Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southeastern United States on Saturday. An enhanced risk of severe weather is present for portions of the Plains, while slight and marginal risks extend through much of the Mississippi Valley and Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 131632 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026 VALID TIME 131630Z - 141200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36389017 36049139 35549348 35729589 36439721 36769780 37509848 38349869 40299692 41189514 41389398 41109290 40369222 39409195 38649164 38299114 37989021 37898930 37658869 37198835 36698866 36458926 36389017 0.05 39189682 40179603 40139477 39539371 38519274 37419187 36789200 36449231 36279312 36179405 36169433 36699544 37369659 37909685 39189682 CIG1 36959558 37589649 38159682 38919649 39269506 39149361 38589282 37329283 36639336 36569456 36959558 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 44188176 42908458 40718625 39998614 39008546 37888623 36988814 36038974 35599134 35029644 35039845 33650227 33700358 34510401 35070389 35530383 37340175 38060096 39249926 40449845 41129860 41929895 42409873 42989744 43039565 42869413 42839238 43239115 44488689 45668500 46368274 0.15 38559285 38169292 37789274 37489248 37199181 36649125 36279119 36189137 35989167 35889216 35829305 35929397 36099495 36429600 37099777 37859875 38499871 38969847 39309791 40249725 40759731 41359754 41729742 42139683 42589560 41759242 41169145 40249157 38559285 0.30 39379487 38799547 38529592 38139646 37719718 37629749 37989817 38359811 39529729 40119618 40609492 40539443 40299403 39929421 39379487 CIG1 41219667 41969631 42329243 43149117 43828799 42268784 40839075 39639200 38559245 38039228 37369144 36739092 36189079 35769136 35619236 35729445 36059546 36489779 37459927 38579919 40179801 41219667 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44238174 44028217 42858463 41238574 40308536 38978544 37738602 37238570 36578549 35838564 34868683 34628798 34648967 34689245 34669552 34299913 33370236 33720362 34530401 35510381 36770242 38190080 39269925 41709725 42129320 43239113 44558676 46408379 0.05 33007953 32448039 31318148 32128198 33198155 35557864 35677768 35587704 35387659 35027652 34787688 33967832 33687893 33007953 0.15 39999732 40979594 41399444 41859189 42369017 42068923 40648946 39478812 37158696 35938716 35348784 35148944 35029071 35019279 35009673 35209841 34619982 33950187 34620307 35460294 36680098 37789964 38639893 39999732 0.30 37809781 38599720 39519689 40239610 40579479 40219359 39309211 38279165 37699149 36519206 36259337 36029555 36159633 36869728 37809781 0.45 37119665 37779697 38939615 39299456 39039335 38409298 37199262 36729322 36699407 36719601 37119665 CIG1 40169627 40549484 40159343 39309213 38279161 37989154 36769099 36149131 35659174 35429282 35519480 35599692 35459831 34940050 35110139 35700155 36410072 37469908 38159815 38839751 39529693 40169627 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 38359811 39529729 40199614 40609492 40539443 40349411 40189354 39309213 38279165 37699149 36519206 36259337 36029555 36159633 36869728 37789780 37989817 38359811 SLGT 35460294 36680098 37789964 38639893 39779758 40249725 40759731 41359754 41729742 42139683 42589560 41759243 42369017 42068923 40648946 39478812 37158696 35938716 35348784 35029071 35009673 35209841 34619982 33950187 34620307 35460294 MRGL 33198155 35557864 35677768 35587704 35387659 35027652 33967832 33687893 33007953 32448039 31318148 32128198 33198155 MRGL 44188176 42868461 41238574 40308536 38978544 37738602 37238570 36578549 35838564 34868683 34628798 34669552 34299913 33370236 33720362 34510401 35530383 38060096 39269925 40449845 