Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-16 00:52 UTC

Summary

There is a slight risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds across parts of the central and southern United States on Saturday evening. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms are also expected throughout various regions of the country during this time.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 160052 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0751 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026 VALID TIME 160100Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37998293 37908340 37948378 38078410 38258438 38508454 38908461 39448464 40118450 40718418 40858398 40898369 40798339 40568300 40188259 39728234 39108222 38418235 38108255 37998293 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36630112 36580163 36660215 36970261 37420278 37860314 38390369 38820386 39210367 40220315 41190268 41970231 42190202 42340160 42240116 42120085 41870064 41550051 41070056 40290067 38880076 38130061 37070058 36870068 36630112 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36150125 35950185 35860236 35830298 35970342 36390375 37110406 38390448 39840469 40670473 41650462 42100480 42320523 42430564 42530673 42630709 42770727 42970726 43170700 43300665 43400591 43430509 43310419 42760103 42180001 41519876 41269794 41289697 41389590 41799421 42089323 42209230 42159143 42009105 41749070 41249071 40689103 40249179 39909255 38899551 37339854 36669982 36669982 36540006 36150125 0.05 36758275 36768307 36948344 37388388 38178441 38728462 39458464 40248444 40948412 41318371 41188282 40868221 40488173 39938132 39438103 38518091 37888121 37128179 36768218 36758275 0.15 36670110 36590163 36690220 36990262 37530285 38070335 38410369 38810387 39190371 39970329 40900280 41950230 42170204 42250191 42330164 42290123 42140085 41880065 41590053 41250051 40570060 38980075 38200064 38010059 37050057 36810076 36670110 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41950230 42250191 42330164 42290123 42140085 41590053 41250051 38980075 38010059 37050057 36810076 36670110 36590163 36690220 36990262 37530285 38410369 38810387 41950230 MRGL 40118450 40948412 41318371 41188282 40868221 40488173 39938132 39438103 38518091 37888121 37128179 36768218 36768307 36948344 37388388 38178441 38728462 39448464 40118450 MRGL 42970726 43170700 43300665 43430509 42760103 41519876 41269794 41389590 42089323 42209230 42159143 42009105 41749070 41249071 40689103 40249179 39909255 38899551 36540006 35950185 35830298 35970342 36390375 38390448 39840469 40670473 41650462 42100480 42320523 42430564 42530673 42630709 42770727 42970726 TSTM 49371165 49251159 48821117 48521061 48070960 47440869 46470760 45690651 45060486 44580293 43600123 42659956 42279886 42119797 42209689 43509590 45239524 47869457 49109393 99999999 32161648 33671696 35681718 37841668 39011587 39311529 39311408 38891327 38121272 37051250 35591263 34371243 32981191 32181107 32091027 32320940 33110816 33960713 35060630 37200601 40000707 41040767 41720837 42260961 42311049 41901173 41431288 41211407 41231516 41871636 42891891 43042028 43052104 43312187 43822236 44422255 45372257 48372212 49482168 99999999 29278847 29478893 29938961 30278979 30848960 32238808 33238622 34088508 35238450 36638422 37328439 37818509 38198672 38348906 38119175 37439491 36649748 35609929 34090129 33050197 32000225 31210210 30730172 30140099 29660070 29050060 28280066 27970070 99999999 46698377 45848536 45268634 44808676 44358673 43868603 43138463 42348258 42158166 41878043 41397902 40897829 40207779 39587781 38747814 37547892 37067911 36727908 36137848 35827752 35617653 35417494 35177496 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE AIA 45 WNW MHN 35 WNW MHN 20 NNW MHN 15 ENE MHN 35 NNE LBF 10 NE LBF 55 WSW HLC 10 NE GCK 20 E LBL 20 SE LBL 25 SSW LBL 10 SW GUY 25 SW EHA 20 S SPD 20 NW SPD 25 NNW LHX 35 SSW LIC 25 ESE AIA THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW DAY 25 WSW FDY 20 SSE TOL 30 NNW MFD 15 E MFD 35 SSW CAK 30 E ZZV 20 ENE PKB 40 ENE CRW 10 NW BKW 35 WSW BLF 25 NNE TRI 40 WNW TRI 40 S JKL 25 NNE LOZ 15 NE LEX 30 SSW LUK 25 NNW LUK 20 NW DAY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W CPR 35 NW CPR 30 NNW CPR 50 NNE DGW 25 WSW VTN 25 SE BUB 30 NE GRI 0 - OMA 45 NNE DSM 25 SSE ALO 25 NE CID 30 SSW DBQ 25 NNW MLI 20 SW MLI 10 SE BRL 35 WNW UIN 15 S IRK 15 SSE TOP 25 NW GAG 30 NW BGD 25 WSW DHT 35 SSW CAO 35 W CAO 10 N PUB 10 ENE DEN 20 NE FCL 35 NNE CYS 35 W TOR 30 SSE DGW 25 SSW DGW 30 SSW CPR 35 WSW CPR 40 WSW CPR 40 W CPR GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE CTB 55 NE CTB 55 ENE CTB 40 W HVR 35 SSE HVR 45 NE LWT 65 NE BIL 60 SSW MLS 35 SE 4BQ 35 N RAP 35 SSE PHP 20 ENE ANW 15 SSW ONL 30 WNW OFK 30 WSW SUX 20 WSW OTG 45 S AXN 30 NE BJI 45 NNW INL ...CONT... 30 S CZZ 35 SE RAL 30 E NID 25 SE TPH 35 S P68 25 W ELY 40 E ELY 35 NNW MLF 25 SE MLF 50 SSW BCE 35 SW GCN 20 S PRC 30 SSE PHX 10 NW TUS 35 N FHU 40 SSE SAD 35 N SVC 15 WSW ONM 15 E ABQ 20 SSW ALS 25 NNW EGE 40 NNW CAG 35 ENE RKS 35 SE BPI 25 SW BPI 35 ESE MLD 45 WNW OGD 35 N ENV 45 NE EKO 10 WSW OWY 50 S BNO 60 N LKV 70 NNW LKV 80 N LMT 45 ESE EUG 40 SSE SLE 15 S PDX 35 SSE BLI 60 NE BLI ...CONT... 55 E BVE 30 ENE BVE 30 SSE ASD 0 - ASD 35 NNE ASD 40 E MEI 30 SW ANB 20 SSE RMG 40 ENE CHA 30 SSW LOZ 25 NW LOZ 30 WSW LEX 40 NE OWB 10 W MVN 0 - VIH 30 NW JLN 20 WSW PNC 20 NNW CSM 25 ESE PVW 45 SSW LBB 0 - MAF 50 S MAF 55 NNE 6R6 55 N DRT 25 NNE DRT 30 SE DRT 75 SSE DRT 80 WNW LRD ...CONT... 30 ENE ANJ 35 NW PLN 50 SE ESC 45 NW MBL 25 WNW MBL 30 SSE MBL 25 N LAN 20 SE MTC 50 N CLE 20 SW ERI 15 NNW DUJ 25 W UNV 35 N HGR 10 SSW HGR 45 S MRB 20 NE LYH 20 SSE LYH 15 NE DAN 25 NE RDU 20 E RWI 50 SSW ECG 40 ENE HSE 35 E HSE