Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-16 05:57 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms bringing a risk of tornadoes, hail, and wind are expected across parts of the central and southern United States on Sunday, August 16. The risk levels range from marginal to slight for much of the affected region.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 160557 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1256 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36977633 37267603 37817574 38047570 38267576 38577606 38907651 39207704 40307943 40558044 40498110 40318159 39958195 39618218 39168235 38718234 38258217 37888167 37658111 37067949 36717794 36717703 36767664 36977633 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36070446 36070487 36350532 37040549 38040557 39570546 40990522 41670506 44260377 44540345 44870281 44960221 44900172 44650105 44350087 43770081 43220110 42540146 41360191 39520225 38190241 37190282 36300344 36110402 36070446 0.15 37550433 37570471 37760505 38000514 39160511 41120480 41570463 41880418 41980378 41880341 41500313 39570300 38410309 37950326 37620359 37550433 && ... WIND ... 0.05 35437488 35357676 35357805 35437866 36008021 36418163 36708254 36758370 36988672 36839147 37089326 37339384 37799412 38399427 38759410 39349325 39889141 40818585 41728032 41537910 40897744 39657525 38567385 0.05 34950241 34910288 34980399 35310475 36250529 38190537 41380491 44310374 45410269 45780158 45810090 45360022 44709975 43159917 42449952 41380058 40380103 38980101 38260066 37720029 37030000 36409989 35610015 35180059 34960198 34950241 0.15 36547518 36727794 37057956 37658120 38008285 37908500 37838826 37868926 38208953 38508944 38858898 39278768 39608611 40188359 40668093 40327949 39237703 37717450 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36547518 36727794 37057956 37658120 38008285 37838826 37868926 38208953 38508944 38858898 39278768 40188359 40668093 40327949 39237703 37817466 SLGT 39160511 41120480 41570463 41880418 41980378 41880341 41500313 39570300 38410309 37950326 37620359 37550433 37570471 37760505 38000514 39160511 MRGL 35437488 35357676 35357805 35437866 36008021 36708254 36988672 36839147 37089326 37339384 37799412 38399427 38759410 39349325 39889141 41728032 41537910 40897744 39657525 38787414 MRGL 39570546 41670506 44310374 45410269 45780158 45810090 45360022 44709975 43159917 42449952 41380058 40380103 38980101 38260066 37720029 37030000 36409989 35610015 35180059 34960198 34910288 34980399 35310475 36250529 37040549 38040557 39570546 TSTM 50149512 49059709 47689749 45959833 45049868 43909827 42529735 41629653 41119512 41429037 42798721 44638553 45578613 46188662 47718615 99999999 30851139 32371049 32721063 32921069 33411090 33911132 34441197 34631279 34621410 34671534 35071600 35561671 36201704 36841718 38341758 39591724 40491663 40881609 40921434 40531394 40081384 38871463 38071487 37261455 35901370 35401200 35221014 35580872 36800691 38490700 40390660 41860607 42450627 42530717 41950854 41620924 40930951 40461019 40431111 41011150 41741232 41951285 42141378 41971466 41871593 41981660 42841754 43431792 43751867 43501963 43272090 43752160 44372108 45461941 46511730 47391689 47981751 47921923 48262118 49622183 99999999 32218503 33948367 34968327 35518360 35868412 36098494 36238669 35638923 34278922 33218832 32348751 31938718 31698599 32218503 99999999 28559061 28829135 29399201 30009240 30819232 32389160 33229192 33799232 34399332 34669443 34609693 33850017 33650215 32440358 31230355 30260262 28770264 99999999 27037947 27208099 27318337 99999999 46117143 45417121 43767176 43187293 42347318 41567275 40077140 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE ECG 0 - AVC 30 SW LYH 10 SSW BKW 30 SSW HTS 40 WSW EVV 0 - MDH 30 SE BLV 20 E BLV 15 N SLO 25 WSW HUF 40 ENE DAY 35 NNW HLG 0 - LBE 20 W BWI 45 E WAL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW COS 0 - CYS 30 NNE CYS 15 S TOR 10 NW BFF 10 E BFF 30 NNW SNY 45 SSE AKO 30 NW LAA 15 ESE LHX 30 S LHX 20 N TAD 30 NW TAD 45 SW PUB 40 WSW PUB 30 NW COS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE HSE 25 NE EWN 10 SSW GSB 30 SSE RDU 15 WSW GSO 20 NNW TRI 15 W BWG 25 ENE UNO 10 SE SGF 30 N UMN 50 NNE JLN 40 SE OJC 30 W SZL 40 SSE CDJ 10 WSW UIN 25 SSW ERI 25 NNW DUJ 20 E UNV 15 S PHL 50 SSE ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW DEN 40 NNW CYS 40 WNW RAP 45 SW Y22 30 ESE Y22 30 NW MBG 15 SE MBG 35 NE PIR 45 S 9V9 25 ESE ANW 20 NNE LBF 25 WNW MCK 45 SE GLD 25 N GCK 20 W DDC 50 S DDC 10 NW GAG 50 SSW GAG 55 NNW CDS 25 SW AMA 45 NE CVS 25 WSW TCC 35 SE LVS 40 N LVS 35 SE ALS 45 NNE ALS 35 WSW DEN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 N RRT 20 NNW HCO 25 SW GFK 35 N ABR 30 SSW ABR 15 NW MHE 30 S YKN 20 WSW TQE 30 NNE SDA 0 - MLI 30 E RAC 0 - TVC 50 ESE ESC 40 NE ESC 105 NE MQT ...CONT... 80 SW FHU 30 NE TUS 45 NNE TUS 60 NNE TUS 65 E PHX 50 NE PHX 30 ESE PRC 20 W PRC 30 ESE EED 40 W EED 45 ENE DAG 50 N DAG 50 NE NID 65 W DRA 35 NW TPH 10 NNW U31 15 ESE BAM 15 WNW EKO 20 NW ENV 15 SSE ENV 45 SSE ENV 30 SSE ELY 35 NNW P38 25 S P38 45 NNE IGM 25 NW FLG 35 ENE INW 0 - GUP 55 N 4SL 0 - GUC 55 NNE EGE 45 NNW LAR 35 SSE CPR 50 N RWL 35 NE RKS 10 W RKS 35 N VEL 35 W VEL 60 S EVW 30 ENE SLC 30 S MLD 30 WSW MLD 30 S BYI 35 SSW TWF 15 ESE OWY 20 W OWY 25 NE REO 60 N REO 15 NE BNO 35 W BNO 70 S RDM 40 SSW RDM 10 NNE RDM 35 WSW PDT 20 SSW PUW 35 ESE GEG 25 N GEG 40 SSE OMK 75 NW EAT 65 NNE BLI ...CONT... 20 SSW CSG 20 W AHN 45 NW AND 30 SE TYS 0 - TYS 10 NE CSV 0 - BNA 20 W MKL 20 ESE UOX 30 SSE CBM 30 W SEM 30 SSW SEM 15 S TOI 20 SSW CSG ...CONT... 70 S HUM 65 SW HUM 30 SSE 7R4 20 NW 7R4 40 S ESF 25 ESE MLU 30 SSW LLQ 35 SW PBF 15 WSW HOT 25 SSE RKR 20 NNE ADM 40 S CDS 20 W LBB 25 SW HOB 45 SSW INK 30 WNW 6R6 90 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 45 ENE PBI 35 SE AGR 50 W SRQ ...CONT... 90 NNE EFK 55 N BML 20 NW LCI 25 S RUT 10 SE PSF 25 SSW BDL 75 S BID