519 40428545 40158594 39798705 39438915 39369044 39389101 39499130 39619148 0.15 40598600 40378635 40058763 39728905 39658975 39689008 39859027 40029043 40119051 40279052 40519037 40809013 41028981 41188950 41288914 41338864 41378785 41378656 41328621 41108599 40848592 40598600 CIG1 42279038 42128747 41888553 41738370 41608327 41458315 41018317 40338364 39638460 39258543 38958655 38348976 38029216 37839391 38079436 38379451 38649441 38869427 40149274 40779209 41789146 42139108 42279038 CIG2 40549063 40839046 41069021 41238996 41498895 41568818 41448599 41238555 40948554 40598568 40218656 40028702 39788840 39578949 39559017 39799052 39979067 40179073 40549063 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40108138 39418219 38828361 37918875 36899420 36189828 36149895 36289926 36469944 36929933 37739817 38539707 40629448 41839416 43389515 44389508 44939429 45209307 45139203 43458634 42538263 42208209 41988174 41698161 40108138 0.15 37869680 40009387 41249274 42229272 42969335 43369382 43719403 44109388 44139327 43989207 43198936 43048833 42598541 42238412 41868339 41508306 41128313 40548330 40128365 39728425 38888764 37939217 37389421 37079614 37249672 37869680 0.30 40599212 41139163 41459117 41839014 41868913 41608880 40558901 39829037 39809146 40129195 40599212 CIG1 37829796 40459395 42199331 43459405 44099396 44369270 42398746 41578465 41188421 40298440 39888547 37229556 36879710 37099780 37829796 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36959933 38539714 40689450 41859420 43199503 44039552 45299498 45509354 44989131 43438635 42638283 41798033 41037991 40187978 39468011 38918055 38298186 37808317 37148712 36998955 36479389 36179813 36139885 36209916 36319933 36509945 36959933 0.05 28089587 29219554 29829524 30309415 30699135 30758947 30688818 30378769 29678720 0.15 38309632 39299488 40049383 41259276 41869272 42259274 42619303 43089295 43379231 42998825 42148279 41618193 40868160 40108141 39408227 38868358 37938861 37659026 36909425 36959581 37269675 37829689 38309632 0.30 40848422 39678470 39358545 38618929 38149132 37789315 37759404 38059439 38419435 38939411 41149167 41559074 41878928 41878758 41748532 41638471 41308428 40848422 CIG1 37829687 39569389 40509287 41589140 41949026 42118878 42078517 41928289 41448245 40558272 39888348 39398537 38468984 37509377 37279515 37179625 37219667 37829687 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 40809013 41188950 41288914 41378656 41328621 41108599 40848592 40598600 40378635 39728905 39689008 40119051 40279052 40809013 ENH 38419435 38939411 41149167 41459117 41839014 41878758 41748532 41638471 41308428 40848422 39678470 39408533 37789315 37759404 38059439 38419435 SLGT 38309632 40039384 41259276 42249274 42969335 43369382 43719403 44109388 44139327 43989207 43198936 42148279 41618193 40868160 40108141 39408227 38868358 36909425 36959581 37249672 37829689 38309632 MRGL 28089587 29219554 29829524 30309415 30699135 30758947 30688818 30378769 29678720 MRGL 36959933 38539714 40689450 41859420 44039552 45299498 45509354 44989131 43458634 42638283 41798033 41037991 40187978 39468011 38918055 38298186 37808317 37148712 36998955 36479389 36139885 36209916 36509945 36959933 TSTM 47046697 44807097 42897311 40677418 39757556 39137924 37408260 36718332 35188322 33978199 33887951 34697748 35667575 36027485 99999999 25529879 28579814 32429358 34278955 35338849 35928921 36149096 35839438 35859897 36199960 37029969 37639880 39439637 41159508 42859552 43899741 44840219 47631017 48591327 49651454 99999999 49569591 48419485 47129177 46448857 45698548 45698369 46138229 && THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW PIA 35 NNE PIA 25 WSW MMO 25 SSW SBN 25 SSE SBN 45 SSE SBN 40 WSW FWA 40 NW MIE 30 E LAF 10 SW DEC 25 WSW SPI 40 ENE UIN 40 ENE UIN 25 WNW PIA THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE OJC 30 ESE MKC 40 NW BRL 35 W MLI 30 NE MLI 40 NW VPZ 35 SSE AZO 45 SSW JXN 30 SW TOL 30 WSW FDY 30 WSW DAY 60 S MIE 40 NNE SGF 50 NNE JLN 60 SSE OJC 35 SE OJC THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW EMP 20 NW CDJ 20 WNW OTM 30 SW ALO 15 S MCW 30 WNW MCW 20 ENE FRM 10 SSE MKT 35 E MKT 20 E RST 0 - MSN 30 S MTC 15 NNW CLE 10 WSW CAK 30 ENE ZZV 15 N UNI 50 ESE LUK 20 W UMN 15 NE BVO 40 NNE PNC 30 ENE ICT 10 WSW EMP THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE PSX 10 NW LBX 10 NNE HOU 25 NNW BPT 15 NW BTR 35 NE ASD 0 - MOB 30 WSW PNS 55 S PNS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW AVK 35 ESE SLN 30 W LWD 35 NW DSM 25 N OTG 45 SSE AXN 25 E STC 10 NE EAU 20 NNW MKG 0 - MTC 20 SSW ERI 25 S FKL 20 WSW LBE 15 SW MGW 40 W EKN 15 WSW CRW 20 NNE JKL 40 S OWB 15 S CGI 30 S UMN 45 SSW AVK 35 E GAG 25 NE GAG 40 WNW AVK GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE CAR 15 NE BML 35 NNE PSF 0 - EWR 0 - ILG 35 ENE EKN 45 ESE JKL 55 S JKL 40 WSW AVL 40 N AGS 25 SSE FLO 15 SE OAJ 30 NNW HSE 70 NE HSE ...CONT... 55 SW MFE 30 WNW NIR 15 E SHV 10 S UOX 30 SE MKL 10 ESE DYR 0 - ARG 15 SW FYV 40 NNE CSM 10 SE GAG 50 N GAG 25 NNW P28 25 NE MHK 35 NNE SDA 25 NW SLB 30 ENE MHE 60 NNW PHP 50 NW LWT 40 W CTB 95 N GPI ...CONT... 50 N ROX 45 SSE RRT 20 WSW BFW 50 S CMX 35 WNW PLN 45 N APN 95 NE APN