Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States today. These risks range from marginal to slight severity across various regions throughout the day.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 170100 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0759 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026 VALID TIME 170100Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 49299831 49209798 49019753 48809694 48599632 48359580 48079521 47729514 47569532 47559565 47759932 48010033 48500027 48960019 49460003 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49521223 47780875 46490842 45120819 44700829 44411016 44721248 44801417 45041720 45701810 46971831 48161846 49481745 0.05 48729164 47819305 47389495 47359506 46489678 46239778 46159881 46219956 46400019 46820069 48160041 48940041 49510027 0.15 45381090 45401245 46321422 47351441 47791334 47431152 46470881 46180858 45620856 45470875 45381090 0.15 49529760 48869641 48119617 47719629 47279696 47339933 47769995 48720018 49369994 CIG1 49269785 49039728 48579693 48089692 47879691 47769721 47779808 47859923 48239961 48629990 49059976 49269970 && ... WIND ... 0.05 50091310 47830879 47560870 46870851 45130818 44690829 44411014 44721261 44201378 43711434 43091383 42581296 42191277 41771362 41781550 42281631 43161707 44511777 45611796 46961831 48151847 49481745 0.05 48729164 47819304 47349503 46489679 46249776 46159879 46219948 46410024 46820069 48150042 49530024 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 47791334 47431152 46470881 46180858 45620856 45470875 45401245 46321422 47351441 47791334 SLGT 49499754 48869641 48119617 47719629 47279696 47339933 47769995 48720018 49369994 MRGL 49521201 47830879 46490842 45130818 44690829 44411016 44721261 44201378 43711434 43091383 42581296 42191277 41771362 41781550 42281631 43161707 44511777 45601796 45701810 48151847 49481745 MRGL 48729164 47819304 47349503 46489678 46239778 46159879 46219956 46410024 46820069 48150042 48940041 49490028 TSTM 32101728 33931748 35081715 35521677 36051646 36671616 37481602 39001655 42111805 44441871 45101922 45261997 45202134 45472245 46112319 47292397 47622610 99999999 49481051 49181024 48951002 48730975 48190895 47310641 47040545 47060433 47350290 47940195 49630141 99999999 43886690 44126763 44736847 45976929 46166900 46186835 46346686 99999999 48778898 47828723 45638637 44018667 42498627 41418505 40608260 40287962 40367462 40097292 39457167 99999999 45129617 45379742 45349913 45350008 45160125 43880270 43560294 43320336 43100454 43100539 42780617 42420670 42110698 41940694 41780655 41360544 40400461 39150413 38110393 37070356 36070377 35190407 34590437 34300428 34080376 34230200 35690066 36499935 36819884 37279840 38009853 39139854 39999831 40849784 41429688 41769583 42169531 43039499 44179493 44729536 45129617 99999999 34909224 34209278 33269221 32389061 31948908 31468803 31238716 31968644 32688654 33418723 34588990 34909224 99999999 37367453 37577772 38158033 38228124 38188203 38088255 37788279 37118261 35948199 35088119 32987823 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE GPI 10 WSW GTF 50 NNW BIL 25 N BIL 15 S BIL 25 SSW BIL 10 NNE DLN 40 S MSO 35 NNW MSO 55 SE GPI THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNW HCO 25 ENE HCO 0 - TVF 25 SSW TVF 25 NNW FAR 40 NW JMS 55 WSW DVL 60 ENE MOT 95 NNW DVL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE CTB 65 NNE LWT 50 N BIL 50 SSE BIL 40 ENE COD 65 NNE JAC 20 NW MQM 55 NNE SUN 15 N SUN 35 N BYI 30 SW PIH 25 W MLD 55 S BYI 35 ESE OWY 25 NNW OWY 50 WSW BOI 20 S BKE 40 SSE ALW 30 SSE ALW 55 NW GEG 130 N GEG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N ELO 30 NNW HIB 15 SSW BJI 30 S FAR 60 NNE ABR 55 S JMS 65 NE MBG 35 SE BIS 0 - BIS 40 ESE MOT 60 NE MOT 95 NNE MOT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S SAN 0 - RAL 25 NW DAG 45 N DAG 50 SSW DRA 10 W DRA 55 N DRA 45 SW P68 35 SSW REO 60 NNE BNO 45 SSW PDT 65 WSW PDT 30 SSW DLS 10 SE PDX 35 E AST 20 N HQM 75 WSW UIL ...CONT... 70 NNW HVR 50 NNW HVR 30 NNW HVR 10 N HVR 45 ESE HVR 65 S GGW 30 WSW GDV 25 ESE GDV 40 N DIK 30 NW N60 95 N MOT ...CONT... 70 S EPM 45 ESE BHB 20 NNW BHB 85 NNW BGR 55 W HUL 25 W HUL 45 ENE HUL ...CONT... 115 NNW CMX 90 N MQT 35 E ESC 25 SW MBL 25 NNE BEH 30 NNE FWA 15 SSW MFD 10 W LBE 10 ENE TTN 50 S ISP 120 S BID ...CONT... 20 SE VVV 35 NNW ATY 35 WSW ABR 20 SE MBG 45 WSW MBG 20 SE RAP 35 S RAP 35 NNW CDR 50 ENE DGW 25 N DGW 15 ESE CPR 35 SSW CPR 25 NNE RWL 15 NE RWL 35 E RWL 10 ENE LAR 20 E FCL 25 WSW LIC 25 WNW LHX 50 NNW CAO 45 SW CAO 25 W TCC 60 SW TCC 55 W CVS 35 SW CVS 15 WNW PVW 40 E BGD 25 ENE GAG 10 WNW AVK 10 E P28 35 W HUT 25 NE RSL 45 S HSI 25 ESE GRI 25 E OLU 20 E TQE 15 NNE DNS 15 SE SPW 25 SSE RWF 20 NW RWF 20 SE VVV ...CONT... 10 N LIT 25 SE HOT 35 SW LLQ 30 W JAN 35 SW MEI 55 NNE MOB 15 SSW GZH 25 S MGM 30 NNW MGM 25 ENE TCL 25 WNW UOX 10 N LIT ...CONT... 65 SE WAL 25 WNW RIC 25 N SSU 20 ESE CRW 25 WSW CRW 20 S HTS 40 SSW HTS 45 NNW TRI 35 WNW HKY 15 SW CLT 65 SE CRE