Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Marginal and slight risks of severe thunderstorms, including possible tornadoes, hail, and wind, are forecast for parts of the central and southern United States on August 4. Affected areas include portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and surrounding regions.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 040101 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0759 PM CDT MON AUG 03 2026 VALID TIME 040100Z - 041200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48909237 48149331 46519523 46339577 46489652 46879688 47279672 48329560 49419426 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 31311233 31581224 31731218 31851211 32071183 32181161 32271122 32291050 32170959 32040926 31800906 31410896 30940893 0.05 39240180 39130209 39090244 39100269 39190293 39390296 39600282 40110225 40930140 41640064 41810039 41890022 41919997 41819979 41639972 41409971 41049993 40580035 40270063 39240180 0.05 48479132 46499388 45219541 45059582 45009636 44999676 45149712 45459743 45829749 46409730 47159691 48019615 49529428 0.15 48549185 47979257 46359455 46099497 45949546 45929598 46009632 46179655 46469666 46789667 47179649 48059549 49179415 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31471268 31901256 32121238 32371205 32541169 32701102 32711062 32580939 32440900 32230881 31820865 31000852 0.05 48489128 46069441 45219541 45069583 44999645 45019678 45169715 45449742 45829751 46459728 47189688 48019612 49549428 0.05 39240184 39140210 39090242 39090276 39190292 39390293 39600282 40490187 41370097 41760049 41880024 41909998 41819982 41639969 41389972 41069992 40450048 39950102 39240184 0.15 31311233 31721219 31851211 32051186 32181161 32281120 32291055 32180959 32050929 31830908 31450897 30940893 0.15 48529189 46349456 46089498 45939546 45929597 46009630 46179655 46469668 46779669 47149652 47729587 49169418 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31311233 31851211 32051186 32281120 32291055 32180959 32050929 31830908 30940893 SLGT 48549185 46349456 46089498 45939546 45929598 46009632 46179655 46469668 46779669 47149652 49169418 MRGL 31471268 31901256 32121238 32541169 32701102 32711062 32580939 32440900 32230881 31820865 31000852 MRGL 39600282 41760049 41890022 41919997 41819979 41639969 41409971 41049993 40270063 39240180 39130209 39090276 39190293 39390296 39600282 MRGL 48489128 45219541 45059582 44999645 44999676 45149712 45459743 45829751 47159691 48019615 49549428 TSTM 45836725 45746846 45846965 46207076 99999999 28959226 29879081 30398926 30518744 30388551 30588408 31198347 32098342 33288364 34318378 35058367 35958281 37108085 38087873 39307559 40237320 99999999 48558713 46468858 44279097 42259316 39739601 37569878 35670220 34470411 32500609 31240734 99999999 31891397 32981345 34151268 34981151 35181067 35380911 35570781 36120652 36860604 38010569 39090543 40100521 41320459 42410360 43630265 44500202 44990229 45310276 45510364 45980450 46330466 47000497 47870474 48780418 49600310 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SW TUS 70 WSW TUS 55 W TUS 20 NW TUS 25 ENE TUS 45 S SAD 45 NNE DUG 40 NE DUG 55 SE DUG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N ELO 20 WSW BRD 25 NE AXN 0 - AXN 30 W AXN 50 N VVV 55 SSE FAR 30 SSE FAR 10 SSE FAR 20 NE FAR 55 NW INL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 S GBN 70 S GBN 60 SSE GBN 50 NW TUS 40 N TUS 45 NNE TUS 25 SE SAD 45 SE SAD 45 SW SVC 65 SSW SVC 70 ESE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ITR 35 ESE MHN 50 SSW ANW 35 NNW BBW 30 NNW BBW 15 NNW BBW 0 - BBW 30 SSW BBW 0 - MCK 10 SSW GLD 15 SE ITR 30 WSW ITR 35 W ITR 40 WNW ITR 40 NW ITR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE ELO 45 S AXN 35 ESE VVV 20 S VVV 20 ENE ATY 15 N ATY 40 NNW ATY 65 NNW ATY 15 NNW FAR 0 - TVF 65 NE RRT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE HUL 40 SW HUL 80 NNW BGR 110 N BML ...CONT... 60 S 7R4 20 NNW HUM 10 W GPT 15 W PNS 15 NE PFN 20 NE TLH 20 ENE MGR 45 SSE MCN 40 N MCN 35 NW AHN 55 SSE TYS 0 - HSS 10 WSW PSK 15 SE SHD 15 NNW DOV 40 S ISP ...CONT... 115 NNE CMX 50 S CMX 30 NNE LSE 45 WSW ALO 30 SW FNB 20 NNW P28 30 SE DHT 45 W CVS 25 S ALM 75 SSE DMN ...CONT... 65 SE YUM 45 W GBN 40 SSW PRC 15 SE FLG 10 NNE INW 20 WSW GUP 30 N GNT 25 ENE 4SL 40 SSW ALS 40 NNE ALS 40 WNW COS 25 SSW FCL 15 NE CYS 35 N BFF 35 SE RAP 35 NNW PHP 65 S Y22 40 ESE 2WX 0 - 2WX 30 SSW BHK 20 W BHK 10 SW GDV 30 WNW SDY 50 NNW ISN 100 NNE ISN