41129860 41929895 42409873 42989744 43039565 42869413 42839238 44548679 46408379 TSTM 31591341 33371409 33781427 35301471 37181533 38001537 38351506 38871425 39241332 39201216 38991088 38661010 38460964 38320908 38430804 38680729 39400645 40220568 40400518 40350475 39880403 39590331 39420188 39500099 39690056 40050018 41739933 42689875 43289813 43739720 44139564 44169436 44119386 44159233 44209170 44628947 45398713 46708527 47448440 99999999 36171849 36511903 38512043 39322097 39622098 39862083 39932055 39782006 39051914 37791812 36941764 36701756 36441762 36241779 36101816 36171849 99999999 28040086 29489960 30249879 30599810 30609770 30349694 29929639 29209551 28669488 99999999 29138850 29028885 28918941 28909033 28989089 29189137 29399168 29709189 30109200 30479199 30759190 30909176 31019150 31239098 31479067 31679055 32219057 32599084 32809116 32929163 32959202 32859248 32799370 32619569 32439801 32319940 32250080 31940143 31630200 31170217 30750216 30310233 29950250 29560285 29190310 28900322 28550329 99999999 46396705 46416833 46336904 45826996 45397065 44657227 44407384 43997629 43237857 42667954 42028022 40958084 39038147 38288166 37738182 37398186 37138173 37018159 36938097 37048009 37537841 37517748 37117632 36437530 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW HUT 20 E CNK 30 WNW FNB 30 ESE SDA 25 WSW LWD 20 SSW LWD 25 N CDJ 35 N COU 10 NE VIH 35 SSE VIH 20 SSW UNO 10 W HRO 20 SE TUL 25 W TUL 15 NW PNC 20 S HUT 15 WSW HUT 25 NW HUT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW DHT 25 S LBL 20 E DDC 15 SSW RSL 15 NNE CNK 25 W BIE 30 WSW LNK 10 SW OLU 20 S OFK 30 SW SUX 20 W SLB 45 N OTM 30 E DBQ 10 SW RFD 10 E PIA 10 E MTO 30 WNW BWG 30 WSW BNA 45 NNW MSL 40 W MEM 50 S CQB 25 WNW CHK 30 ENE CDS 15 SSW PVW 20 NE CVS 45 SSW DHT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE AGS 25 SSE RDU 20 SE RWI 35 N EWN 35 NE EWN 30 E EWN 30 SW ILM 0 - CRE 30 ENE CHS 40 SSW CHS 10 N SSI 25 ESE VDI 25 ESE AGS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ENE BAX 0 - LAN 35 WNW FWA 0 - MIE 55 NNE SDF 35 SSW SDF 45 ENE BWG 50 NNW CSV 30 WSW CSV 15 N HSV 20 WSW MSL 20 SE MLC 25 SSE LTS 35 WSW LBB 50 SSW CVS 40 WNW CVS 25 NNW TCC 15 NW GCK 35 NW RSL 10 S HSI 20 NW GRI 15 NE BUB 0 - ONL 0 - YKN 25 WSW SPW 20 N FOD 20 N ALO 35 NW MBL 30 E ANJ GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW GBN 40 ESE BLH 30 ENE BLH 35 N EED 50 NE DRA 55 WNW P38 60 NNW P38 45 SE ELY 45 WSW U24 25 ESE U24 40 NNW 4HV 25 S U28 20 SSE CNY 50 SE CNY 10 WSW MTJ 20 WNW GUC 25 ENE ASE 40 WSW FCL 10 WSW FCL 15 ESE FCL 45 NNW LIC 30 NE LIC 10 WNW GLD 40 ENE GLD 35 S MCK 25 ESE MCK 10 WSW BUB 15 NNW ONL 35 S MHE 25 WNW FSD 35 N OTG 20 W MKT 10 SSE MKT 20 NNE RST 30 NW LSE 15 SE CWA 25 S ESC 45 WNW ANJ 65 N ANJ ...CONT... 60 NNE BFL 45 ESE FAT 35 SW TVL 60 NNE SAC 65 W RNO 60 WNW RNO 50 NW RNO 25 NW RNO 35 SW NFL 35 NNE BIH 50 SE BIH 70 N NID 55 N NID 40 N NID 40 NW NID 60 NNE BFL ...CONT... 90 S DRT 25 WNW HDO 55 NNW SAT 30 NW AUS 20 N AUS 40 WSW CLL 45 S CLL 0 - LBX 45 S GLS ...CONT... 55 ESE BVE 40 ESE BVE 30 S BVE 50 SSE HUM 45 SSW HUM 50 WSW HUM 40 SE 7R4 15 ESE 7R4 0 - LFT 20 N LFT 40 N LFT 45 NW BTR 40 NNW BTR 35 SE HEZ 25 NNW MCB 35 N MCB 30 WSW JAN 50 WNW JAN 45 SSW GLH 35 NE MLU 30 N MLU 30 SE ELD 25 NNE SHV 25 NW TYR 20 NE SEP 20 ESE ABI 40 E BGS 20 SSE BGS 25 SSE MAF 55 S MAF 50 N 6R6 20 NNW 6R6 20 WSW 6R6 50 SW 6R6 80 SW 6R6 100 SW 6R6 120 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 40 ENE HUL 35 SSW CAR 60 SW CAR 105 N AUG 55 NNE BML 15 S EFK 20 E SLK 15 W ART 20 NNE BUF 40 NNW JHW 0 - ERI 20 SSW YNG 20 S PKB 0 - CRW 45 SSW CRW 35 W BLF 30 WSW BLF 30 SW BLF 20 SW PSK 20 SSW ROA 40 S CHO 10 W RIC 15 NNW ORF 50 ENE ECG