Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-05 19:59 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southeastern United States on Sunday. The risk ranges from marginal to slight in several areas, including portions of the Mississippi Valley and the Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 051959 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0257 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2026 VALID TIME 052000Z - 061200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49359761 48239905 47579991 46500258 46460315 46680376 47000394 47760390 49810352 0.05 32049574 31639893 31780090 32080206 32530310 33190383 34710439 35470454 36110423 36470401 36740360 36890313 36820256 36250163 35750070 35219982 34889930 34429809 33529609 33259587 32689541 32049574 0.15 49209920 48440007 47740150 47650244 48020290 48680305 49640249 0.15 35080323 35450277 35370239 35160183 34660108 33659823 33369764 33129738 32839729 32629735 32559817 33020075 33380223 33780306 34300330 35080323 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49809600 47719934 47110081 46110340 45680488 45410598 45240693 45370890 45201036 44901169 44491252 44121332 44021362 44031388 44081420 44351450 44931427 46161284 47231053 47690894 47920791 48210679 48550562 48800493 49640383 0.05 36507506 36327601 35997689 35517759 34857792 34167795 33097751 99999999 31858012 33578144 34128254 34258306 34168359 33838419 32768509 31858583 31248654 30728736 30388856 30119004 30159165 30209310 30680076 31020263 31770373 32810461 33710505 34500505 35610453 36440373 36790301 36750249 36590202 36220125 35329996 34759909 34419822 33749635 32939358 32819288 32919197 32929136 33279071 34788973 35978868 36718669 37528481 38518387 39088362 39848365 40538375 41068370 41458231 41657974 41697824 41677406 41457328 40497215 0.15 37637474 37787545 37787673 37467836 37637909 38027943 38847922 39717879 40187832 40637737 40907614 40887472 39987301 0.15 31920175 32140215 32730259 33280289 33610300 34050314 34340325 34890329 35260307 35330292 35400270 35290234 35110186 34520087 33909874 33429764 33069731 32549735 31819772 31719893 31700052 31920175 0.30 38317784 38857824 39197831 39667808 40007770 40147738 40377682 40377625 40377584 40287536 39927504 39267524 38657567 38437594 38127693 38317784 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 35080323 35450277 35370239 35160183 34660108 33909874 33429764 33069731 32549735 31819772 31719893 31700052 31920175 32140215 32730259 34300330 35080323 SLGT 37637476 37787545 37787673 37467836 37637909 38027943 38847922 39717879 40187832 40637737 40907614 40887472 40017307 SLGT 49209920 48440007 47740150 47650244 48020290 48680305 49490258 MRGL 36487516 36327601 35997689 35517759 34857792 34167795 33327761 99999999 31858012 33578144 34128254 34258306 34168359 33838419 31858583 31248654 30728736 30388856 30119004 30209310 30680076 31020263 31770373 32810461 33710505 34500505 35610453 36470401 36740360 36890313 36820256 36220125 34879927 33749635 32939358 32819288 32929136 33279071 34788973 35978868 36718669 37528481 38518387 39088362 40538375 41068370 41458231 41657974 41677406 41457328 40497215 MRGL 49499650 47719934 46110340 45680488 45240693 45370890 45201036 44901169 44021362 44081420 44351450 44931427 46161284 47231053 48210679 48800493 49480403 TSTM 49829414 45420027 44560140 44230203 44190264 44230360 44220560 43570975 43141347 