Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southern United States on Saturday. An enhanced risk area is situated in the central plains, while slight and marginal risks extend through portions of the Southeast and Texas.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 271202 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0700 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026 VALID TIME 271300Z - 281200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35848853 36538938 37048913 37098745 36538503 35908466 35318478 35218613 35848853 0.02 49780089 46680083 45310054 44140053 42840084 41770131 40970200 41050262 42140270 42640273 43530294 44300322 44910469 45730574 49630569 0.05 47580166 46500206 45900250 45590301 45600405 46260477 47430452 48180366 48150233 47580166 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49789372 45729576 44569588 43239595 42199610 41709680 41159910 40729999 40180146 40490251 41220345 41940356 43200356 43920446 43590670 42210853 41251055 41081263 41951389 42581391 43461251 45481011 47270909 50140834 0.15 49740046 46800057 45530046 43100092 41820133 41060195 41070279 42090295 43180311 44050345 44460378 44580686 44970741 45270762 46240789 50180694 0.30 45930544 46710514 48070428 48060320 47030231 46080253 45520303 45210390 45080451 45200506 45410535 45930544 CIG1 50080232 46990117 45480100 43250086 41580117 40870159 40570196 40470236 41310316 43220340 44170397 44370538 44560680 45110767 46230797 50210694 && ... WIND ... 0.05 35929938 34619954 32470155 30320312 30020360 30170414 30730470 31250481 32650402 35090199 35730138 36300075 36620038 36750009 36679973 36549963 35929938 0.05 33387687 33647960 33778186 34168443 35828964 35979027 36209412 36509455 37049501 38399499 39899495 40779396 40899285 39468760 39058483 38918150 38717888 38007412 0.05 49849362 47419495 45729580 44719600 43539615 42429704 41179930 40630006 40160142 40440243 41280342 43260353 43870441 43790546 42590707 41440891 41081097 41111276 41871382 42481395 43321275 45431022 47350893 50040836 0.15 49889871 47769864 45869928 43600000 41630088 41010204 41030262 42140277 43630310 44270340 44490410 44580664 44710705 45150742 45960767 48210717 49440688 0.15 33987618 34177912 34788147 35098256 35648261 35908215 36318120 36518021 36547742 36537589 36387401 0.30 49399979 48349980 47740007 45240302 45070450 45210508 45400532 45940544 46770514 48340493 49610492 CIG1 35680069 35899996 35719941 34699954 32570155 32520297 33240298 35210130 35680069 CIG1 49470114 49299916 45369946 43749996 41680082 40860158 40520244 41390341 43300351 44180393 44330493 44110603 43190725 42600828 42320949 42781016 43950966 46080682 47530607 49450621 49470114 CIG2 47750415 47980360 47910261 47550196 47140185 46550224 46070299 46020370 46250414 46730428 47750415 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 49359979 48349980 47740007 45240302 45070450 45200506 45410535 45930544 46770514 48340493 49460492 SLGT 34037691 34177912 34788147 35098256 35648261 36318120 36518021 36537589 36477516 SLGT 49489870 47769864 43600000 41630088 41010204 41070279 43180311 44050345 44370370 44470404 44580686 44970741 45270762 46240789 49490711 MRGL 32650402 35090199 36620038 36750009 36679973 35929938 34619954 32470155 30320312 30020360 30170414 30730470 31250481 32650402 MRGL 33437744 33778186 34168443 35979027 36209412 36509455 37049501 39899495 40779396 40899285 39468760 39058483 38918150 38717888 38067452 MRGL 49199397 45729576 42199610 41709680 41159910 40630006 40160142 40440243 41220345 41940356 43200356 43870441 43770549 42590707 41440891 