Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-03 20:01 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with potential for tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States on Monday. These storms pose a marginal to slight risk in several regions, including areas near Tuscaloosa, Alabama, and portions of the Great Lakes and Northeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 032001 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0259 PM CDT MON AUG 03 2026 VALID TIME 032000Z - 041200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48889124 47569256 46209471 45319704 45729807 46239786 48319595 49499412 0.02 41687152 41267215 41477295 42247287 43467191 44987113 45037058 44816998 43307054 42307094 41687152 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 31311233 31851215 32141172 32341078 32160933 31700903 30940893 0.05 48759154 47169292 45059562 43249752 41479912 40050073 39830209 40290290 41170263 45079902 46859871 49389625 0.15 48909235 47679348 46259534 45149722 45729808 46379803 49449446 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31661303 32291272 32781198 33121101 33130905 32380772 31390772 0.05 48809046 47119199 44709550 42869737 40059989 37330191 36540241 36350314 36660344 39390324 41180264 45059902 46889871 49689591 0.05 46967021 44816998 43397050 42347094 41747148 40827253 39397409 39207451 39237514 39837546 40897427 41527342 43487188 44847122 45847095 0.15 31431241 31991227 32341180 32471050 32240938 31730907 31020907 0.15 49029149 47679258 46249500 45159722 45689811 46459800 49549432 CIG1 38380319 39440308 41000254 42160135 42360023 42049946 41229957 39880072 38530148 37860216 37930313 38380319 CIG1 31701268 32071251 32381180 32511049 32270931 31730898 31250898 31251110 31701268 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31431241 31991227 32341180 32471050 32240938 31730907 31020907 SLGT 48759171 47679258 46249500 45149722 45689811 46459800 49449446 MRGL 31661303 32291272 32781198 33121101 33130905 32380772 31390772 MRGL 48689057 47119199 44709550 42869737 40059989 37330191 36540241 36350314 36660344 39390324 41180264 45079902 46889871 49389625 MRGL 46967021 44816998 42307094 41687152 39397409 39207451 39237514 39837546 40897427 41527342 43467191 44847122 45847095 TSTM 28329525 28849573 29599541 30249445 30749079 30818799 31238700 33048606 34888593 36438398 37428174 38337959 39257674 40357522 41737400 42677345 44587322 45347325 99999999 48758571 46768767 41349430 39809782 39289840 37530072 35940215 35120262 34310338 32870427 31600577 30860642 99999999 31791366 33561231 34471254 35131260 35641210 35651127 35641032 36120973 36500888 37120819 37750798 38640780 39700742 40530713 41380666 42030518 42440366 43120260 44260238 45340184 46610257 47280519 48440614 49580656 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 S GBN 70 SSE GBN 50 WNW TUS 35 NE TUS 45 SSE SAD 35 ENE DUG 45 SE DUG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N ELO 25 NNE HIB 30 NE AXN 15 NNW ATY 20 NE ABR 45 SE JMS 55 NE RRT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SSW GBN 45 S GBN 45 S PHX 70 N TUS 40 ENE SAD 10 N DMN 60 S DMN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N GNA 20 NNE DLH 25 WNW RWF 0 - YKN 45 N HLC 25 N EHA 35 NNE DHT 0 - CAO 20 NW CAO 25 ENE LIC 20 ENE SNY 40 SW ABR 0 - JMS 45 NW ROX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 W CAR 35 NNW AUG 0 - BOS 0 - PVD 25 E ACY 20 SSE ACY 20 ENE DOV 10 NNE ILG 15 NNW EWR 30 NNW BDR 25 ESE LEB 15 N BML 85 N BML GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE LBX 25 SW LBX 10 WSW HOU 35 NW BPT 25 NE BTR 20 ENE MOB 15 S GZH 40 SSW ANB 45 WSW CHA 40 N TYS 30 WNW BLF 40 SSE EKN 0 - BWI 25 SSE ABE 10 NW POU 20 NNW PSF 10 NNW BTV 60 N BTV ...CONT... 170 NNW ANJ 15 NNW MQT 35 WSW DSM 20 NNW CNK 35 NE RSL 30 S GCK 25 ESE DHT 60 S DHT 0 - CVS 35 SSE ROW 40 ESE ELP 65 S ELP ...CONT... 80 SE YUM 20 WNW PHX 15 SSW PRC 35 NNW PRC 20 S GCN 40 NNE FLG 50 NNE INW 65 NW GUP 40 WSW FMN 25 N FMN 45 NNW DRO 10 NNE MTJ 25 W EGE 20 E CAG 40 SE RWL 50 S DGW 40 N BFF 30 NE CDR 35 ENE RAP 45 SSE Y22 15 SE DIK 20 WNW GDV 25 NE GGW 95 N GGW