Day 2 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-15 17:31 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and strong winds are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States on Saturday. Risk levels range from marginal to slight for many regions, including parts of the Plains and Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS02 KWNS 151731 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1229 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36707676 37608011 38548181 39138267 39608285 40558199 41138051 40777922 40007797 38617593 37477603 36707676 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39810591 42590502 45190457 45840366 45670273 44890190 43690123 42770126 39220217 36890313 36160407 36110454 36380511 36700531 38350569 39810591 0.15 37760511 39920525 41950470 42060390 41830315 39340285 38440306 37730346 37600455 37760511 && ... WIND ... 0.05 45130464 45770377 45650268 45030205 43770128 42840110 41150175 40050171 38470096 37720029 37099997 36390013 35460095 34910324 35160463 36070519 38860568 40470574 45130464 0.05 35867448 35307679 35357805 35437866 36008021 36418163 36708254 36728368 36598763 36489071 36339384 36739409 37319398 38169349 38849169 40468948 41048597 41728032 41537910 40897744 39657525 37727284 0.15 36507497 36727794 36977955 37648102 38038273 38088341 38008424 37798572 37838636 38148672 38608657 39458566 40288383 40668093 40327949 39307828 38567688 38187630 37237479 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36527517 36727794 36977955 37648102 38038273 38088341 37798572 37838636 38148672 38608657 39458566 40288383 40668093 40327949 39307828 38567688 37367500 SLGT 41950470 42060390 41830315 39340285 38440306 37730346 37600455 37760511 39920525 41950470 MRGL 35777485 35307679 35357805 35437866 36008021 36708254 36728368 36339384 36739409 37319398 38169349 38849169 40468948 41048597 41728032 41537910 40897744 39657525 38777415 MRGL 45130464 45840366 45650268 44890190 43690123 42840110 41730153 40890174 40050171 38470096 37720029 37099997 36390013 35460095 34910324 35160463 36070519 38350569 39810591 45130464 TSTM 49899805 46539791 45579828 44319877 43269841 41989840 40959742 40149281 40549072 46118628 48248525 99999999 28559061 29409110 30299114 31289012 32388641 33598465 34868373 35728456 35808620 35628861 35179089 34759494 34310055 33430328 32520405 31760413 28640263 99999999 30851139 32371049 33471024 34440998 35530859 36800691 38490700 40390660 41860607 42450627 42730714 42130883 41620924 40930951 40461019 40431111 41011150 41741232 42731485 43891692 44121761 44341906 44871967 45451933 46511730 46861669 47791642 48341798 48672097 49622183 99999999 27037947 27208099 27318337 99999999 46117143 45417121 43767176 43187293 42347318 41567275 40077140 99999999 40651441 39631415 37851603 37961722 39141739 39491744 41431579 41241461 40651441 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE ECG 0 - AVC 30 NNW DAN 10 SSE BKW 25 SSW HTS 35 N JKL 25 S SDF 40 SW SDF 40 NE OWB 40 S BMG 40 ESE IND 35 NE DAY 35 NNW HLG 0 - LBE 15 WSW MRB 20 SSE DCA 45 SSE WAL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW TOR 15 E TOR 25 SW AIA 30 WNW ITR 35 NW LAA 20 S LHX 25 NNW TAD 50 SW PUB 20 WNW DEN 30 WSW TOR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE HSE 20 NE EWN 10 SSW GSB 30 SSE RDU 15 WSW GSO 20 NNW TRI 35 SE LOZ 30 NE FYV 15 SW UMN 30 N UMN 40 S SZL 30 NE JEF 20 SE PIA 50 SSE SBN 25 SSW ERI 25 NNW DUJ 20 E UNV 15 S PHL 50 SSE ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE 4BQ 20 NNW 2WX 30 SW Y22 60 NNW PHP 30 SE PHP 30 W VTN 30 SW MHN 25 NNW IML 35 S IML 40 NNW GCK 20 W DDC 45 S DDC 20 WNW GAG 30 ESE BGD 30 SE TCC 45 SE LVS 30 N LVS 65 N ALS 55 ENE EGE 40 ESE 4BQ GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW HCO 45 SE JMS 10 NE ABR 25 W HON 40 SSW MHE 35 SSE ONL 35 S OLU 15 WNW IRK 25 SE BRL 50 NE ESC 130 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 70 S HUM 30 WSW HUM 15 S BTR 20 ENE MCB 0 - MGM 15 WSW ATL 65 NNW AHN 35 ESE CSV 35 SE BNA 15 E MKL 50 SSW JBR 25 SW RKR 15 WSW CDS 50 N HOB 20 NE CNM 40 SSE CNM 100 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 80 SW FHU 30 NE TUS 55 SSW SOW 10 N SOW 10 E GUP 55 N 4SL 0 - GUC 55 NNE EGE 45 NNW LAR 35 SSE CPR 35 WSW CPR 40 NNE RKS 10 W RKS 35 N VEL 35 W VEL 60 S EVW 30 ENE SLC 30 S MLD 25 NW TWF 40 WNW BOI 50 SSE BKE 50 N BNO 70 SW PDT 30 SW PDT 20 SSW PUW 20 ENE PUW 50 WNW 3TH 55 NNW GEG 70 WNW OMK 65 NNE BLI ...CONT... 45 ENE PBI 35 SE AGR 50 W SRQ ...CONT... 90 NNE EFK 55 N BML 20 NW LCI 25 S RUT 10 SE PSF 25 SSW BDL 75 S BID ...CONT... 20 WSW ENV 45 ENE ELY 60 ESE TPH 10 SW TPH 25 SSW U31 15 W U31 40 N EKO 45 NW ENV 20 WSW ENV