Mesoscale Discussion 1349
Issued: · Valid: –
Summary
Damaging wind gusts are possible across parts of southern Virginia and northern North Carolina this afternoon. These storms may produce wind gusts between 55 and 70 mph.
Product Text
000 ACUS11 KWNS 271807 SWOMCD SPC MCD 271806 NCZ000-VAZ000-272000- Mesoscale Discussion 1349 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0106 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026 Areas affected...southern Virginia and northern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 271806Z - 272000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A few damaging gusts may occur this afternoon across portions of southern Virginia and northern North Carolina. A watch may be needed. DISCUSSION...A deep, moist air mass is in place across the southeastern CONUS south of a residual boundary, and convective temperatures have been reached across portions of southern Virginia and northern North Carolina, resulting in scattered thunderstorm development. The flow aloft in the vicinity of the storms is relatively modest with generally better flow farther north. This results in relatively weak shear across much of the area, though sufficient for multicell clusters. The very moist air mass in place (precipitable water near or above 2 inches) may result in water-loaded downdrafts, leading to a few damaging gusts. As the afternoon progresses, storms will likely cluster together, increasing the potential for damaging gusts. A watch may be needed this afternoon. ..Supinie/Guyer.. 06/27/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK... LAT...LON 34927617 35177849 35567999 36108024 36817920 37287803 37307662 37137600 36517572 35667536 35137541 34927617 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH