Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-03 19:35 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with an enhanced risk of hail, wind, and tornadoes are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States today. Various areas across the country also face slight to marginal risks of severe weather or general thunderstorms through the afternoon.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 031935 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0233 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2026 VALID TIME 032000Z - 041200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42669732 42719628 42719577 42649517 42489483 42249456 41719436 41289443 41039467 40599541 40579624 40669734 41129918 41590114 42000247 42620347 43460405 43890416 44310411 44600383 44490260 44170157 43590012 43059852 42669732 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49700198 46299917 44779742 43859598 43059347 42749218 42549022 42588854 42498779 42258729 41958700 41518679 41048702 40558901 39889268 39659382 39369564 38989747 38699816 38029900 37599930 36659984 36130032 35770091 35660130 35670161 35920197 36720241 38630296 39720353 41760459 44190692 45480854 45950908 46320928 46730937 47460878 48450811 49820708 0.05 47779610 47959424 47769276 47449224 47039230 45959351 45869542 46309686 47109709 47779610 0.05 35708310 35188364 35048436 34978507 35038563 35338624 35728663 36118682 36488681 36798554 36808424 36388320 35708310 0.15 41720224 42650308 42900335 43700393 44620396 45210376 45390371 45670324 45820275 45750201 45460133 45170113 44230025 43709843 42659413 42079376 41329365 40619548 41720224 CIG1 41770233 42980341 43670392 44350433 45190465 45880461 46150401 45900198 45370128 44630066 44300014 43629773 43299607 42639494 41259535 40989688 41099784 41299907 41570094 41770233 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37637389 37427598 37187770 37047805 36947843 36587909 33638331 33218409 33038480 33108583 33328725 33528806 33968851 34448865 35008869 36208833 37258774 37958741 38268760 38388790 38458843 38418906 38378957 38739421 38889587 38869674 38789769 38579833 37939910 36969972 36519990 35870054 35730111 35710144 35750165 35930191 36270212 36750207 37600184 38350160 38890158 39120161 39690197 41050339 45640872 46430936 46900929 49970717 99999999 49860281 48070263 46920207 46310116 45599964 45069822 44399634 43709444 43549270 43349066 43688810 44148156 44368140 99999999 45227558 44217361 43247125 42296928 0.05 47739619 47979428 47769281 47429226 46949232 45959352 45929554 46299687 47109709 47739619 0.15 44287832 43737788 43627711 43477440 42817307 41467264 39487394 38967470 38737525 38767613 38887708 39187861 39708090 40358508 40429062 40159247 39869514 39669718 39629807 39709833 39789874 39949920 41710240 43050362 43970403 45210402 45680384 45860344 45970277 45970234 45890121 45600024 45269975 44759883 44189782 43839696 43509599 43219463 42869269 42779108 43298573 43738147 44008102 0.30 40149756 40589874 41069925 41489962 41829980 42009977 42369948 42699906 42969848 43079728 43129632 43029548 42789505 42099453 41669452 40959483 40639503 40259565 40149644 40149756 0.30 42978618 43158473 43208366 43068319 42798287 42518292 42278301 42088317 41928338 41788389 41788506 41818624 41858648 41878655 41908661 41948662 41978659 42118651 42318638 42498633 42758630 42878627 42938625 42978618 0.30 41757550 41457436 41017414 40357400 39767431 39537476 39597544 40037610 40837634 41367644 41567639 41757550 CIG1 42988617 43038577 43148491 43188416 43208368 43078320 42808288 42528292 42308299 42178310 42088317 41928339 41788388 41788419 41788462 41788507 41798536 41808587 41818624 41848647 41878656 41918661 41938662 41968660 42058654 42178648 42328637 42548631 42758629 42848628 42928625 42988617 CIG1 39749626 39669741 39719822 39899908 41440174 41750228 42280294 43000353 43530386 44340408 45060404 45400358 45500223 43819871 43599765 42569248 42279212 41979192 41569189 41209213 40849240 40559284 40239336 40009405 39929503 39749626 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42009977 42369948 42699906 42969848 43129632 43029548 42789505 42099453 41669452 40639503 40259565 40149644 40149756 40589874 41489962 41829980 42009977 ENH 42328637 42868627 42978618 43208368 43068319 42808288 42288301 42088317 41928339 41788389 41818624 41938662 42328637 SLGT 44097817 43737788 43627711 43477440 42817307 41467264 39487394 38967470 