Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and strong winds are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States on Monday, June 30. The highest risk for severe weather is centered in the Midwest, with varying levels of risk extending through the Great Lakes, the South, and parts of the Plains.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 300053 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0751 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2026 VALID TIME 300100Z - 301200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48909198 46739138 45549180 43769346 41709502 40919712 40609865 41359901 41859896 44109732 44959723 45509763 45639987 45910154 46840248 49320185 0.05 49169299 48489300 47489334 46919284 46589279 46249287 45909328 45959392 45789671 46340027 46540120 46770143 47360149 48360137 49330096 0.10 46139661 46259721 46939762 47779746 48229645 48249540 47909478 47409471 46899493 46419553 46139661 CIG1 49619454 49129379 47039382 46739325 46439306 45829333 45679588 45979798 46429857 47729896 48859857 49619769 49619454 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 47508446 46258399 45408364 44648400 44528471 45168538 45748655 45918807 44589030 43719162 42029399 40829567 39329816 39129858 39139907 39379967 40410035 41320045 41920004 43399857 43849774 44339732 44539737 44749746 45389857 45669952 45780085 45800111 45930160 46020204 46330243 46570277 46720279 49520129 0.15 48298681 46618942 45329123 41639596 40059794 39899819 39899903 39969952 40079977 40570007 41170005 41719985 42289925 42839860 43289801 44229680 44969688 45429745 45639811 45809957 45970070 46140145 46400178 46630190 47940153 49310097 CIG1 49490033 49579472 48929208 47389239 46859247 46469279 46449529 46379629 46059747 45849803 45709888 45899983 45980053 46080144 46540193 47930152 49490033 CIG1 41449650 40039791 39869857 39919931 39969963 40209995 40470000 41060012 41749971 42999823 43589768 43699731 43929637 43589560 43079536 42699541 42059558 41639607 41449650 && ... WIND ... 0.05 47078428 45808380 45328360 44618407 44528468 45128538 45618650 45848813 44459048 44369070 43199235 40909553 39429797 39159849 39139882 39189920 39389974 39630015 40000023 40490039 41460035 42699918 43769810 44069794 44949838 45339945 45560045 45700136 45830223 46070270 46370294 49530110 0.05 31040211 30630259 30800335 31440384 34090255 36660101 37570022 37539973 36869956 34809988 32810113 31040211 0.05 29138279 29578312 30348373 31528395 33738368 33808344 33778322 33508265 32978182 32158122 31198117 30518137 29798107 29148177 29028241 29138279 0.15 48308679 46129010 43439380 42289484 41529584 40439741 40119812 39949882 39919942 40049977 40440000 41039994 41489974 42559889 43399801 43909742 44129738 44369745 44959767 45419869 45669926 45910000 46020083 46320199 46500210 47490174 49330096 0.30 42619779 44229670 46359709 47379629 47739578 47909510 47929487 47399437 46459395 45459400 45029402 44729400 44349411 43279474 42209543 41769628 40579806 41109876 41459898 42139823 42619779 CIG1 42239499 40709709 40359766 40029833 39949921 40099977 40449996 41039998 42129925 42619882 43779757 44009749 44459745 44869763 45019775 45419869 45759944 46129993 46600006 49339718 49669575 49649473 48959235 48059205 46849120 45819105 42239499 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42619779 44229670 46229707 46259721 46939762 47779746 48229645 48249540 47909478 47399437 46459395 44729400 44349411 42209543 41769628 40579806 41109876 41459898 42619779 SLGT 48268685 46129010 45009164 