Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-12 05:59 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including a slight risk of tornadoes, hail, and wind, are expected across portions of the southern and central United States on Sunday, July 12. These hazards will affect a wide range of areas from the Southwest and Arizona through the Southeast and parts of the Midwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 120559 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1257 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026 VALID TIME 121200Z - 131200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 45169020 45689055 46159053 46689026 46988971 47128900 47038802 46538710 46098684 45628692 45228719 44778780 44668851 44838943 45169020 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46418317 45698465 45038599 44638722 44658851 44818942 45239038 45859116 46659183 47699195 48829187 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31351228 31981249 32831294 33331330 34091388 34861386 35251319 35091216 34341098 33251005 32410950 31710912 30770880 0.05 46418317 45698465 45048601 44638722 44658854 44848948 45249041 45819114 46649184 47639191 48759191 0.05 29248017 29548175 30068354 30738605 30898726 30938890 30989186 31369768 31860053 32400273 32850369 33530398 34270392 35250349 35820265 35910174 35920112 35489939 35089760 34589478 34109119 34098921 34668717 35458511 36498335 37318165 37617993 37337826 36757682 35997589 35037490 0.15 31291135 33201236 33721235 33961181 33551121 32671053 31110988 0.15 32668201 32898253 33288281 33688299 34188298 34858267 35678164 35968076 36097964 36027881 35707819 35237785 34757781 34157820 32877975 32588039 32548103 32668201 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30961145 31291135 33201236 33721235 33961181 33551121 32671053 31110988 SLGT 34188298 34858267 35678164 35968076 36097964 36027881 35707819 35237785 34757781 34157820 32877975 32588039 32548103 32668201 32898253 33688299 34188298 MRGL 31351228 31981249 32831294 34091388 34861386 35251319 35091216 34341098 33251005 32410950 31710912 30840882 MRGL 29268026 29548175 30738605 30898726 30989186 31369768 31860053 32400273 32850369 33530398 34270392 35250349 35820265 35920112 35089760 34589478 34109119 34098921 34668717 35458511 36498335 37318165 37617993 37337826 36757682 35997589 35057492 MRGL 46418317 45038599 44638722 44658854 44818942 45249041 45819114 46649184 47699195 48759191 TSTM 44718181 44038435 43378559 43208625 43448718 44108890 44919090 45809199 46579252 47669253 47809255 47879257 47999273 48039281 48189322 48199356 48059533 48109677 48769834 49529889 99999999 31811692 34141736 34751785 35791791 36781760 37011681 37321557 37611457 37891453 38051449 38261446 38451442 38561443 38701437 38811415 38881387 38891357 38801304 38631260 38441227 38181200 37971170 37911161 37891142 37961137 38411114 38481105 38821067 39001017 39010946 38920898 38500817 38210758 37640716 37460701 37210681 37000642 37100612 37410593 37740599 38300629 38960628 39450556 39500490 39450366 39350316 39130265 38480264 38080259 37340233 37000201 36800122 36760031 36779936 36819902 36769867 36649745 36429631 36199573 36219541 36369475 36379437 36369417 36269372 36019312 35959310 35609278 35359271 35299261 35189218 35139185 35019149 34959106 34949096 34969079 35029058 35159046 35379050 35869067 36129077 36529082 37249044 37928962 38338894 38738817 39248676 39768466 40068230 40768095 41018042 41057956 40657877 39887863 39257816 38177646 37137514 99999999 49530287 48180575 46980876 45961160 45391311 45551340 46191331 47531189 48491066 50090949 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW TUS 60 SSW TUS 25 SW PHX 30 NW PHX 40 NNE PHX 45 E PHX 45 NNE TUS 30 SSW DUG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW AND 25 N AND 15 WSW HKY 40 ENE HKY 15 E GSO 10 N RDU 20 WSW RWI 15 SSE GSB 10 WSW OAJ 20 WSW ILM 15 E CHS 30 SW CHS 30 NNE SAV 40 NNE VDI 50 N VDI 25 SE AHN 25 SW AND THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 WSW TUS 65 S GBN 15 WSW GBN 60 NE BLH 25 S IGM 40 E IGM 30 W FLG 50 SSW INW 35 NW SAD 30 SSE SAD 35 ENE DUG 65 SE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E DAB 35 ESE GNV 30 E CEW 30 N PNS 40 SE ESF 20 NW TPL 35 N SJT 35 SE HOB 30 WNW HOB 35 ENE ROW 35 WSW CVS 10 NE TCC 15 SSW DHT 20 NE BGD 20 S OKC 30 SSW RKR 45 NNW GLH 25 SE UOX 20 W HSV 30 N CHA 50 NW HSS 25 W BLF 20 N ROA 45 NNW AVC 35 WSW ORF 25 SE ECG 40 ESE HSE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E ANJ 30 NW TVC 40 NNE MTW 25 WNW GRB 15 SE AUW 45 WNW AUW 50 SSW ASX 20 SE DLH 15 SSW ELO 60 N ELO GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NE BAX 25 SE HTL 35 N GRR 0 - MKG 55 SSE MTW 20 WNW OSH 30 E EAU 70 S DLH 25 SW DLH 25 NE HIB 30 NNE HIB 35 NNE HIB 40 N HIB 45 N HIB 30 SSE INL 25 SSW INL 40 NNW BJI 20 ENE GFK 50 NNE DVL 95 N DVL ...CONT... 60 SSW CZZ 15 NNE RAL 10 SSE EDW 15 WNW NID 60 SE BIH 50 WNW DRA 50 NNE DRA 0 - P38 20 N P38 30 N P38 45 N P38 60 N P38 55 SSE ELY 50 SSE ELY 50 SE ELY 55 NW MLF 45 NW MLF 25 N MLF 25 ENE MLF 50 N BCE 35 NNE BCE 30 NE BCE 35 ENE BCE 45 ENE BCE 45 NW U17 25 W 4HV 20 WNW 4HV 30 N 4HV 0 - U28 25 NE CNY 25 WSW GJT 15 W MTJ 25 SE MTJ 45 NE DRO 45 ENE DRO 50 E DRO 40 SW ALS 25 SSW ALS 0 - ALS 20 NNW ALS 40 ESE GUC 35 ESE ASE 40 WSW DEN 20 S DEN 10 N LIC 30 ENE LIC 20 WSW ITR 30 N LAA 0 - LAA 15 ENE SPD 0 - EHA 20 ENE GUY 45 NW GAG 40 NE GAG 20 W AVK 0 - AVK 20 WSW PNC 30 SSW BVO 10 E TUL 25 E TUL 15 S GMJ 30 NNW FYV 25 N FYV 30 NE FYV 20 S HRO 20 S HRO 30 NE RUE 25 ENE RUE 25 E RUE 30 N LIT 35 NE LIT 50 S BVX 65 SSW JBR 65 SSW JBR 45 W MEM 35 W MEM 30 WNW MEM 35 SSE JBR 0 - JBR 10 E ARG 30 NNE ARG 30 N POF 20 WNW MDH 0 - MVN 50 S MTO 10 NW BMG 25 WSW DAY 20 WNW ZZV 25 ESE CAK 20 SE YNG 30 SE FKL 35 S DUJ 35 SSW AOO 15 SW MRB 10 SSW NHK 60 SSE WAL ...CONT... 100 NNE ISN 10 NW OLF 35 E LWT 25 WNW BZN 30 WNW DLN 40 NE SMN 35 SSW 3DU 25 W GTF 40 W HVR 105 N HVR