38737525 38767613 39187861 39708090 40358508 40429062 39869514 39629807 39949920 41710240 43050362 43700393 43970403 45210402 45680384 45860344 45970277 45890121 45600024 44189782 43839696 43509599 42869269 42779108 43728161 MRGL 45227557 44217361 43247125 42346937 99999999 49490181 46299917 44789743 43709444 43349066 43688810 44138166 99999999 37547481 37187770 36947843 36587909 33638331 33218409 33038480 33108583 33528806 33968851 34448865 35008869 36208833 37958741 38268760 38388790 38458843 38378957 38889587 38789769 38589830 38009901 36519990 35870054 35660130 35670161 35920197 36720241 38630296 41760459 43620637 45950908 46430936 46730937 46900929 49490750 MRGL 47779610 47979428 47769276 47449224 46949232 45959351 45869542 46299687 47109709 47779610 TSTM 30970744 32780748 33200741 33810698 34330639 34590591 34870525 35340425 35580374 35950335 36380324 36790333 37590344 38020372 38410410 38860469 39470543 39850629 40070728 39841099 40051156 40431216 40851259 41041309 41291387 41541421 41851446 42221454 42511421 42931330 43311279 43591260 44181287 44911439 45281482 45611502 46131477 46761359 47601071 47970996 48450947 49730884 99999999 36337480 36357579 36387717 36287787 36197816 35967858 35647925 35247993 32678306 32108391 31808447 31838507 32108600 32178646 32058674 31788692 31468677 31258663 31138637 31108584 31098415 31218025 99999999 48599050 47928984 47508884 47258709 47348543 47618448 99999999 27379651 28149738 28579773 31819803 35199733 35749649 36359535 36639517 36889529 37289588 37519654 37609714 37519746 37299784 36559876 34920124 34020208 33160231 32040228 29280184 28800197 99999999 37771922 37941981 38282026 38682052 39142070 39592056 39732015 39591963 39241917 38841872 38541841 38241830 37871843 37731897 37771922 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N BBW 30 ESE ANW 25 NW ONL 35 NNE ONL 40 SSE FSD 20 WSW SPW 15 NE SLB 35 SSW FOD 45 WNW DSM 20 ESE SDA 15 NNW FNB 20 ESE BIE 40 N CNK 15 SE EAR 0 - BBW 30 NNW BBW 40 N BBW THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE BEH 20 S MKG 15 S MKG 15 NNE FNT 30 ENE FNT 15 N MTC 20 ENE DTW 15 SE DTW 20 S DTW 15 NNW TOL 10 NNE SBN 15 SW BEH 15 NNE BEH THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNW ROC 45 NNW ROC 45 NE ROC 40 WNW GFL 30 NNE PSF 30 S BDL 35 E ACY 35 S ACY 30 SSE DOV 35 NNE NHK 35 WSW MRB 35 SSW HLG 20 ENE MIE 35 SE BRL 15 WNW STJ 25 WNW CNK 55 S EAR 30 SE AIA 30 WNW CDR 50 WSW RAP 50 W RAP 35 SW 2WX 15 WNW 2WX 20 N 2WX 30 W Y22 45 WNW MBG 10 ENE MBG 25 SE HON 20 NNW FSD 25 WSW OTG 25 NW ALO 30 NW DBQ 70 E BAX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW MSS 30 SW BTV 15 ENE CON 65 NE HYA ...CONT... 90 NNW MOT 50 SSW JMS 15 SW ATY 0 - FRM 25 WNW LNR 30 SE OSH 70 ENE BAX ...CONT... 45 SE WAL 30 SW RIC 25 NW AVC 15 E DAN 20 S AHN 35 SE ATL 15 E LGC 35 S ANB 25 ESE CBM 25 N CBM 15 NNE TUP 45 SSE MKL 55 NE MKL 10 SE EVV 15 NNW EVV 30 NW EVV 25 ENE MVN 20 SE BLV 20 SW TOP 0 - SLN 35 SE RSL 55 NNW P28 15 NNW GAG 50 ENE BGD 0 - BGD 10 W BGD 35 ESE DHT 35 SW EHA 40 NNW LAA 30 SW TOR 50 N CPR 30 WNW BIL 20 E 3HT 25 SSE LWT 15 SE LWT 95 NNW GGW THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S TVF 45 NE BJI 25 N HIB 35 SSW ELO 10 NW DLH 40 NE STC 0 - AXN 45 S FAR 20 NW FAR 20 S TVF GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 S DMN 35 SSW TCS 10 W TCS 15 SSW ONM 35 NE ONM 35 NNW 4CR 55 S LVS 40 WNW TCC 30 NNW TCC 35 SSW CAO 0 - CAO 25 NNW CAO 30 S LHX 10 W LHX 25 ENE PUB 0 - COS 35 SW DEN 35 ENE EGE 30 SSE CAG 20 NW PUC 55 SSE SLC 25 SSW SLC 35 W SLC 60 N DPG 40 NNE ENV 55 N ENV 45 S TWF 20 S TWF 15 E TWF 35 NE BYI 30 NNW PIH 25 W IDA 40 SW MQM 30 WSW SMN 45 WNW SMN 45 SE P69 40 E P69 20 WNW 3DU 30 ENE GTF 40 SSW HVR 15 ESE HVR 90 NNE HVR ...CONT... 90 NNE HSE 20 ENE ECG 30 E RZZ 15 SW RZZ 30 NNW RWI 15 ENE RDU 30 NNE SOP 30 W SOP 35 E MCN 45 NNE ABY 25 NW ABY 40 NNE DHN 15 N TOI 10 SSW MGM 25 SE SEM 25 NNE GZH 15 E GZH 25 ESE GZH 25 NNE CEW 30 WSW DHN 20 W MGR 70 E SSI ...CONT... 60 N GNA 25 ENE GNA 30 NW CMX 55 NNE MQT 80 NW ANJ 80 N ANJ ...CONT... 65 ESE CRP 25 SE NIR 15 NNW NIR 30 SSE SEP 20 SE OKC 20 E CQB 30 ENE TUL 25 W GMJ 35 WNW GMJ 35 NNE BVO 60 SSW EMP 15 ESE ICT 10 S ICT 35 SW ICT 15 SSW AVK 35 SE AMA 25 WSW PVW 45 SW LBB 10 NW MAF 55 SSE 6R6 75 WSW DRT ...CONT... 55 WNW BIH 60 NE MER 45 SSW TVL 30 WSW TVL 40 WNW TVL 45 W RNO 25 NW RNO 10 NE RNO 30 SW NFL 45 S NFL 70 SSE NFL 60 N BIH 35 N BIH 40 NW BIH 55 WNW BIH