41081097 41111276 41951389 42581391 43321275 45431022 47270909 49500851 TSTM 30951093 31871004 32570893 34520592 35650374 36440203 37330027 37239924 37149801 37609707 38309664 39039714 39469895 39320042 39170209 39430284 39610350 39850402 40220431 40940439 41780450 42220482 42260498 42100539 41640605 40940714 40440821 40090931 39701069 39661248 39511599 39421990 39662116 40092171 40802214 41732221 42482238 43412277 44272322 44862363 45552365 46052318 46232235 45962131 45592042 45401929 45381845 45571764 45741709 46161603 46491531 47051465 47621450 48021473 48161538 47981630 47711755 47541822 47511883 47801969 48312011 48832035 49552031 99999999 28729213 29699210 30449202 31039181 31659124 32169010 32598801 32638671 32798635 33138624 33678651 34128735 34338851 34429006 34449186 34419355 34459471 34619563 34749653 34749716 34579789 34289852 33619915 32380033 31040138 29370190 99999999 49269220 47589295 45959363 45269369 44369347 43279247 41729076 41098938 40878815 40748713 40928421 41247972 41177617 41107389 40987166 40986935 99999999 45866624 44476825 43776924 42857057 42477122 42317159 42277196 42417244 42627339 43257512 44187712 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW DVL 45 WNW DVL 75 NNE BIS 35 SE 2WX 50 ESE 4BQ 25 SE 4BQ 0 - 4BQ 35 N 4BQ 30 SSW GDV 35 ENE OLF 100 NNE OLF THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE ILM 35 NNW CRE 30 ESE SPA 25 S AVL 15 NNW AVL 40 NNE HKY 30 NNW GSO 25 NE ECG 60 ENE ECG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 N DVL 30 SSE DVL 35 WSW 9V9 30 SSE MHN 40 NNW IML 10 ESE SNY 25 N CDR 20 W RAP 40 NW RAP 55 WNW RAP 15 SSE SHR 25 WNW SHR 45 NW SHR 45 NE BIL 90 NNW GGW THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE CNM 20 WSW AMA 40 NW GAG 35 NNW GAG 25 N GAG 35 SE GAG 15 W LTS 20 N BGS 45 SSW FST 35 SE MRF 15 SSW MRF 45 WNW MRF 40 S GDP 25 NNE CNM THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE ILM 30 NNE AGS 35 N ATL 25 ENE JBR 15 NNE FYV 15 SE GMJ 35 NNW GMJ 10 N STJ 10 N LWD 25 SW OTM 15 W HUF 20 W LUK 30 S PKB 30 N SHD 50 E WAL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW INL 20 WSW AXN 20 SE SUX 35 ENE OLU 30 N EAR 40 NE MCK 25 SSE IML 45 W IML 25 WNW SNY 0 - BFF 35 NW CDR 65 ESE GCC 40 S GCC 35 SW CPR 15 SE RKS 15 SSE EVW 40 W OGD 40 S BYI 0 - BYI 30 NNW PIH 20 SSE LVM 25 NE LWT 85 NE HVR GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW FHU 25 NE FHU 45 ESE SAD 30 NNW 4CR 35 NNW TCC 40 S EHA 35 SSW DDC 35 W P28 35 ESE P28 20 E ICT 25 W EMP 25 WSW MHK 40 N RSL 30 W HLC 10 ESE ITR 35 WNW ITR 25 NNE LIC 45 NNW LIC 45 NE DEN 25 ESE CYS 25 SW TOR 35 WNW TOR 40 SSE DGW 45 S DGW 30 NW LAR 35 NNE CAG 35 W CAG 25 SSE VEL 0 - PUC 20 N U24 0 - P68 10 SW RNO 80 NNE SAC 30 E RBL 35 SSE MHS 30 NNE MHS 25 ENE MFR 55 SSE EUG 10 N EUG 30 NE ONP 45 SSE AST 35 ESE AST 45 NNE PDX 25 NNW DLS 35 E DLS 30 SW PDT 30 SE PDT 50 N BKE 45 S LWS 20 W P69 25 NNE P69 30 WNW MSO 50 SSW GPI 30 SW GPI 40 N 3TH 50 WNW 3TH 0 - GEG 35 W GEG 35 ENE EPH 35 NNW EPH 30 WSW OMK 45 NW OMK 85 NNW OMK ...CONT... 75 S 7R4 0 - 7R4 15 N LFT 40 SE ESF 0 - HEZ 10 S JAN 50 SSW TCL 25 NE SEM 35 N MGM 40 SW ANB 15 ENE BHM 45 SSE MSL 15 ENE TUP 30 W UOX 20 NNE PBF 25 W HOT 35 NNW DEQ 20 SSE MLC 40 NE ADM 30 NNW ADM 30 E FSI 20 N SPS 45 WSW SPS 40 W ABI 55 WSW SJT 50 SSE 6R6 ...CONT... 70 NE INL 15 NNW HIB 35 NE STC 25 SE STC 25 ENE MKT 45 S RST 25 NW MLI 35 NNE PIA 45 SE MMO 25 NNW LAF 30 WSW FDY 10 SE FKL 25 WSW AVP 35 N JFK 15 SSW BID 40 ESE ACK ...CONT... 75 NNE EPM 0 - BHB 45 SE AUG 20 SE PSM 15 WNW BOS 15 E ORH 0 - ORH 25 NE BAF 15 NNW PSF 15 ENE UCA 55 WNW ART