42371541 41761613 40641630 39361597 38671605 38481612 38131631 37761678 37181794 37121843 37291886 37721931 38612013 39392065 40262115 40902212 40962304 41272341 41652353 42682291 43642202 44192093 45081862 46391530 48611066 49770779 99999999 43407955 43127698 42227243 41797162 40677012 99999999 30950947 32280979 33701072 34331118 34701116 34881083 34980976 35270911 35870854 36710770 37720700 38200686 38800684 39260687 39770669 40230603 40540541 40830454 40980392 40830324 40530274 39840187 39120154 38600134 38020103 37260051 36780002 36669966 36469886 36339827 36349758 36409696 36439676 36459652 36659634 36939634 37329640 37889686 38699816 39219868 39639903 39979920 40319921 42889847 43949786 44689704 45879464 46419256 46449194 46159077 45689020 45068992 44188949 43698905 43218841 42888783 42818724 42998598 44218141 44438132 99999999 28109561 28499618 28899691 29129753 29249827 29249905 28800126 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE TCC 40 SSW DHT 45 SSE DHT 0 - AMA 50 NE PVW 15 WSW SPS 45 NNW FTW 15 NNE FTW 20 S FTW 30 WNW ACT 0 - BWD 25 N SJT 25 SW BGS 15 NNE MAF 35 E HOB 0 - CVS 20 ESE TCC THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE WAL 10 S WAL 40 SSW NHK 45 S CHO 20 NNE LYH 35 WSW SHD 35 E EKN 45 SSW AOO 10 S AOO 30 ESE UNV 35 SW AVP 30 WNW EWR 55 S ISP THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 N DVL 55 WNW DVL 0 - N60 60 NNE DIK 35 ESE ISN 45 NE ISN 100 NNE ISN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE ECG 10 ENE ECG 45 WSW ECG 20 E GSB 15 W OAJ 10 SSW ILM 70 SSE ILM ...CONT... 75 S CHS 30 SW CAE 30 SSE AND 25 NE AHN 20 NW AHN 20 NE ATL 10 E TOI 30 N CEW 20 NNW PNS 30 SW MOB 15 ENE MSY 10 NE LCH 50 SSW SJT 20 ENE FST 30 W INK 35 S ROW 30 ENE SRR 45 NE 4CR 35 E LVS 30 ESE RTN 30 NW CAO 30 N CAO 30 S SPD 35 SSE GUY 15 N LTS 15 S DUA 35 NNE SHV 30 S ELD 45 SSW GLH 20 SE GLH 25 SE MEM 30 NNE MKL 25 SW BWG 35 SSW LEX 50 SE LUK 45 E LUK 35 S FDY 0 - FDY 25 W CLE 20 NNE FKL 10 WNW POU 20 NNW BDR 60 S GON THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE HCO 35 SW DVL 40 N 2WX 30 NE 4BQ 35 N SHR 35 SSW BIL 35 S LVM 30 WNW WEY 50 NE SUN 40 N SUN 60 N SUN 25 SW SMN 20 NW BTM 45 ESE GTF 10 W GGW 55 NNE OLF 90 NNW ISN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW INL 10 SE MBG 35 NNE PHP 25 WNW PHP 25 ENE RAP 30 WNW RAP 10 SSW GCC 50 E JAC 45 NNE BYI 50 NE OWY 15 S OWY 30 WSW EKO 10 S P68 60 S P68 60 ENE TPH 40 E TPH 25 SE TPH 25 ESE BIH 15 SSW BIH 25 W BIH 55 WNW BIH 20 SSW TVL 50 NW TVL 60 E RBL 30 SSE MHS 45 WSW MHS 40 ENE ACV 35 ESE CEC 20 N MFR 60 SW RDM 10 ESE RDM 45 SSE PDT 20 NE P69 40 W HVR 120 NNW GGW ...CONT... 55 NW BUF 35 E ROC 15 ENE BAF 10 WNW PVD 40 S ACK ...CONT... 35 SSE DUG 40 SSW SAD 55 SW SOW 55 SSW INW 35 SW INW 10 SSW INW 50 NNE SOW 25 SW GUP 30 NNE GUP 30 S DRO 55 S GUC 25 S GUC 20 NNE GUC 0 - ASE 15 NE EGE 55 WSW FCL 20 WNW FCL 25 SSE CYS 50 ESE CYS 25 SW SNY 35 NE AKO 35 NNW GLD 20 SSE GLD 55 SSE GLD 20 WNW GCK 30 ENE LBL 35 NNW GAG 25 NNE GAG 25 SSW AVK 20 W END 20 E END 25 SSE PNC 30 SE PNC 35 SW BVO 20 WSW BVO 20 WNW BVO 45 NNW BVO 35 ENE ICT 30 WSW SLN 25 NNE RSL 55 NNW RSL 55 SSW EAR 30 SSW EAR 30 NNE ONL 15 NE MHE 15 SSE ATY 35 NW STC 35 SSW DLH 30 SSE DLH 30 SSE ASX 35 W RHI 15 NW AUW 40 SSE CWA 30 SW OSH 30 NW MKE 0 - MKE 30 E RAC 20 SE MKG 85 ENE BAX 95 ENE BAX ...CONT... 60 SE PSX 15 SSE PSX 0 - VCT 40 WNW VCT 25 SSE SAT 10 SE HDO 45 SSW DRT