43049415 42289484 40059794 39899819 39919942 40049977 40570007 41170005 41719985 43909742 44129738 44959767 45839976 45970070 46320199 46500210 49210101 MRGL 33738368 33778322 33508265 32978182 32158122 31198117 30518137 29798107 29148177 29028241 29138279 30348373 31528395 33738368 MRGL 34090255 36660101 37570022 37539973 36869956 34809988 32810113 31040211 30630259 30800335 31440384 34090255 MRGL 46998425 45328360 44648400 44528471 45128538 45618650 45848813 43749157 40909553 39159849 39139907 39389974 39630015 40490039 41320045 41920004 43399857 43769810 44069794 44949838 45339945 45830223 46070270 46370294 47710226 49320185 TSTM 30710857 32170552 34110321 36440146 38270103 40230091 41260099 42230070 42880056 43330104 43670189 43850262 44110352 45220515 46980736 47560807 47840898 47900965 47781045 47061170 46711307 46471439 46291743 46601939 47982064 49842082 99999999 29608614 31038607 32588575 34018540 35478521 36548397 37928127 38248081 38367984 38237949 37947925 37777926 37167952 36548006 36078052 35508090 34948110 34248098 32588051 31688020 99999999 44797587 43457735 42837883 42337958 42208014 42338154 43228397 43978699 43928800 43438918 42759044 42119169 39839592 38389739 36899801 35169875 33639954 32550021 31210084 30440081 29630075 28240062 99999999 39381908 37921757 37401710 36441681 36011739 35941819 36291877 37041960 37872059 39102141 39412151 39672149 40002124 40192070 39891991 39381908 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW YKN 10 SE BKX 50 SSW FAR 50 SSW FAR 40 W FAR 20 SW GFK 15 NW TVF 45 SSE ROX 25 NNE BJI 30 ESE BJI 10 ENE BRD 35 N MKT 15 NW MKT 15 N DNS 0 - TQE 20 E HSI 30 NNE EAR 25 SSE BUB 30 SW YKN THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125 NNE MQT 30 S IWD 10 NW EAU 35 N FOD 30 SE SLB 40 NNW CNK 40 NW CNK 45 NNE HLC 45 N HLC 35 NE MCK 30 SW BBW 20 NNW BBW 30 ENE MHE 30 WSW BKX 25 W ATY 40 ENE MBG 35 NNW MBG 30 NNE Y22 40 N Y22 65 N MOT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW AHN 15 SSE AHN 40 WNW AGS 30 SSE AGS 0 - SAV 15 E SSI 20 E JAX 20 SE SGJ 25 E OCF 15 SW OCF 35 W OCF 35 E TLH 15 E ABY 25 SW AHN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE CVS 25 S LBL 20 SW DDC 20 SE DDC 40 NNE GAG 35 NE CDS 45 NNE BGS 50 E FST 30 SE FST 25 WSW FST 45 WSW INK 50 ESE CVS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N ANJ 15 N APN 35 SW APN 10 N HTL 30 NNE TVC 30 ESE ESC 0 - IMT 20 WSW LSE 10 NNW SDA 25 NE RSL 25 NW RSL 0 - HLC 25 NW HLC 20 NNE MCK 20 NE LBF 40 NNW BBW 40 SW MHE 0 - MHE 20 NNE MHE 35 S ABR 50 ESE MBG 0 - Y22 25 WNW Y22 30 SSW DIK 40 W N60 75 NNW MOT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SE DUG 50 WNW GDP 20 SSE CVS 15 S GUY 30 NW GCK 20 W MCK 20 WNW LBF 25 ENE MHN 0 - VTN 40 NW VTN 30 SSW PHP 25 ESE RAP 25 W RAP 20 SE 4BQ 90 SSW GGW 75 ENE LWT 60 NNE LWT 45 S HVR 50 ENE GTF 35 SSW GTF 0 - 3DU 35 SSW MSO 20 WSW LWS 50 S EPH 45 NNW EAT 110 NNW OMK ...CONT... 50 SSW PFN 30 ENE CEW 20 W AUO 25 SSW RMG 30 N CHA 40 S LOZ 15 NW BKW 35 NNE BKW 35 S EKN 30 W SHD 30 SW SHD 30 N LYH 20 WSW LYH 30 NNW GSO 35 W GSO 20 N CLT 20 SSW CLT 25 NNE CAE 35 SW CHS 65 ESE SAV ...CONT... 55 N ART 30 NE ROC 10 SW BUF 20 NW JHW 10 NNE ERI 65 NNE CLE 20 SSE MBS 35 ESE MTW 20 SW MTW 20 NNE MSN 30 NNE DBQ 15 N CID 25 SW FNB 30 SSE SLN 40 N END 30 ESE CSM 70 SSW LTS 30 WNW ABI 25 WSW SJT 65 SSW SJT 20 NNE DRT 80 SSE DRT ...CONT... 20 WSW NFL 30 WSW TPH 45 S TPH 50 WSW DRA 30 NE NID 35 WNW NID 60 NNE BFL 20 NNE FAT 40 N MER 40 N SAC 60 N SAC 50 SE RBL 55 E RBL 70 NW RNO 30 NNW RNO 20 WSW NFL