Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-05 16:19 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across portions of the central and southern United States through July 6. Risk levels vary from marginal to slight across wide areas including parts of the Plains, Midwest, and Deep South.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 051619 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1118 AM CDT SUN JUL 05 2026 VALID TIME 051630Z - 061200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 35590069 34709955 34339802 33669641 33259587 32689541 32079564 31709863 31700057 31960171 32260242 33520398 35630442 36090405 36460363 36850288 36600216 35590069 0.05 49359761 47530009 46480280 47090392 48220394 49990279 0.15 49209920 48440007 47740150 47650244 48020290 48680305 49640249 0.15 34430090 33219753 32599732 32699845 33290143 33740274 34080306 34940305 35350267 34430090 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49509714 48929823 47579973 46370310 45570519 45430651 45350941 45111137 44501266 43971356 44171437 44741431 46041297 47161060 47760859 47930667 48500455 49500366 0.05 36847443 36757705 35597895 34028021 33698161 34328297 34268326 33948386 33798413 32768509 31858583 31248654 30728736 30388856 30119004 30159165 30499359 30889571 30809863 30930231 31710325 32180394 32590438 33270488 34430492 34860496 36000409 36870304 36700238 36180149 34689945 34339815 33719640 32699278 32699109 32959051 34468982 36158894 37488489 38288401 38678364 39198344 39708351 40398375 41088350 41458195 41697824 41677406 41457328 40497215 0.15 37637474 37787545 37787673 37467836 37637909 38027943 38847922 39717879 40187832 40637737 40907614 40887472 39987301 0.15 31970171 32270241 33250306 34950307 35340269 34420088 33219754 32459732 31819772 31719893 31700052 31970171 0.30 38317784 38857824 39197831 39667808 40007770 40147738 40377682 40377625 40377584 40287536 39927504 39267524 38657567 38437594 38127693 38317784 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 35350267 34430090 33219753 32459732 31819772 31719893 31700052 31970171 32270241 33250306 34950307 35350267 SLGT 37637476 37787545 37787673 37467836 37637909 38027943 38847922 39717879 40187832 40637737 40907614 40887472 40017307 SLGT 49209920 48440007 47740150 47650244 48020290 48680305 49490258 MRGL 36817529 36757705 35597895 34028021 33698161 34328297 34268326 33798413 31858583 31248654 30728736 30388856 30119004 30159165 30889571 30809863 30930231 32180394 32590438 33270488 34860496 36090405 36870304 36600216 34689945 34339802 33719640 32699278 32699109 32959051 36158894 37488489 38678364 39198344 39708351 40398375 41088350 41458195 41697824 41677406 41457328 40497215 MRGL 49499715 48789838 47579973 45570519 45430651 45350941 45111137 44501266 43971356 44171437 44741431 46041297 47161060 47760859 47930667 48500455 49490367 TSTM 49449545 45610096 45020214 44870335 44620512 43700971 43141347 42371541 41761613 40641630 39461596 38581600 37831685 37281791 37121843 37291886 37721931 38612013 39392065 40262115 40902212 40962304 41272341 41652353 42682291 43642202 44192093 45081862 46391530 48611066 49770779 99999999 28189566 29479706 28850105 99999999 43407955 43127698 42227243 41797162 40677012 99999999 30950947 32280979 33701072 34331118 34701116 34881083 34980976 35210924 35950856 37280787 39590766 40110763 40860669 41110500 40960386 40670286 39700187 37730109 36529949 36299858 36349731 36429662 36819627 37519650 38249743 39029857 39899909 42319747 44009630 45209523 45979390 46259284 46009170 45419092 44529026 43648971 42878912 42408829 42348703 42778567 43118402 43598169 43728054 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S DHT 35 W CDS 30 NNW FTW 25 S FTW 30 WNW ACT 0 - BWD 25 N SJT 20 SW BGS 25 NNW MAF 40 NNE HOB 35 ESE TCC 45 S DHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE WAL 10 S WAL 40 SSW NHK 45 S CHO 20 NNE LYH 35 WSW SHD 35 E EKN 45 SSW AOO 10 S AOO 30 ESE UNV 35 SW AVP 30 WNW EWR 55 S ISP THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 N DVL 55 WNW DVL 0 - N60 60 NNE DIK 35 ESE ISN 45 NE ISN 100 NNE ISN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E ORF 40 ENE RZZ 20 SSW RDU 30 WSW FLO 30 NE AGS 20 SW AND 20 N AHN 20 ENE ATL 10 E TOI 30 N CEW 20 NNW PNS 30 SW MOB 15 ENE MSY 20 E LFT 20 NW UTS 70 SSE BWD 35 E FST 20 ESE CNM 20 NNW CNM 20 W ROW 55 S LVS 50 SSE RTN 30 NNE CAO 30 SSW EHA 10 WNW LTS 30 SE FSI 15 S DUA 35 S ELD 55 S GLH 45 SSW GWO 30 ENE DYR 40 SSW LEX 50 SE LUK 55 E LUK 40 WSW CMH 45 S FDY 10 ENE FDY 0 - CLE 20 ESE BFD 10 WNW POU 20 NNW BDR 60 S GON THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N HCO 50 NNE DVL 55 SW DVL 15 NE 4BQ 50 NNE SHR 60 NNW COD 30 NNW WEY 15 WSW MQM 50 NE SUN 45 N SUN 35 SW SMN 25 WNW BTM 40 ESE GTF 65 NE LWT 20 S GGW 60 NNW SDY 90 N ISN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N RRT 25 WNW MBG 65 S Y22 50 S 2WX 25 NE GCC 50 E JAC 45 NNE BYI 50 NE OWY 15 S OWY 30 WSW EKO 0 - P68 65 S P68 20 SE TPH 25 ESE BIH 15 SSW BIH 25 W BIH 55 WNW BIH 20 SSW TVL 50 NW TVL 60 E RBL 30 SSE MHS 45 WSW MHS 40 ENE ACV 35 ESE CEC 20 N MFR 60 SW RDM 10 ESE RDM 45 SSE PDT 20 NE P69 40 W HVR 120 NNW GGW ...CONT... 50 SE PSX 45 N VCT 35 SSW DRT ...CONT... 55 NW BUF 35 E ROC 15 ENE BAF 10 WNW PVD 40 S ACK ...CONT... 35 SSE DUG 40 SSW SAD 55 SW SOW 55 SSW INW 35 SW INW 10 SSW INW 50 NNE SOW 35 SW GUP 30 NNE GUP 10 NW DRO 40 W EGE 30 SSW CAG 50 ENE CAG 10 WSW CYS 45 WSW SNY 30 SSE SNY 25 NNW GLD 25 SW GCK 20 NE GAG 35 S AVK 30 SSW PNC 35 SE PNC 15 WNW BVO 60 SSW EMP 25 ENE HUT 15 NE RSL 60 S EAR 25 N OFK 35 SE BKX 45 N RWF 30 NNE STC 50 SW DLH 55 SW ASX 45 NE EAU 40 N VOK 35 NE LNR 20 NNW JVL 35 SW RAC 35 WNW BEH 10 SW GRR 15 NW FNT 65 E BAX 115 N ERI